Country Analysis Report: Poland, In-depth PESTLE Insights

Country Analysis Report: Poland, In-depth PESTLE Insights

Code: ML-ML00002-046 | Published: Aug-2015 | Pages: 66 | MarketLine
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The Polish economy dealt with the recent crisis relatively well, emerging as one of the most stable economies in Eastern Europe. At the start of the global financial crisis, Polands growth rate declined to 5.1% in 2008. Poland was the only EU country to escape recession in 2009, recording growth of 1.6% due to its economic policies and robust domestic demand. Growth averaged 3.1% for 2010-14



Key Findings
- Understand how Poland can be used to plan business investments or market entry through a holistic view of the country.
- Gain an understanding of the political situation in Poland, including key figures in the country and governance indicators.
- Understand customer demographics in Poland through analysis of income distribution and the rural-urban split, as well as healthcare and education.

Reasons To Buy
How does Poland perform in terms of technology-intensive sectors like telecoms and IT, patents, and RandD expenditure trends?
What is the legal structure in Poland and are the laws conducive to investment?
How does Poland perform in terms of environmental indicators and its environmental policies?
How does Poland perform in terms of healthcare, income distribution, and education?

Table of Contents

OVERVIEW
Catalyst
Summary
Key findings
PESTLE highlights
Key fundamentals
KEY FACTS AND GEOGRAPHIC LOCATION
Key facts
Geographic location
PESTLE ANALYSIS
Summary
Political analysis
Overview
Current strengths
Current challenges
Future prospects
Future risks
Economic analysis
Overview
Current strengths
Current challenges
Future risks
Poland has extensive trade links through the German supply chain. According to the IMF, Poland imports upstream goods, which are exported to the German and Italian supply chains as downstream products. This has benefitted Poland as ultimately the exports make their way to fast growing countries such as China. About 70% of Polands domestic value addition is exported to the European region; a slowdown in these economies could affect Polish exports.
In terms of financial channels, Poland gets around 90% of its foreign direct investment (FDI) from Europe, which constitutes around 36% of GDP. Foreign ownership of Polish sovereign bonds has increased since 2008-09, which has deepened the financial markets integration with the Polish economy. Hence, in an adverse macroeconomic scenario, capital flight from investors could result in a surge in yields for the government bonds, which may make it difficult for the government to refinance or borrow in the open market. Such as scenario was experienced during the summer of 2013 when the yields of Polish bonds surged on the news of the US Fed tapering.
The banks reporting to Bank for International Settlements (BIS) have assets of around 60% of GDP in Poland of which approximately four fifths are assets of foreign European bank subsidiaries. In addition, the assets also include cross-border funding from banks in the European region. The Polish economy has significantly benefited from such close integration; nevertheless, this can pose significant risks from a shift in investor sentiment.
Social analysis
Overview
Current strengths
Current challenges
Future prospects
Future risks
Technological analysis
Overview
Current strengths
Current challenges
Future prospects
Future risks
Legal analysis
Overview
Current strengths
Current challenges
Poland has the highest restrictions on foreign direct investment among the CEE countries, which is likely to act as a deterrent to FDI. More inflow of FDI is needed to increase competitiveness and exports, which contributes to the economic development of the country. However, Poland imposes the most restrictions for FDI in the tertiary sector, followed by the primary sector. Nevertheless, the secondary sector is virtually free of FDI restrictions. The government should endeavor to deregulate the tertiary sector to allow more FDI into the country.
High tax wedge
According to the OECD, in 2013, Poland had a higher (one-earner couple, two children) total tax wedge (Income tax, employer and employee social security contributions and pay roll tax as a percentage of labor costs) than the OECD average. The tax burden for a one-earner couple, two children was 29.8% while for OECD it was 26.4% in 2013.
Future prospects
Ease in regulations for starting a business
Future risks
Environmental analysis
Overview
Current strengths
Current challenges
Future prospects
Future risks
POLITICAL LANDSCAPE
Summary
Evolution
Pre-1985
1985-2000
2000-15
Structure and policies
Key political figures
Structure of government
Key policies
Performance
Governance indicators
Outlook
ECONOMIC LANDSCAPE
Summary
Evolution
1945-90
1990-2014
Structure and policies
Financial system
Performance
GDP and growth rate
Fiscal situation
Current account
Exports and imports
External debt
International investment position
Monetary situation
Employment
Outlook
SOCIAL LANDSCAPE
Summary
Evolution
Structure and policies
[Missing title]
Education
Performance
Healthcare
Education
Outlook
TECHNOLOGICAL LANDSCAPE
Summary
Evolution
Structure and policies
Research and development
Intellectual property
Research and development
Performance
Mobile and internet
Outlook
LEGAL LANDSCAPE
Summary
Evolution
Structure and policies
Judicial system
Tax regulations
Performance
Effectiveness of the legal system
Outlook
ENVIRONMENTAL LANDSCAPE
Summary
Evolution
Structure and policies
Environmental regulations
Performance
Environmental impact
Outlook
APPENDIX
Ask the analyst
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