Future of the Algerian Defense Industry - Market Attractiveness, Competitive Landscape and Forecasts to 2020

Future of the Algerian Defense Industry - Market Attractiveness, Competitive Landscape and Forecasts to 2020

Code: SDI-DF0303MR | Published: Mar-2015 | Pages: 91 | Strategic Defence Intelligence
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The Future of the Algerian Defense Industry - Market Attractiveness, Competitive Landscape and Forecasts to 2019 published by Strategic Defence Intelligence, provides readers with a detailed analysis of both historic and forecast Algerian defense industry values, factors influencing demand, the challenges faced by industry participants, analysis of industry leading companies, and key news.

Key Findings
- With a defense budget of US$13.0 billion in 2015, Algeria is currently the largest military spender in the African region

- Increased threat of terrorism from the Islamist group operating the North Africa region, an arms race with neighboring countries such as Morocco, Libya, and Tunisia, and ongoing modernization of the armed forces are factors driving military expenditure

- The countrys capital expenditure is expected to increase from US$4.5 billion in 2016 to US$6.8 billion in 2020, growing at a strong CAGR of 11.04% during the forecast period

- The Algerian government is expected to procure tanker transport aircraft, armored vehicles, landing platform dock radar, frigates and surveillance systems, UAVs, submarines, and other surveillance equipment

Synopsis
This report offers detailed analysis of the Algerian defense industry with market size forecasts covering the next five years. This report will also analyze factors that influence demand for the industry, key market trends, and challenges faced by industry participants
In particular, it provides an in-depth analysis of the following:

- Algerian defense industry market size and drivers: detailed analysis of the Algerian defense industry during 2016-2020, including highlights of the demand drivers and growth stimulators for the industry. It also provides a snapshot of the countrys spending patterns and modernization patterns

- Budget allocation and key challenges: insights into procurement schedules formulated within the country and a breakdown of the defense budget with respect to the army, navy, and air force. It also details the key challenges faced by the defense market participants within the country

- Porters Five Force analysis of the Algerian defense industry: analysis of the market characteristics by determining the bargaining power of suppliers, bargaining power of buyers, tthreat of substitutions, intensity of rivalry, and barrier to entry

- Import and Export Dynamics: analysis of prevalent trends in the countrys imports and exports over the last five years

- Market opportunities: details of the top five defense investment opportunities over the coming 10 years

- Competitive landscape and strategic insights: analysis of the competitive landscape of the Algerian defense industry. It provides an overview of key players, together with insights such as key alliances, strategic initiatives, and a brief financial analysis

Reasons To Buy
- This report will give the user confidence to make the correct business decisions based on a detailed analysis of the Algerian defense industry market trends for the coming five years

- The market opportunity section will inform the user about the various military requirements that are expected to generate revenues during the forecast period. The description includes technical specifications, recent orders, and the expected investment pattern by the country during the forecast period

- Detailed profiles of the top domestic and foreign defense manufacturers with information about their products, alliances, recent contract wins and financial analysis wherever available. This will provide the user with a total competitive landscape of the sector

- A deep qualitative analysis of the Algerian defense industry covering sections including demand drivers, Porters Five Force Analysis, Key Trends and Growth Stimulators, and latest industry contracts.

Table of Contents

1.1. What is this Report About?
1.2. Definitions
1.3. Summary Methodology
1.4. SDI Terrorism Index
1.5. About Strategic Defence Intelligence
2 Executive Summary
3 Market Attractiveness and Emerging Opportunities
3.1. Defense Market Size Historical and Forecast
3.1.1. Algerian annual defense expenditure to reach US$20.3 billion by 2020
3.1.2. Rising threat of terrorism and arms race in the region to drive Algerias defense expenditure
3.2. Analysis of Defense Budget Allocation
3.2.1. Capital expenditure share expected to reach an average of 30.4% during the forecast period
3.2.2. The countrys defense expenditure as a percentage of GDP increased during 2011-2015
3.2.3. Per capita defense expenditure expected to further increase during the forecast period
3.3. Homeland Security Market Size and Forecast
3.3.1. Homeland Security market in Algeria is anticipated to grow at a CAGR of 5.16% during 2016-2020
3.3.2. Human trafficking and drug trafficking form the main components of homeland security expenditure
3.3.3. Algeria is at significant risk from external and internal threats
3.3.4. Algeria faces a significant threat from terrorists
3.4. Benchmarking with Key Global Markets
3.4.1. Algerian defense expenditure expected to increase at a CAGR of 11.73% over the forecast period
3.4.2. Algerian military expenditure is limited compared to countries with the largest defense expenditure
3.4.3. Algeria spent over 5.4% of its GDP on defense in 2015
3.4.4. Algeria is significantly affected by terrorism
3.5. Market Opportunities: Key Trends and Growth Stimulators
3.5.1. Armored Personnel Carrier
3.5.2. Border Security
3.5.3. Transport Aircraft
3.5.4. Infrastructure Construction
4 Defense Procurement Market Dynamics
4.1. Import Market Dynamics
4.1.1. Algerian defense imports are expected to increase over the forecast period
4.1.2. Russia was the leading supplier of arms to Algeria during 2010-2014
4.1.3. Aircraft accounted for the largest percentage share of overall defense imports
4.2. Export Market Dynamics
4.2.1. Algeria does not export arms due to an undeveloped domestic arms industry
5 Industry Dynamics
5.1. Five Forces Analysis
5.1.1. Bargaining power of the supplier: low to medium
5.1.2. Bargaining power of the buyer: medium
5.1.3. Barriers to entry: high
5.1.4. Intensity of rivalry: low to medium
5.1.5. Threat of substitution: high
6 Market Entry Strategy
6.1. Market Regulation
6.1.1. Offset policy to be formed soon to ensure growth of the countrys domestic defense manufacturing industry
6.1.2. Foreign direct investment (FDI) in defense
6.2. Market Entry Route
6.2.1. Collaborations provide market entry opportunities
6.2.2. Government-to-government agreements are the preferred market entry route for foreign OEMs
6.3. Key Challenges
6.3.1. Corruption and lack of transparency pose an obstacle for market entry
6.3.2. Lack of relevant defense procurement policy
7 Competitive Landscape and Strategic Insights
7.1. Competitive Landscape Overview
7.1.1. Foreign suppliers manufacture defense systems overseas and deliver to Algeria
7.1.2. Rosoboronexport: overview
7.1.3. Rosoboronexport: products and services
7.1.4. Rosoboronexport: recent announcements and strategic initiative
7.1.5. Rosoboronexport: alliances
7.1.6. Rosoboronexport: recent contract wins
7.2. Key Domestic Companies
7.2.1. Entreprise Nationale des VEhicules Industriels: overview
7.2.2. Entreprise Nationale des VEhicules Industriels Vehicles: products and services
7.2.3. Entreprise Nationale des VEhicules Industriels: recent announcements and strategic initiatives
7.2.4. Entreprise Nationale des VEhicules Industriels: alliances
7.2.5. NIMR-Algerie Joint Stock Company: overview
7.2.6. NIMR-Algerie Joint Stock Company: products and services
7.2.7. Khenchela Mechanical Constructions Establishment (ECMK): overview
7.2.8. Khenchela Mechanical Constructions Establishment: products and services
7.2.9. Khenchela Mechanical Constructions Establishment: recent announcements and strategic initiatives
7.2.10. Khenchela Mechanical Constructions Establishment: alliances
7.2.11. Seriana Company of Industrial Achievements (ERIS): overview
7.2.12. Seriana Company of Industrial Achievements: products and services
7.2.13. National office of Explosive substances, EPE (ONEX): overview
7.2.14. National Office of Explosive Substances: products and services
8 Business Environment and Country Risk
8.1. Demographics and Social Statistics
8.1.1. Total Rural Population
8.1.2. Total Urban Population
8.1.3. Number of households
8.2. Economic Performance
8.2.1. GDP Per Capita
8.2.2. GDP, Current Prices
8.2.3. Consumer Price Index
8.2.4. Wholesale Price Index
8.2.5. Local Currency Unit per US Dollars
8.2.6. Local Currency Unit per DZD
8.2.7. Lending Rate
8.2.8. Deposit Rate
8.2.9. Real Interest Rate
8.2.10. International reserves, including gold
8.2.11. External Debt
8.2.12. External Debt as % of GDP
8.3. Energy and Utilities
8.3.1. Conventional Thermal Electricity Net Generation
8.3.2. Hydroelectricity Net Generation
8.3.3. Nuclear Electricity Net Generation
8.3.4. Conventional Thermal Electricity Installed Capacity
8.3.5. Electricity Exports
8.3.6. Electricity Imports
8.3.7. Proved Natural Gas Reserves
8.3.8. Petroleum Consumption
8.3.9. Crude Oil Proved Reserves
8.4. Infrastructure
8.4.1. Air transport, freight
8.5. Minerals
8.5.1. Mining, Manufacturing, Utilities Output
8.6. Telecommunication
8.6.1. Telephone Lines
8.6.2. Telephone Lines Penetration Rate
9 Appendix
9.1. About SDI
9.2. Disclaimer

List of Tables


Table 1: Algerian Defense Expenditure, 2011-2015
Table 2: Algerian Defense Expenditure, 2016-2020
Table 3: Algerian Defense Expenditure (DZD Billion), 2011-2015
Table 4: Algerian Defense Expenditure (DZD Billion), 2016-2020
Table 5: Algerian Defense Budget Split Between Capital and Revenue Expenditure (%), 2011-2015
Table 6: Algerian Defense Budget Split Between Capital and Revenue Expenditure (%), 2016-2020
Table 7: Algerian GDP Growth vs. Defense Expenditure Growth and Defense Expenditure as Percentage of GDP Growth, 2011-2015
Table 8: Algerian GDP Growth vs. Defense Expenditure Growth and Defense Expenditure as Percentage of GDP Growth, 2016-2020
Table 9: Algerian Per Capita Defense Expenditure (US$), 2011-2015
Table 10: Algerian Per Capita Defense Expenditure (US$), 2016-2020
Table 11: Algerian Homeland Security Expenditure (US$ billion), 2011-2015
Table 12: Algerian Homeland Security Expenditure (US$ billion), 2016-2020
Table 13: Algerian Homeland Security Expenditure (DZD billion), 2011-2015
Table 14: Algerian Homeland Security Expenditure (DZD$ billion), 2016-2020
Table 15: Benchmarking with Key Markets - 2011-2015 vs. 2016-2020
Table16: SDI Terrorism Index
Table 17: Rosoboronexport- Product Focus
Table 18: : Rosoboronexport -Alliances
Table 19: : Rosoboronexport - Recent Contract Wins
Table 20: Entreprise Nationale des VEhicules Industriels- Product Focus
Table 21: Entreprise Nationale des VEhicules Industriels - Alliances
Table 22: NIMR-Algerie Joint Stock Company- product focus
Table 23: Khenchela Mechanical Constructions Establishment (ECMK)- Product Focus
Table 24: Khenchela Mechanical Constructions Establishment (ECMK)- Alliances
Table 25: Seriana Company of Industrial Achievements- Product Focus
Table 26: National Office of Explosive Substances- Product Focus

List of Figures


Figure 1: Algerian Defense Expenditure, 2011-2015
Figure 2: Algerian Defense Expenditure, 2016-2020
Figure 3: Algerian Defense Expenditure (DZD Billion), 2011-2015
Figure 4: Algerian Defense Expenditure (DZD Billion), 2016-2020
Figure 5:AlgerianDefense Budget Split Between Capital and Revenue Expenditure (%), 2011-2015
Figure 6: Algerian Defense Budget Split Between Capital and Revenue Expenditure (%), 2016-2020
Figure 7: Algerian GDP Growth vs. Defense Expenditure Growth and Defense Expenditure as Percentage of GDP Growth, 2011-2015
Figure 8: Algerian GDP Growth vs. Defense Expenditure Growth and Defense Expenditure as Percentage of GDP Growth, 2016-2020
Figure 9: Algerian Per Capita Defense Expenditure (US$), 2011-2015
Figure 10: Algerian Per Capita Defense Expenditure (US$), 2016-2020
Figure 11: Algerian Homeland Security Expenditure (US$ billion), 2011-2015
Figure 12: Algerian Homeland Security Expenditure (US$ billion), 2016-2020
Figure 13: Algerian Homeland Security Expenditure (DZD billion), 2011-2015
Figure 14: Algerian Homeland Security Expenditure (DZD billion), 2016-2020
Figure 15: SDI Terrorism Heat Map, 2015
Figure 16: SDI Terrorism Index
Figure 17: Benchmarking with Key Markets - 2011-2015 vs. 2016-2020
Figure 18: Defense Expenditure of the Worlds Largest Military Spenders (US$ Billion), 2015 and 2020
Figure 19: Defense Expenditure as a Percentage of GDP of Largest Military Spenders (%), 2015
Figure 20: Algerias Armored Personnel Carrier Market Size (US$ Million), 2015-2025
Figure 21: Algerias Border Security Market Size (US$ Million), 2015-2025
Figure 22: Transport Aircraft Market Size (US$ Million), 2015-2025
Figure 23: Algerias Infrastructure Construction Market Size (US$ Million), 2015-2025
Figure 24: Algerian Defense Import Trend, 2010-2014 (TIV values*)
Figure 25: Algerian Defense Import by Country, 2010-2014(TIV values)
Figure 26: Algerian Defense Imports by Category (%), 2010-2014
Figure 27: Industry Dynamics Porters Five Forces Analysis
Figure 28: Algerian Rural Population (In Millions), 2016-2025
Figure 29: Algerian Urban Population (In Millions), 2016-2025
Figure 30: Algerian Number of Households (In Millions), 2008-2017
Figure 31: Algerian GDP Per Capita, 2011-2020
Figure 32: Algerian GDP, Current Prices (US$ Billion), 2011-2020
Figure 33: Algerian Consumer Price Index, 2008-2017
Figure 34: Algerian Wholesale Price Index, 2003-2012
Figure 35: Local Currency per USD, 2008-2017
Figure 36: Local Currency per DZD, 2008-2017
Figure 37: Lending Rate (%), 2004-2013
Figure 38: Deposit Rate (%), 2003-2012
Figure 39: Real Interest Rate (%), 2004-2013
Figure 40: Algerian International reserves, including gold (US$ Billion), 2004-2013
Figure 41: Algerian External Debt (US$ Billion), 2003-2012
Figure 42: Algerian External Debt as % of GDP (%), 2003-2012
Figure 43: Algerian Conventional Thermal Electricity Net Generation (Billion Kilowatt hours), 2003-2012
Figure 44: Algerian Hydroelectricity Net Generation (Billion Kilowatt hours), 2003-2012
Figure 45: Algerian Nuclear Electricity Net Generation (Billion Kilowatt hours), 2003-2012
Figure 46: Algerian Conventional Thermal Electricity Installed Capacity (Million Kilowatts), 2003-2012
Figure 47: Algerian Electricity Exports (Billion Kilowatt hours), 2003-2012
Figure 48: Algerian Electricity Imports (Billion Kilowatt hours), 2003-2012
Figure 49: Algerian Proved Natural Gas Reserves (Trillion Cubic Feet), 2004-2013
Figure 50: Algerian Petroleum Consumption (Thousand Barrels Per Day), 2004-2013
Figure 51: Algerian Crude Oil Proved Reserves (Billion Barrels), 2004-2013
Figure 52: Algerian Air transport freight (million ton-km), 2003-2012
Figure 53: Algerian Mining, Manufacturing, Utilities Output (US$ Billion), 2003-2012
Figure 54: Algerian Telephone Lines (In Million), 2003-2012
Figure 55: Algerian Telephone Lines Penetration Rate (Per 100 People), 2004-2013
Entreprise Nationale des VEhicules Industriels, NIMR-Algerie Joint Stock Company, Khenchela Mechanical Constructions Establishment (ECMK), Seriana Company of Industrial Achievements (ERIS), National office of Explosive Substances, Rosoboronexport

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