Future of the Indonesian Defense Industry - Market Attractiveness, Competitive Landscape and Forecasts to 2020

Future of the Indonesian Defense Industry - Market Attractiveness, Competitive Landscape and Forecasts to 2020

Code: SDI-DF0313MR | Published: May-2015 | Pages: 122 | Strategic Defence Intelligence
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The Future of the Indonesian Defense Industry - Market Attractiveness, Competitive Landscape and Forecasts to 2020 published by Strategic Defence Intelligence, provides readers with a detailed analysis of both historic and forecast Indonesian defense industry values, factors influencing demand, the challenges faced by industry participants, analysis of industry leading companies, and key news.

Key Findings
- The Indonesian defense market, estimated to value US$9.5 billion in 2015, is expected to grow at a CAGR of 16.44% during the forecast period to value US$20.4 billion in 2020

- The countrys increasing military expenditure is reflected in the ongoing modernization drive to replace its aging military hardware along with building its indigenous defense industrial base

- Continuous territorial disputes and the countrys vulnerability to natural disasters have led to the upgrade of military equipment such as military transport aircraft, rescue helicopters, and naval vessels

- Over the forecast period, the country is expected to invest in infrastructure construction, multi-role aircraft, submarines, cyber security, border security, unmanned aerial vehicles, radar systems and computer network defense capabilities, which will drive the growth in its capital expenditure

- Homeland security is an area that has gained prominence in Indonesia over the last decade, with expenditure expected to increase from US$5.2 billion in 2016 to US$6.3 billion in 2020 at a CAGR of 4.91%

Synopsis
This report offers detailed analysis of the Indonesian defense industry with market size forecasts covering the next five years. This report will also analyze factors that influence demand for the industry, key market trends, and challenges faced by industry participants. In particular, it provides an in-depth analysis of the following:

- Indonesian defense industry market size and drivers: detailed analysis of the Indonesian defense industry during 2016-2020, including highlights of the demand drivers and growth stimulators for the industry. It also provides a snapshot of the countrys spending patterns and modernization patterns

- Budget allocation and key challenges: insights into procurement schedules formulated within the country and a breakdown of the defense budget with respect to the army, navy, and air force. It also details the key challenges faced by the defense market participants within the country

- Porters Five Force analysis of the Indonesian defense industry: analysis of the market characteristics by determining the bargaining power of suppliers, bargaining power of buyers, threat of substitutions, intensity of rivalry, and barrier to entry

- Import and Export Dynamics: analysis of prevalent trends in the countrys imports and exports over the last five years

- Market opportunities: details of the top five defense investment opportunities over the coming 10 years

- Competitive landscape and strategic insights: analysis of the competitive landscape of the Indonesian defense industry. It provides an overview of key players, together with insights such as key alliances, strategic initiatives, and a brief financial analysis

Reasons To Buy
- This report will give the user confidence to make the correct business decisions based on detailed analysis of the Indonesian defense industry market trends for the coming five years

- The market opportunity section will inform the user about the various military requirements that are expected to generate revenues during the forecast period. The description includes technical specifications, recent orders, and the expected investment pattern by the country during the forecast period

- Detailed profiles of the top domestic and foreign defense manufacturers with information about their products, alliances, recent contract wins and financial analysis wherever available. This will provide the user with a total competitive landscape of the sector

- A deep qualitative analysis of the Indonesian defense industry covering sections including demand drivers, Porters Five Force Analysis, Key Trends and Growth Stimulators, and latest industry contracts

Table of Contents

1 Introduction
1.1. What is this Report About?
1.2. Definitions
1.3. Summary Methodology
1.4. SDI Terrorism Index
1.5. About Strategic Defence Intelligence
2 Executive Summary
3 Market Attractiveness and Emerging Opportunities
3.1. Defense Market Size Historical and Forecast
3.1.1. Indonesian defense budget expected to reach US$20.4 billion by 2020, at a CAGR of 16.44%
3.1.2. Defense expenditure is driven by the modernization of the armed forces, indigenization, territorial disputes, and natural disasters
3.1.3. Defense budget as a percentage of GDP expected to increase over the forecast period
3.2. Analysis of Defense Budget Allocation
3.2.1. Capital expenditure share in defense budget to expected to be same over the forecast period
3.2.2. Per capita defense expenditure expected to increase during the forecast period
3.3. Homeland Security Market Size and Forecast
3.3.1. Homeland security expenditure is expected to grow at a CAGR of 4.91% during the forecast period
3.3.2. Border Security and Terrorism to drive the homeland security market over the forecast period
3.3.3. Indonesia considered as some risk category of terrorist attack
3.3.4. Indonesia has a terrorism index score of "0.4"
3.4. Benchmarking with Key Global Markets
3.4.1. Indonesias defense budget expected to register rapid growth over the forecast period
3.4.2. Indonesian defense expenditure is relatively smaller than other Asian countries
3.4.3. The Indonesian defense budget as a percentage of GDP is expected to increase during 2016-2020
3.4.4. Indonesia suffers some level of terrorist activity
3.5. Market Opportunities: Key Trends and Growth Stimulators
3.5.1. Infrastructure Construction
3.5.2. Multi-Role Aircraft
3.5.3. Submarine
3.5.4. Cyber Security
4 Defense Procurement Market Dynamics
4.1. Import Market Dynamics
4.1.1. Defense imports expected to increase during forecast period
4.1.2. Aircraft and ships constitute the majority of Indonesian defense imports
4.1.3. Indonesia plans to diversify arms imports
4.2. Export Market Dynamics
4.2.1. Indonesia does not possess significant defense export capability
5 Industry Dynamics
5.1. Five Forces Analysis
5.1.1. Bargaining power of supplier: Low
5.1.2. Bargaining power of Buyer: Medium
5.1.3. Barrier to entry: Medium
5.1.4. Intensity of rivalry: Low
5.1.5. Threat of Substitution: High
6 Market Entry Strategy
6.1. Market Regulation
6.1.1. Defense investment policy conducive to both domestic and foreign investment
6.1.2. New procurement policy to support small and medium enterprises
6.1.3. Indonesia to launch formal offset policy
6.2. Market Entry Route
6.2.1. Foreign defense suppliers enter the Indonesian defense market primarily through joint ventures
6.2.2. Strategic partnership and military collaborations an easier way to access the Indonesian defense market
6.3. Key Challenges
6.3.1. Small defense budget deters investment
6.3.2. Lack of defense infrastructure
6.3.3. Corruption impedes the growth of the Indonesian defense industry
7 Competitive Landscape and Strategic Insights
7.1. Competitive landscape Overview
7.2. Key Public Sector Companies
7.2.1. PT Dirgantara Indonesia: overview
7.2.2. PT Dirgantara Indonesia: Major Products and Services
7.2.3. PT Digantara Indonesia: recent announcements and strategic initiatives
7.2.4. PT Digantara Indonesia: alliances
7.2.5. PT Digantara Indonesia: recent contract wins
7.2.6. PAL Indonesia: overview
7.2.7. PAL Indonesia: Major Products and Services
7.2.8. PAL Indonesia: recent announcements and strategic initiatives
7.2.9. PAL Indonesia: Alliances
7.2.10. PAL Indonesia: Recent Contract Wins
7.2.11. PT Pindad: overview
7.2.12. PT Pindad: Major Products and Services
7.2.13. PT Pindad: recent announcements and strategic initiatives
7.2.14. PT Pindad: alliances
7.2.15. PT Pindad: Recent Contract Wins
7.2.16. Dok and Perkapalan: overview
7.2.17. Dok and Perkapalan: Major Products and Services
7.2.18. Dok and Perkapalan: recent announcements and strategic initiatives
7.2.19. Dok and Perkapalan: alliances
7.2.20. Dok and Perkapalan: Recent Contract Wins
7.3. Key Private Sector Companies
7.3.1. PT Dahana: overview
7.3.2. PT Dahana: products and services
7.3.3. PT Dahana: recent announcements and strategic initiatives
7.3.4. PT Dahana: alliances
7.3.5. PT Dahana: recent contract wins
7.3.6. PT Multiintegra: overview
7.3.7. PT Multiintegra: products and services
7.3.8. PT Multiintegra: recent announcements and strategic initiatives
7.3.9. PT Multiintegra: recent contract wins
7.3.10. Radar and Communications Systems: overview
7.3.11. Radar and Communications Systems: products and services
7.3.12. Radar and Communications Systems: recent announcements and strategic initiatives.
7.3.13. Radar and Communications Systems: alliances
7.3.14. PT SOG Indonesia: overview
7.3.15. PT SOG Indonesia: products and services
7.3.16. PT SOG Indonesia: recent announcements and strategic initiatives
7.3.17. PT SOG Indonesia: alliances
8 Business Environment and Country Risk
8.1. Demographics and Social Statistics
8.1.1. Total Rural Population
8.1.2. Total Urban Population
8.2. Economic Performance
8.2.1. GDP Per Capita
8.2.2. GDP, Current Prices
8.2.3. Exports of goods and services, current prices
8.2.4. Imports of goods and services, current prices
8.2.5. Gross National disposable income (USD Bn)
8.2.6. Consumer Price Index
8.2.7. Wholesale Price Index
8.2.8. Local Currency Unit per US Dollar
8.2.9. Local Currency Unit per Euro
8.2.10. Lending Rate (%)
8.2.11. Deposit Rate (%)
8.2.12. Real Interest Rate (%)
8.2.13. Market Capitalization of Listed Companies
8.2.14. Market Capitalization of Listed Companies (% of GDP)
8.2.15. Government Cash Surplus/Deficit
8.2.16. Government Cash Surplus/Deficit as % of GDP
8.2.17. Central government debt (LCU Bn)
8.2.18. Central government debt as % of GDP (LCU Bn)
8.2.19. Goods exports as % of GDP
8.2.20. Goods imports as % of GDP
8.2.21. Goods Trade Surplus/Deficit as % of GDP
8.2.22. Service Imports as % of GDP
8.2.23. Service Exports as % of GDP
8.2.24. Service Trade Surplus/Deficit as % of GDP
8.2.25. Foreign Direct Investment (US$ Billion)
8.2.26. Net foreign direct investment as % of GDP
8.2.27. International reserves, including gold
8.2.28. External Debt (US$ Billion)
8.2.29. External Debt as % of GDP
8.3. Energy and Utilities
8.3.1. Conventional Thermal Electricity Net Generation
8.3.2. Hydroelectricity Net Generation
8.3.3. Nuclear Electricity Net Generation
8.3.4. Conventional Thermal Electricity Installed Capacity
8.3.5. Proved Natural Gas Reserves
8.3.6. Petroleum Consumption
8.3.7. Crude Oil Proved Reserves (Billion Barrels)
8.3.8. Indonesian Non-Hydro Renewable Electricity Net Generation (Billion Kilowatts)
8.4. Infrastructure
8.4.1. Roads, total network (km)
8.4.2. Air transport, freight
8.4.3. Overall Construction (US$ Million)
8.5. Minerals
8.5.1. Patents Granted
8.6. Telecommunication
8.6.1. Telephone Lines
8.6.2. Telephone Lines Penetration Rate
9 Appendix
9.1. About SDI
9.2. Disclaimer

List of Tables


Table 1: Indonesian Defense Expenditure (US$ Billion), 2011-2015
Table 2: Indonesian Defense Expenditure (US$ Billion), 2016-2020
Table 3: Indonesian Defense Expenditure (in IDR Trillion), 2011-2015
Table 4: Indonesian Defense Expenditure (in IDR Trillion), 2016-2020
Table 5: Indonesian GDP Growth vs. Defense Expenditure Growth and Defense Expenditure as Percentage of GDP, 2011-2015
Table 6: Indonesian GDP Growth vs. Defense Expenditure Growth and Defense Expenditure as Percentage of GDP, 2016-2020
Table 7: Indonesian Defense Budget Split Between Capital and Revenue Expenditure (%), 2011-2015
Table 8: Indonesian Defense Budget Split Between Capital and Revenue Expenditure (%), 2016-2020
Table 9: Indonesian Per Capita Defense Expenditure (US$), 2011-2015
Table 10: Indonesian Per Capita Defense Expenditure (US$), 2016-2020
Table 11: Indonesian Homeland Security Budget (US$ billion), 2011-2015
Table 12: Indonesian Homeland Security Budget (US$ billion), 2016-2020
Table 13: Indonesian Homeland Security Budget (IDR Trillion), 2011-2015
Table 14: Indonesian Homeland Security Budget (IDR Trillion), 2016-2020
Table 15: Benchmarking with Key Markets - 2011-2015 vs. 2016-2020
Table 16: SDI Terrorism Index
Table 17: Offset Regulations in Indonesia
Table 18: PT Digantara Indonesia-Major Products and Services
Table 19: PT Digantara Indonesia - Alliances
Table 20: PT Digantara Indonesia - recent contract wins
Table 21: PAL Indonesia - Major Products and Services
Table 22: PAL Indonesia - Alliances
Table 23: PAL Indonesia - recent contract wins
Table 24: PT Pindad - Major Products and Services
Table 25: PT Pindad - Alliances
Table 26: PT Pindad - recent contract wins
Table 27: Dok and Perkapalan-Major Products and Services
Table 28: Dok and Perkapalan-Alliances
Table 29: Dok and Perkapalan- recent contract wins
Table 30: PT Dahana - Major Products and Services
Table 31: PT Dahana - Alliances
Table 32: PT Dahana- recent contract wins
Table 33: PT Multiintegra- Major Products and Services
Table 34: PT Multiintegra - Recent Contract Wins
Table 35: Radar and Communications Systems - Major Products and Services
Table 36: Radar and Communications Systems- Alliances
Table 37: PT SOG Indonesia - Major Products and Services
Table 38: PT SOG Indonesia - Alliances
PT Dirgantara, PAL Indonesia, PT Pindad, Dok and Perkapalan (DKS), PT Dahana, PT Multiintegra, Radar and Communications Systems, PT SOG Indonesia

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