Future of the Australian Defense Industry - Market Attractiveness, Competitive Landscape and Forecasts to 2020

Future of the Australian Defense Industry - Market Attractiveness, Competitive Landscape and Forecasts to 2020

Code: SDI-DF0314MR | Published: Jun-2015 | Pages: 152 | Strategic Defence Intelligence
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The Future of the Australian Defense Industry - Market Attractiveness, Competitive Landscape and Forecasts to 2020, published by Strategic Defence Intelligence, provides readers with detailed analysis of both historic and forecast defense industry values, factors influencing demand, the challenges faced by industry participants, analysis of industry leading companies, and key news.

Key Findings
- Over the historic period, Australias defense expenditure registered a CAGR of 5.46%; between 2016 and 2020, the defense budget is expected to grow at a CAGR of 2.51%

- The countrys total defense expenditure during the forecast period is expected to be US$161.9billion

- The average share of capital expenditure is expected to be 29.7% over the forecast period, compared to an average share of 23.8% during 2011-2015

- Over the forecast period, the countrys budget for homeland security is expected to be US$25.9 billion cumulatively

- The key areas of investment are expected to be aircraft, helicopter, submarines, and surveillance equipment

Synopsis
This report offers detailed analysis of the Australian defense industry with market size forecasts covering the next five years. This report will also analyze factors that influence demand for the industry, key market trends, and challenges faced by industry participants.
In particular, it provides an in-depth analysis of the following:

- Australian defense industry market size and drivers: detailed analysis of the Australian defense industry during 2016-2020, including highlights of the demand drivers and growth stimulators for the industry. It also provides a snapshot of the countrys expenditure and modernization patterns

- Budget allocation and key challenges: insights into procurement schedules formulated within the country and a breakdown of the defense budget with respect to the army, navy, and air force. It also details the key challenges faced by defense market participants within the country

- Porters Five Force analysis of the Australian defense industry: analysis of the market characteristics by determining the bargaining power of suppliers, bargaining power of buyers, threat of substitution, intensity of rivalry, and barriers to entry

- Import and Export Dynamics: analysis of prevalent trends in the countrys imports and exports over the last five years

- Market opportunities: details of the top five defense investment opportunities over the coming 10 years

- Competitive landscape and strategic insights: analysis of the competitive landscape of the Australian defense industry. It provides an overview of key players, together with insights such as key alliances, strategic initiatives, and a brief financial analysis

Reasons To Buy
- This report will give the user confidence to make the correct business decisions based on a detailed analysis of the Australian defense industry market trends for the coming five years

- The market opportunity section will inform the user about the various military requirements that are expected to generate revenues during the forecast period. The description includes technical specifications, recent orders, and the expected investment pattern by the country during the forecast period

- Detailed profiles of the top domestic and foreign defense manufacturers with information about their products, alliances, recent contract wins, and financial analysis wherever available. This will provide the user with a total competitive landscape of the sector

- A deep qualitative analysis of the Australian defense industry covering sections including demand drivers, Porters Five Forces Analysis, Key Trends and Growth Stimulators, and latest industry contracts

Table of Contents

1. Introduction
1.1. What is this Report About?
1.2. Definitions
1.3. Summary Methodology
1.4. SDI Terrorism Index
1.5. About Strategic Defence Intelligence
2. Executive Summary
3. Market Attractiveness and Emerging Opportunities
3.1. Defense Market Size Historical and Forecast
3.1.1. The Australian defense budget is expected to grow at an estimated CAGR of 5.46% during the forecast period
3.1.2. Military modernization and participation in peacekeeping missions are the major factors driving the Australian defense industry
3.1.3. Military expenditure as a percentage of GDP to average 2.3% during the forecast period
3.2. Analysis of Defense Budget Allocation
3.2.1. Capital expenditure allocation in the overall defense budget set to increase over the forecast period ... 26
3.2.2. Other expenditure will continue to receive the highest allocation over the forecast period
3.2.3. Army expenditure to grow at a CAGR of 3.45% over the forecast period to reach US$6.8 billion by 2020 30
3.2.4. Air force expenditure to cumulatively value US$23.9 billion over the forecast period
3.2.5. Naval expenditure is expected to reach US$5.3 billion by 2020
3.2.6. Per capita defense expenditure expected to increase during the forecast period
3.3. Homeland Security Market Size and Forecast
3.3.1. Homeland security expenditure is expected to be US$25.6 cumulatively during the forecast period
3.3.2. Measures to curb organized crime, cyber-attacks, and maritime threats will drive homeland security expenditure
3.3.3. Australia faces minimal threat from foreign terrorist organizations
3.4. Benchmarking with Key Global Markets
3.4.1. Australian defense expenditure expected to remain modest compared to the leading spenders
3.4.2. Australia will continue to dominate the arms market in the Asia-Pacific region
3.4.3. Defense expenditure as a percentage of GDP to remain at 1.8% over forecast period
3.4.4. Australia faces a low threat from foreign terrorist organizations
3.5. Market Opportunities: Key Trends and Growth Stimulators
3.5.1. Multi-role Aircraft
3.5.2. Submarine
3.5.3. Frigates
3.5.4. Multi-role Aircraft MRO
3.5.5. Land based C4ISR
4. Defense Procurement Market Dynamics
4.1. Import Market Dynamics
4.1.1. Defense imports expected to increase considerably over the forecast period
4.1.2. The US stands as the largest arms supplier to Australia during 2010-2014
4.1.3. Imports of aircraft and missiles expected to surge over the forecast period
4.2. Export Market Dynamics
4.2.1. Defense exports expected to increase during the forecast period owing to the governments initiatives 69
4.2.2. The US was the main importer of the Australian defense goods during 2010-2014
4.2.3. Aircraft and ships constitute the majority of Australian exports
5. Industry Dynamics
5.1. Five Forces Analysis
5.1.1. Bargaining power of supplier: Low to Medium
5.1.2. Bargaining power of buyer: High
5.1.3. Barrier to entry: High
5.1.4. Intensity of rivalry: Medium to High
5.1.5. Threat of substitution: high
6. Market Entry Strategy
6.1. Market Regulation
6.1.1. AIC program ensures the participation of local industry
6.1.2. Approval for foreign investment in defense sector set at US$216.2 million
6.2. Market Entry Route
6.2.1. Foreign military sales (FMS) to Australia
6.2.2. Establishing a domestic subsidiary is the preferred market entry route
6.2.3. Foreign OEMs sub-contract defense deals to domestic firms in order to enter the market
6.2.4. Foreign OEMs offer domestic companies access to global supply chains in order to enter the industry 79
6.2.5. DRSS provides opportunities to develop strong relations with the ADO
6.3. Key Challenges
6.3.1. Cost overruns and project delays continue to worry the defense industry
6.3.2. Low allocation of skilled labor in the defense sector
7. Competitive Landscape and Strategic Insights
7.1. Competitive Landscape Overview
7.2. Key Domestic Companies
7.2.1. Thales Australia: Overview
7.2.2. Thales Australia: Products and services
7.2.3. Thales Australia: Recent announcements and strategic initiatives
7.2.4. Thales Australia: alliances
7.2.5. Thales Australia: recent contract wins
7.2.6. Boeing Defense Australia: Overview
7.2.7. Boeing Defense Australia: Products and services
7.2.8. Boeing Defense Australia: Recent Announcements and Strategic Initiatives
7.2.9. Boeing Defense Australia: Alliances
7.2.10. Boeing Defense Australia: Recent Contract Wins
7.2.11. Lockheed Martin Australia: Overview
7.2.12. Lockheed Martin Australia: Products and services
7.2.13. Lockheed Martin Australia: Recent announcements and strategic initiatives
7.2.14. Lockheed Martin Australia: Alliances
7.2.15. Lockheed Martin Australia: recent contract wins
7.2.16. Raytheon Australia: Overview
7.2.17. Raytheon Australia: Products and services
7.2.18. Raytheon Australia: Recent Announcements and Strategic Initiatives
7.2.19. Raytheon Australia: Alliances
7.2.20. Raytheon Australia: recent contract wins
7.2.21. Austal Ltd.: Overview
7.2.22. Austal Ltd.: Products and services
7.2.23. Austal Ltd.: recent announcements and strategic initiatives
7.2.24. Austal Ltd.: Alliances
7.2.25. Austal Ltd.: recent contract wins
7.2.26. Austal Ltd.: Financial analysis
7.2.27. Saab Systems: Overview
7.2.28. Saab Systems: Products and services
7.2.29. Saab Systems: Recent announcements and strategic initiatives
7.2.30. Saab Systems: Alliances
7.2.31. Saab Systems: recent contract wins
7.2.32. General Dynamics Land Systems Australia: Overview
7.2.33. General Dynamics Land Systems Australia: Products and services
7.2.34. General Dynamics Land Systems Australia: Recent Announcements and Strategic Initiatives
7.2.35. General Dynamics Land Systems Australia: recent contract wins
7.2.36. Navantia: Overview
7.2.37. Navantia: Products and services
7.2.38. Navantia: Recent announcements and strategic initiatives
7.2.39. Navantia: Alliances
7.2.40. Navantia: recent contract wins
7.2.41. Airbus Group Australia Pacific: Overview
7.2.42. Airbus Group Australia Pacific: Major Products and Services
7.2.43. Airbus Group Australia Pacific: Recent Announcements and Strategic Initiatives
7.2.44. Airbus Group Australia Pacific: Alliances
7.2.45. Airbus Group Australia Pacific: Recent Contract Wins
7.3. Key Public Sector Company
7.3.1. ASC: Overview
7.3.2. ASC: Major Products and Services
7.3.3. ASC: Recent Announcements and Strategic Initiatives
7.3.4. ASC: Alliances
7.3.5. ASC: Recent Contract Wins
7.3.6. ASC: Financial analysis
8. Business Environment and Country Risk
8.1. Demographics
8.1.1. Total Rural population
8.1.2. Total urban population
8.1.3. Number of households
8.2. Economic Performance
8.2.1. GDP per capita at constant prices
8.2.2. GDP at current prices (US$)
8.2.3. Exports of goods and services (current US$ bn)
8.2.4. Imports of goods and services (current US$ bn)
8.2.5. Gross national disposable income (US$ Bn)
8.2.6. Manufacturing Output (US$ Bn)
8.2.7. Consumer price index
8.2.8. Wholesale price index
8.2.9. LCU per US$ (period average)
8.2.10. LCU per Euro (period average)
8.2.11. Lending rate (%)
8.2.12. Deposit rate (%)
8.2.13. Real Interest rate (%)
8.2.14. Market capitalization of listed companies (US$ bn)
8.2.15. Market capitalization of listed companies (% of GDP)
8.2.16. Total Government cash surplus/deficit (LCU billion)
8.2.17. Government cash surplus/deficit as a percentage of GDP (LCU)
8.2.18. Goods exports as a percentage of GDP
8.2.19. Goods imports as a percentage of GDP
8.2.20. Goods balance as a percentage of GDP
8.2.21. Services imports as a percentage of GDP
8.2.22. Service exports as a percentage of GDP
8.2.23. Services balance as a percentage of GDP
8.2.24. International reserves, including gold (US$ billions)
8.3. Energy and utilities
8.3.1. Total Conventional Thermal Electricity Net Generation (Billion kWh)
8.3.2. Hydroelectricity Net Generation (Billion kWh)
8.3.3. Total Conventional Thermal Electricity Installed Capacity (Million kW)
8.3.4. Proved Reserves of Natural Gas (Trillion Cubic Feet)
8.3.5. Total Petroleum Consumption (Thousand Barrels Per Day)
8.3.6. Crude Oil Proved Reserves (Billion Barrels)
8.3.7. Total Non-Hydro Renewable Electricity Net Generation (Billion kW)
8.4. Infrastructure Quality and Availability
8.4.1. Air transport, freight (million ton-km)
8.4.2. Overall construction (US$ million)
8.5. Mineral
8.5.1. Mining, Manufacturing, Utilities Output (USD Bn)
8.6. Technology
8.6.1. Patents Granted
8.7. Telecommunication
8.7.1. Telephone lines (in Millions)
8.7.2. Telephone lines Penetration Rate (per 100 people)
9. Appendix
9.1. About SDI
9.2. Disclaimer

List of Tables


Table 1: Australian Defense Expenditure (US$ Billion), 2011-2015
Table 2: Australian Defense Expenditure (US$ Billion), 2016-2020
Table 3: Australian Defense Expenditure (AU$ Billion), 2011-2015
Table 4: Australian Defense Expenditure (AU$ Billion), 2016-2020
Table 5: Australian GDP Growth vs. Defense Expenditure Growth vs. Defense Expenditure as Percentage of GDP, 2011-2015
Table 6: Australian GDP Growth vs. Defense Expenditure Growth and Defense Expenditure as Percentage of GDP, 2016-2020
Table 7: Australian Defense Budget Split Between Capital and Revenue Expenditure (%), 2011-2015
Table 8: Australian Defense Budget Split Between Capital and Revenue Expenditure (%), 2016-2020
Table 9: Australian Defense Expenditure Breakdown (%), 2011-2015
Table 10: Australian Defense Expenditure Breakdown (%), 2016-2020
Table 11: Australian Defense Expenditure for Army (US$ billion), 2011-2015
Table 12: Australian Defense Expenditure for Army (US$ billion), 2016-2020
Table 13: Australian Expenditure for Army (AU$ Billion), 2011-2015
Table 14: Australian Defense Expenditure for Army (AU$ Billion), 2016-2020
Table 15: Australian Defense Expenditure for Air Force (US$ billion), 2011-2015
Table 16: Australian Defense Expenditure for Air Force (US$ billion), 2016-2020
Table 17: Australian Expenditure for Air Force (AU$ Billion), 2011-2015
Table 18: Australian Expenditure for Air Force (AU$ Billion), 2016-2020
Table 19: Australian Defense Expenditure for Navy (US$ billion), 2011-2015
Table 20: Australian Defense Expenditure for Navy (US$ billion), 2016-2020
Table 21: Australian Expenditure for Navy (AU$ Billion), 2011-2015
Table 22: Australian Expenditure for Navy (AU$ Billion), 2016-2020
Table 23: Australian Per Capita Defense Expenditure (US$), 2011-2015
Table 24: Australian Per Capita Defense Expenditure (US$), 2016-2020
Table 25: Australian Homeland Security Expenditure (US$ billion), 2011-2015
Table 26: Australian Homeland Security Expenditure (US$ billion), 2016-2020
Table 27: Australian Homeland Security Budget (AU$ Billion), 2011-2015
Table 28: Australian Homeland Security Budget (AU$ Billion), 2016-2020
Table 29: Benchmarking with Key Markets - 2011-2015vs. 2016-2020
Table 30: SDI Terrorism Index
Table 31: FATA Approval for Acquisition within the Defense sector in Australia
Table 32: FMS deals to Australia
Table 33: Key Foreign OEMS and Subsidiaries
Table 34: Small Projects with Cost Overruns
Table 35: Major Projects with Cost Overruns
Table 36: Project Delays
Table 37: Thales Australia - Major Products and Services
Table 38: Thales Australia - Alliances
Table 39: Thales Australia - Recent Contract Wins
Table 40: Boeing Defense Australia - Major Products and Services
Table 41: Boeing Defense Australia - Alliances
Table 42: Boeing Defense Australia - Recent Contract Wins
Table 43: Lockheed Martin Australia - Major Products and Services
Table 44: Lockheed Martin Australia - Alliances
Table 45: Lockheed Martin Australia - Recent Contract Wins
Table 46: Raytheon Australia - Major Products and Services
Table 47: Raytheon Australia - Alliances
Table 48: Raytheon Australia - Recent Contract Wins
Table 49: Austal Ltd. - Major Products and Services
Table 50: Austal - Alliances
Table 51: Austal Ltd. - Recent Contract wins
Table 52: Saab Systems - Major Products and Services
Table 53: Saab Systems - Alliances
Table 54: Saab Systems - Recent Contract Wins
Table 55: General Dynamics Land Systems Australia - Major Products and Services
Table 56: General Dynamics Land Systems Australia - Recent Contract Wins
Table 57: Navantia - Major Products and Services
Table 58: Navantia - Alliances
Table 59: Navantia - Recent Contract Wins
Table 60: Airbus Group Australia Pacific - Major Products and Services
Table 61: Airbus Group Australia Pacific - Alliances
Table 62: Airbus Group Australia Pacific - Recent Contract Wins
Table 63: ASC - Major Products and Services
Table 64: ASC - Alliances
Table 65: ASC - Recent Contract wins
Thales Australia
Boeing Defense Australia
Lockheed Martin Australia
Raytheon Australia
Austal
Saab Systems
General Dynamics Land Systems Australia
Navantia
Airbus Group Australia Pacific
ASC

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