Future of the Brazilian Defense Industry - Market Attractiveness, Competitive Landscape and Forecasts to 2021

Future of the Brazilian Defense Industry - Market Attractiveness, Competitive Landscape and Forecasts to 2021

Code: SDI-DF0373MR | Published: Aug-2016 | Pages: 108 | Strategic Defence Intelligence
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The Future of the Brazilian Defense Industry - Market Attractiveness, Competitive Landscape and Forecasts to 2021, published by Strategic Defence Intelligence, provides readers with detailed analysis of both historic and forecast defense industry values, factors influencing demand, the challenges faced by industry participants, analysis of industry leading companies, and key developments.

Key Findings
- Over the historic period, Brazils defense expenditure registered CAGR of -13.31%,decreasingfrom US$34.2billion in 2012 to US$19.3 billion in 2016

- The Brazilian military expenditure, estimated to value US$17.5billion in 2017, is expected to increase marginally, to reachUS$20.5 billion by 2021, registering a CAGR of 4.08% over the forecast period

- The countrys military expenditure will be driven by the large defense procurement projects, development of indigenous defense capabilities, and modernization of its defense systems

- The Defense Ministry is expected to spend more onmulti-role combat aircraft, diesel electric submarines, and military IT- networking

Synopsis
This report offers detailed analysis of the Brazilian defense industry with market size forecasts covering the next five years. This report will also analyze factors that influence demand for the industry, key market trends, and challenges faced by industry participants.

In particular, it provides an in-depth analysis of the following:

- The Brazilian defense industry market size and drivers: detailed analysis of the Brazilian defense industry during 2017-2021, including highlights of the demand drivers and growth stimulators for the industry. It also provides a snapshot of the countrys expenditure and modernization programs

- Budget allocation and key challenges: insights into procurement schedules formulated within the country. It also details the key challenges faced by defense market participants within the country

- Porters Five Force analysis of the Brazilian defense industry: analysis of market characteristics by determining the bargaining power of suppliers, bargaining power of buyers, threat of substitution, intensity of rivalry, and barriers to entry

- Import and Export Dynamics: analysis of prevalent trends in the countrys imports and exports over the last five years

- Market opportunities: Details of the top five defense investment opportunities over the coming 10 years

- Competitive landscape and strategic insights: Competitive landscape analysis of the Brazilian defense industry. It provides an overview of key players, together with insights such as key alliances, strategic initiatives, and a brief financial analysis

Reasons To Buy
- This report will give the user confidence to make the correct business decisions based on a detailed analysis of the Brazilian defense industry market trends for the coming five years

- The market opportunity section will inform the user about the various military requirements that are expected to generate revenues during the forecast period. The description includes technical specifications, recent orders, and the expected investment pattern by the country during the forecast period

- Detailed profiles of the top domestic and foreign defense manufacturers with information about their products, alliances, recent contract wins and financial analysis wherever available. This will provide the user with a total competitive landscape of the sector

- A deep qualitative analysis of the Brazilian defense industry covering sections including demand drivers, Porters Five Forces Analysis, Key Trends and Growth Stimulators, and latest industry contracts

Table of Contents

1 Introduction
1.1. What is this Report About?
1.2. Definitions
1.3. Summary Methodology
1.4. SDI Terrorism Index
1.5. About Strategic Defence Intelligence
2 Executive Summary
3 Market Attractiveness and Emerging Opportunities
3.1. Defense Market Size Historical and Forecast
3.1.1. Brazilian defense budget is expected to grow at an estimated CAGR of 4.08% during 2017-2021
3.1.2. Development of indigenous defense capabilities, modernization of defense systems, and large defense procurement projects are expected to drive the Brazilian defense expenditure
3.1.3. Defense budget as a percentage of GDP will remain at an average of 1.14% over the forecast period
3.2. Analysis of Defense Budget Allocation
3.2.1. Share of capital expenditure is expected to decrease during the forecast period
3.2.2. Capital expenditure is anticipated to record a CAGR of 7.45% during the forecast period
3.2.3. The army accounted for the largest percentage share of the overall Brazilian defense budget
3.2.4. Army defense expenditure is estimated to reach US$9.6 billion in 2021
3.2.5. Air force defense expenditure is expected to grow at a CAGR of 2.85% during 2017-2021
3.2.6. Naval expenditure is estimated to register a CAGR of 4.33% over the forecast period
3.2.7. Other category allocation is expected to increase over the forecast period
3.2.8. The Brazilian Per-capita defense expenditure to increase during the forecast period
3.3. Homeland Security Market Size and Forecast
3.3.1. Homeland Security market in Brazil is expected to grow at a CAGR of 3.97% during the forecast period
3.3.2. Brazilian sporting events will be the key factor driving homeland security
3.3.3. Brazil falls under "moderately affected" category in the terrorism index
3.3.4. Brazil faces very low threats from terrorist organizations
3.3.5. Brazil has a terrorism index score of 2.2
3.4. Benchmarking with Key Global Markets
3.4.1. Brazil ranks among major Global Defense Markets
3.4.2. Brazils expected to remain among top defense spending countries in the world
3.4.3. Brazil is expected to spend an average of 1.14% of its GDP on defense over the forecast period
3.5. Market Opportunities: Key Trends and Drivers
3.5.1. Multi-role aircraft
3.5.2. Diesel Electric Submarine
3.5.3. Military IT -Networking
4 Defense Procurement Market Dynamics
4.1. Import Market Dynamics
4.1.1. Modernization of defense systems expect to drive arms imports
4.1.2. Aircraft and Armored Vehicles accounted for a total share55% in the Brazilian defense imports
4.1.3. Germany, the US, and France are the major suppliers for Brazil
4.2. Export Market Dynamics
4.2.1. Development of domestic defense capability is expected to fuel exports in Brazils emerging military industry
4.2.2. Indonesia and Angola are the major prospects for the Brazilian defense exports
4.2.3. Aircraft accounted for the majority of Brazilian defense exports during 2011-2015
5 Industry Dynamics
5.1. Five Forces Analysis
5.1.1. Bargaining power of supplier: low to medium
5.1.2. Bargaining power of buyer: medium to high
5.1.3. Barrier to entry: medium
5.1.4. Intensity of rivalry: low
5.1.5. Threat of substitution: medium to high
6 Market Entry Strategy
6.1. Market Regulation
6.1.1. International and domestic defense procurement deals are primarily decided by competitive bidding
6.1.2. Stringent offsets requirements for all defense procurements
6.2. Market Entry Route
6.2.1. Foreign OEMs follow direct offset route to enter defense market
6.2.2. Collaborations provide market entry opportunities
6.3. Key Challenges
6.3.1. Low allocation for defense capital expenditure and delay in the closure of defense deals are the major challenges of Brazilian Defense Industry
6.3.2. Complying with Brazils requirement for extensive technology transfer
7 Competitive landscape and Strategic Insights
7.1. Competitive landscape Overview
7.2. Key Public Sector Companies
7.2.1. Embraer: overview
7.2.2. Embraer: products and services
7.2.3. Embraer: recent announcements and strategic initiatives
7.2.4. Embraer - alliances
7.2.5. Embraer: recent contract wins
To provide latest simulation technology for the KC-390 programme. 64
A contract to build 28 of its newly launched mid-sized cargo planes 64
7.2.6. Embraer - financial analysis
7.2.7. Forjas Taurus SA: overview
7.2.8. Forjas Taurus SA: products and services
7.2.9. Forjas Taurus SA: recent announcements and strategic initiatives
7.2.10. Forjas Taurus SA: alliances
7.2.11. Forjas Taurus SA: recent contract wins
7.2.12. Forjas Taurus SA: financial analysis
7.2.13. Avibras Industria Aerospacial: overview
7.2.14. Avibras Industria Aerospacial: products and services
7.2.15. Avibras Industria Aerospacial: recent announcements and strategic initiatives
7.2.16. Avibras Industria Aerospacial: alliances
7.2.17. Avibras Industria Aerospacial: recent contract wins
7.2.18. Companhia Brasileira de Cartuchos: overview
7.2.19. Companhia Brasileira de Cartuchos: products and services
7.2.20. Companhia Brasileira de Cartuchos: recent announcements and strategic initiatives
7.2.21. Companhia Brasileira de Cartuchos: recent contract wins
7.2.22. Helibras: overview
7.2.23. Helibras: products and services
7.2.24. Helibras: recent announcements and strategic initiatives
7.2.25. Helibras: alliances
7.2.26. Helibras: recent contract wins
7.2.27. Industria de Material Belico do Brasil (IMBEL): overview
7.2.28. Industria de Material Belico do Brasil (IMBEL): products and services
7.2.29. Industria de Material Belico do Brasil (IMBEL): recent announcements and strategic initiatives
7.2.30. Industria de Material Belico do Brasil (IMBEL): alliances
7.2.31. Industria de Material Belico do Brasil (IMBEL): recent contract wins
7.2.32. Aeroelectronica: overview
7.2.33. Aeroelectronica: products and services
7.2.34. Aeroelectronica: recent announcements and strategic initiatives
7.2.35. Aeroelectronica: alliances
7.2.36. Aeroelectronica: recent contract wins
7.2.37. IndUstria Naval do CearA: overview
7.2.38. IndUstria Naval do CearA: products and services
7.2.39. IndUstria Naval do CearA: recent announcements and strategic initiatives
7.2.40. IndUstria Naval do CearA: recent contract wins
7.2.41. Northrop Grumman Brazil: overview
7.2.42. Northrop Grumman Brazil: products and services
7.2.43. Northrop Grumman Brazil: recent announcements and strategic initiatives
7.2.44. Northrop Grumman Brazil: alliances
7.2.45. Northrop Grumman Brazil: recent contract wins
7.2.46. Lockheed Martin Brazil: overview
7.2.47. Lockheed Martin Brazil: products and services
7.2.48. Lockheed Martin Brazil: recent announcements and strategic initiatives
7.2.49. Lockheed Martin Brazil: alliances
7.2.50. Lockheed Martin Brazil: recent contract wins
8 Business Environment and Country Risk
8.1. Economic Performance
8.1.1. GDP per capita at constant prices (US$)
8.1.2. GDP at current prices (US$)
8.1.3. Exports of goods and services (BRL)
8.1.4. Imports of goods and services (BRL)
8.1.5. Gross national disposable income (US$ Billions)
8.1.6. BRL per US$ (period average)
8.1.7. Market capitalization of listed companies (US$ Billions)
8.1.8. Market capitalization of listed companies (% of GDP)
8.1.9. Government cash surplus/deficit as a percentage of GDP (BRL)
8.1.10. Goods exports and imports as a percentage of GDP
8.1.11. Services imports and exports as a percentage of GDP
8.1.12. Foreign direct investment, net (BoP, current US$ Billions)
8.1.13. Net foreign direct investment as a percentage of GDP
8.2. Mineral
8.2.1. Mining, Manufacturing, Utilities Output (BRL Billion)
9 Appendix
9.1. About SDI
9.2. Disclaimer

List of Tables


Table 1: Brazilian Defense Expenditure (R$ billionand US$ billion), 2012-2021
Table 2: Brazilian GDP Growth and Defense Expenditure as Percentage of GDP Growth, 2012-2021
Table 3: Brazilian Defense Budget Split Between Capital and Revenue Expenditure (%), 2012-2021
Table 4: Brazilian Defense Capital Expenditure (R$ billion and US$ billion), 2012-2021
Table 5: Brazilian Defense Budget Split between Army, Navy, Air Force and other category, 2012-2021
Table 6: Brazilian Defense Expenditure for Army (R$ billion and US$ billion), 2012-2021
Table 7: Brazilian Defense Expenditure for Air Force (R$ billion and US$ billion), 2012-2021
Table 8: Brazilian Defense Expenditure for Navy (R$ billion and US$ billion), 2012-2021
Table 9: Brazilian Other Category Expenditure (R$ billionand US$ billion), 2012-2021
Table 10: Brazilian Per Capita Defense Expenditure (US$), 2012-2021
Table 11: Brazilian Homeland Security Expenditure (R$ billionand US$ billion), 2012-2021
Table 12: SDI Terrorism Index, 2016
Table 13:Benchmarking with Key Markets - 2012-2016 vs. 2017-2021
Table 14: Brazil - Offset Guidelines and Agreements
Table15:Embraer- Alliances
Table16: Embraer- Recent Contract Wins
Table17: Forjas Taurus SA- Alliances
Table18: Forjas Taurus SA- Recent Contract Wins
Table19:Avibras Industria Aerospacial- Alliances
Table20:Avibras Industria Aerospacial- Recent Contract Wins
Table21: Companhia Brasileira de Cartuchos (CBC)- Recent Contract Wins
Table22:Helibras- Alliances
Table23:Helibras- Recent Contract Wins
Table 24: Industria de Material Belico do Brasil (IMBEL)- Alliances
Table25: Industria de Material Belico do Brasil (IMBEL)- Recent Contract Wins
Table26:Aeroelectronica- Alliances
Table27:Aeroelectronica- Recent Contract Wins
Table28:IndUstria Naval do CearA- Recent Contract Wins
Table29:Northrop Grumman- Alliances
Table30:Northrop Grumman - Recent Contract Wins
Table31: Lockheed Martin- Alliances
Table32:Lockheed Martin- Recent Contract Wins

List of Figures


Figure 1: Brazilian Defense Expenditure (R$ billion), 2012-2021
Figure 2: Brazilian Defense Expenditure (US$ Billion), 2012-2021
Figure 3: Brazilian GDP Growth and Defense Expenditure as Percentage of GDP Growth,2012-2021
Figure 4: Brazilian Defense Budget Split Between Capital and Revenue Expenditure (%),2012-2021
Figure 5: Brazilian Defense Capital Expenditure (R$ billion), 2012-2021
Figure 6: Brazilian Defense Capital Expenditure (US$ billion), 2012-2021
Figure 7: Brazilian Defense budget Split Between Army, Navy, Air Force and Other category, 2012-2021
Figure 8: Brazilian Army Expenditure (R$ billion), 2012-2021
Figure 9: Brazilian Defense Expenditure for Army (US$ billion), 2012-2021
Figure 10: Brazilian Defense Expenditure for Air Force (R$ billion), 2012-2021
Figure 11: Brazilian Defense Expenditure for Air Force (US$ billion), 2012-2021
Figure 12: Brazilian Defense Expenditure for Navy (R$ billion), 2012-2021
Figure 13: Brazilian Defense Expenditure for Navy (US$ Billion), 2012-2021
Figure 14: Brazilian Defense Expenditure for other category (R$ billion), 2012-2021
Figure 15: Brazilian Defense Expenditure for other category (US$ Billion), 2012-2021
Figure 16: Brazilian Per Capita Defense Expenditure (US$), 2012-2021
Figure 17: Brazilian Homeland Security Expenditure (R$ billion), 2012-2021
Figure 18: Brazilian Homeland Security Expenditure (US$ billion), 2012-2021
Figure 19: SDI Terrorism Heat Map, 2016
Figure 20: SDI Terrorism Index, 2016
Figure 21: Benchmarking with Key Markets, 2012-2016 vs. 2017-2021
Figure 22: Defense Expenditure of the Worlds Largest Military Spenders (US$ billion),2016 and 2021
Figure 23: Defense Expenditure as a Percentage of GDP of Largest Military Spenders (%), 2016
Figure 24: Multi-role Aircraft Market Size (US$ Million), 2016-2026
Figure 25: Diesel Electric Submarine Market Size (US$ Million), 2016 -2026
Figure 26: Military IT-Networking Market Size (US$ Million), 2016 -2026
Figure 27: Brazilian Defense Import Trend (US$ Million), 2011-2015 (TIV values*)
Figure 28: Brazilian Defense Imports by Category (%), 2011-2015
Figure 29: Brazilian Defense Imports by Country (%), 2011-2015
Figure 30: Brazilian Defense Export Trend (US$ Million), 2011-2015 (TIV values)
Figure 31: Brazilian Defense Exports by Country (%), 2011-2015
Figure 32:Brazilian Defense Exports by Category (%), 2011-2015
Figure 33: Industry Dynamics - Porters Five Forces Analysis
Figure 34: Embraer - Revenue Trend Analysis (BRL Billion), 2011-2015
Figure 35: Embraer - Operating Profit Trend Analysis (BRL Billion), 2011-2015
Figure 36: Embraer-Net Profit Trend Analysis (BRL Billion), 2011-2015
Figure 37: Forjas Taurus SA - Revenue Trend Analysis (BRL Million), 2011-2015
Figure 38: Forjas Taurus SA - Operating Profit Trend Analysis (BRL Million), 2011-2015
Figure 39: Forjas Taurus SA - Net Profit Trend Analysis (BRL Million), 2011-2015
Figure 40: Brazilian GDP Per Capita at Constant Prices (US$), 2015-2025
Figure 41: Brazil GDP at Current Prices (US$ Billion), 2015-2025
Figure 42: Brazilian Exports of goods and services (BRL Billion), 2005-2014
Figure 43: Brazilian Imports of goods and services (BRL Billion), 2005-2014
Figure 44: Brazilian Gross National disposable income (US$ Billion), 2010?2014
Figure 45: Brazilian BRL per US$, 2015-2024
Figure 46: Brazilian market capitalization of listed companies (US$ Billion), 2005-2012
Figure 47: Brazilian market capitalization of listed companies (% of GDP), 2005-2012
Figure 48: Brazilian Government cash surplus/deficit as % of GDP (BRL), 2005-2009
Figure 49: Brazil? Goods exports and imports as a % of GDP (%), 2005-2014
Figure 50: Brazil?Services imports and exports as a % of GDP (%), 2005-2014
Figure 51: Brazilian Foreign direct investment, net (BoP, current US$ Billion), 2005-2014
Figure 52: Brazilian Net foreign direct investment as % of GDP, 2005-2014
Figure 53: Brazilian Mining, Manufacturing, Utilities Output (BRL Billion), 2005-2014
Embraer
Forjas Taurus SA
Avibras Industria Aerospacial
Companhia Brasileira de Cartuchos
Helibras
Industria de Material Belico do Brasil (IMBEL)
Aeroelectronica
IndUstria Naval do CearA
Northrop Grumman Brazil
and Lockheed Martin Brazil

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