Future of the Indonesian Defense Industry - Market Attractiveness, Competitive Landscape and Forecasts to 2021

Future of the Indonesian Defense Industry - Market Attractiveness, Competitive Landscape and Forecasts to 2021

Code: SDI-DF0372MR | Published: Aug-2016 | Pages: 82 | Strategic Defence Intelligence
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The Future of the Indonesian Defense Industry - Market Attractiveness, Competitive Landscape and Forecasts to 2021, published by Strategic Defence Intelligence, provides readers with detailed analysis of both historic and forecast defense industry values, factors influencing demand, the challenges faced by industry participants, analysis of industry leading companies, and key developments.

Key Findings
- Over the historic period, Indonesias defense expenditure registered a CAGR of 0.85%, increasing from US$6.7 billion in 2012 to US$7 billion in 2016

- The Indonesian military expenditure, estimated to value US$8 billion in 2017, is expected to increase marginally, to reach US$12 billion by 2021, registering a CAGR of 11.13% over the forecast period

- The countrys military expenditure will be driven by the territorial disputes and modernization of its armed forces

- The Defense Ministry is expected to spend more onmulti-role combat aircraft, diesel electric submarines, and infrastructure construction

Synopsis
This report offers detailed analysis of the Indonesian defense industry with market size forecasts covering the next five years. This report will also analyze factors that influence demand for the industry, key market trends, and challenges faced by industry participants.

In particular, it provides an in-depth analysis of the following:

- The Indonesian defense industry market size and drivers: detailed analysis of the Indonesian defense industry during 2017-2021, including highlights of the demand drivers and growth stimulators for the industry. It also provides a snapshot of the countrys expenditure and modernization programs

- Budget allocation and key challenges: insights into procurement schedules formulated within the country. It also details the key challenges faced by defense market participants within the country

- Porters Five Force analysis of the Indonesian defense industry: analysis of market characteristics by determining the bargaining power of suppliers, bargaining power of buyers, threat of substitution, intensity of rivalry, and barriers to entry

- Import and Export Dynamics: analysis of prevalent trends in the countrys imports and exports over the last five years

- Market opportunities: Details of the top five defense investment opportunities over the coming 10 years

- Competitive landscape and strategic insights: Competitive landscape analysis of the Indonesian defense industry. It provides an overview of key players, together with insights such as key alliances, strategic initiatives, and a brief financial analysis

Reasons To Buy
- This report will give the user confidence to make the correct business decisions based on a detailed analysis of the Indonesian defense industry market trends for the coming five years

- The market opportunity section will inform the user about the various military requirements that are expected to generate revenues during the forecast period. The description includes technical specifications, recent orders, and the expected investment pattern by the country during the forecast period

- Detailed profiles of the top domestic and foreign defense manufacturers with information about their products, alliances, recent contract wins and financial analysis wherever available. This will provide the user with a total competitive landscape of the sector

- A deep qualitative analysis of the Indonesian defense industry covering sections including demand drivers, Porters Five Forces Analysis, Key Trends and Growth Stimulators, and latest industry contracts

Table of Contents

1 Introduction
1.1. What is this Report About?
1.2. Definitions
1.3. Summary Methodology
1.4. SDI Terrorism Index
1.5. About Strategic Defence Intelligence
2 Executive Summary
3 Market Attractiveness and Emerging Opportunities
3.1. Defense Market Size Historical and Forecast
3.1.1. Indonesian defense budget to grow at an estimated CAGR of 11.13% during 2017-2021
3.1.2. Territorial disputes, natural disasters, and modernization of the armed forces drives the Indonesias defense expenditure
3.1.3. Defense budget as a percentage of GDP expected to increase over the forecast period
3.2. Analysis of Defense Budget Allocation
3.2.1. Share of capital expenditure in defense budget is expected to increase over the forecast period
3.2.2. Capital expenditure is anticipated to record a CAGR of 12.45% during the forecast period
3.2.3. Indonesian per-capita defense expenditure to increase during the forecast period
3.3. Homeland Security Market Size and Forecast
3.3.1. Homeland Security market in Indonesia is expected to grow at a CAGR of 7.86% during the forecast period
3.3.2. Homeland security market is driven by border security issues and terrorism
3.3.3. Indonesia falls under "highly affected" category in the terrorism index
3.3.4. Indonesia faces threats from terrorist organizations
3.3.5. Indonesia has a terrorism index score of 4.8
3.4. Benchmarking with Key Global Markets
3.4.1. Indonesias defense budget is expected to register a rapid growth over the forecast period
3.4.2. Indonesia is expected to remain among top defense spending countries in Asia
3.4.3. Indonesian defense budget as a percentage of GDP is expected to increase over the forecast period
3.5. Market Opportunities: Key Trends and Drivers
3.5.1. Multi-role Aircraft
3.5.2. Infrastructure Construction
3.5.3. Diesel Electric Submarine
4 Defense Procurement Market Dynamics
4.1. Import Market Dynamics
4.1.1. Defense imports are expected to increase during forecast period
4.1.2. Aircraft and Ships accounted for a total share 70.2% in Indonesian defense imports
4.1.3. U.S, U.K, and Russia are the major suppliers for Indonesia
4.2. Export Market Dynamics
5 Industry Dynamics
5.1. Five Forces Analysis
5.1.1. Bargaining power of supplier: Low
5.1.2. Bargaining power of Buyer: Medium
5.1.3. Barrier to entry: Medium
5.1.4. Intensity of rivalry: Low
5.1.5. Threat of Substitution: High
6 Market Entry Strategy
6.1. Market Regulation
6.1.1. Defense investment policy conducive to both domestic and foreign investment
6.1.2. New procurement policy to support small and medium enterprises
6.1.3. Formal offset policy
6.2. Market Entry Route
6.2.1. Foreign defense suppliers enter the Indonesian defense market primarily through joint ventures
6.2.2. Strategic partnership and military collaborations an easier way to access the Indonesian defense market
6.3. Key Challenges
6.3.1. Corruption is a major challenge that hinders growth of the Indonesian defense industry
6.3.2. Small defense budget deters investment
6.3.3. Lack of defense infrastructure
7 Competitive landscape and Strategic Insights
7.1. Competitive landscape Overview
7.2. Key Public Sector Companies
7.2.1. PT Dirgantara Indonesia: overview
7.2.2. PT Dirgantara Indonesia: Major Products and Services
7.2.3. PT Dirgantara Indonesia: recent announcements and strategic initiatives
7.2.4. PT Dirgantara Indonesia: alliances
7.2.5. PT Dirgantara Indonesia: recent contract wins
7.2.6. PAL Indonesia: overview
7.2.7. PAL Indonesia: Major Products and Services
7.2.8. PAL Indonesia: recent announcements and strategic initiatives
7.2.9. PAL Indonesia: Alliances
7.2.10. PAL Indonesia: Recent Contract Wins
7.2.11. PT Pindad: overview
7.2.12. PT Pindad: Major Products and Services
7.2.13. PT Pindad: recent announcements and strategic initiatives
7.2.14. PT Pindad: alliances
7.2.15. PT Pindad: Recent Contract Wins
7.2.16. DokandPerkapalan: overview
7.2.17. DokandPerkapalan: Major Products and Services
7.2.18. DokandPerkapalan: recent announcements and strategic initiatives
7.2.19. DokandPerkapalan: alliances
7.2.20. DokandPerkapalan: Recent Contract Wins
7.3. Key Private Sector Companies
7.3.1. PT Dahana: overview
7.3.2. PT Dahana: products and services
7.3.3. PT Dahana: recent announcements and strategic initiatives
7.3.4. PT Dahana: alliances
7.3.5. PT Dahana: recent contract wins
7.3.6. PT Multiintegra: overview
7.3.7. PT Multiintegra: products and services
7.3.8. PT Multiintegra: Recent announcements and strategic initiatives
7.3.9. PT Multiintegra: alliances
7.3.10. PT Multiintegra: recent contract wins
7.3.11. PT SOG Indonesia: overview
7.3.12. PT SOG Indonesia: products and services
7.3.13. PT SOG Indonesia: recent announcements and strategic initiatives
7.3.14. PT SOG Indonesia: alliances
8 Business Environment and Country Risk
8.1. Economic Performance
8.1.1. GDP per capita at constant prices (US$)
8.1.2. GDP at current prices (US$ Billions)
8.1.3. Exports of goods and services (IDR Billion)
8.1.4. Imports of goods and services (IDR Billion)
8.1.5. Gross national disposable income (US$ billion)
8.1.6. IDR per US$ (period average)
8.1.7. Market capitalization of listed companies (US$ billion)
8.1.8. Market capitalization of listed companies (% of GDP)
8.1.9. Government cash surplus/deficit asa percentage of GDP (IDR)
8.1.10. Goods exports and imports as a percentage of GDP
8.1.11. Services imports and exports as a percentage of GDP
8.1.12. Foreign direct investment, net (BoP, current US$ billions)
8.1.13. Net foreign direct investment as a percentage of GDP
8.2. Mineral
8.2.1. Mining, Manufacturing, Utilities Output (IDR Billions)
9 Appendix
9.1. About SDI
9.2. Disclaimer

List of Tables


Table 1: Indonesian Defense Expenditure (IDR trillionand US$ billion), 2012-2021
Table 2: Indonesian GDP Growth and Defense Expenditure as Percentage of GDP Growth, 2012-2021
Table 3: Indonesian Defense Budget Split Between Capital and Revenue Expenditure (%), 2012-2021
Table 4: Indonesian Defense Capital Expenditure (IDR trillion and US$ billion), 2012-2021
Table 5: Indonesian Per Capita Defense Expenditure (US$), 2012-2021
Table 6: Indonesian Homeland Security Expenditure (IDR trillion and US$ billion), 2012-2021
Table 7: SDI Terrorism Index, 2016
Table 8: Benchmarking with Key Markets - 2012-2016 vs. 2017-2021
Table 9: Investment policy regulations in Indonesia
Table 10: PT Dirgantara Indonesia - Major Products and Services
Table 11: PT Dirgantara Indonesia - Alliances
Table 12: PT Dirgantara Indonesia - recent contract wins
Table 13: PAL Indonesia - Alliances
Table 14: PAL Indonesia - Recent contract wins
Table 15: PT Pindad - Major Products and Services
Table 16: PT Pindad?Alliances
Table 17: PT Pindad - recent contract wins
Table 18: DokandPerkapalan-Alliances
Table 19: DokandPerkapalan- recent contract wins
Table 20: PT Dahana - Alliances
Table 21: PT Dahana- recent contract wins
Table 22: PT Multiintegra- Major Products and Services
Table 23: PT Multiintegra? Alliances
Table 24: PT Multiintegra - Recent Contract Wins
Table 25: PT SOG Indonesia - Major Products and Services
Table 26: PT SOG Indonesia - Alliances

List of Figures


Figure 1: Indonesian Defense Expenditure (IDR trillion), 2012-2021
Figure 2: Indonesian Defense Expenditure (US$ Billion), 2012-2021
Figure 3: Indonesian GDP Growth and Defense Expenditure as Percentage of GDP Growth, 2012-2021
Figure 4: Indonesian Defense Budget Split Between Capital and Revenue Expenditure (%),2012-2021
Figure 5: Indonesian Defense Capital Expenditure (IDR Trillion), 2012-2021
Figure 6: Indonesian Defense Capital Expenditure (US$ Billion), 2012-2021
Figure 7: Indonesian Per Capita Defense Expenditure (US$), 2012-2021
Figure 8: Indonesian Homeland Security Expenditure (IDR trillion), 2012-2021
Figure 9: Indonesian Homeland Security Expenditure (US$ billion), 2012-2021
Figure 10: SDI Terrorism Heat Map, 2016
Figure 11: SDI Terrorism Index, 2016
Figure 12: Benchmarking with Key Markets, 2012-2016 vs. 2017-2021
Figure 13: Defense Expenditure of the Worlds Largest Military Spenders (US$ billion), 2016 and 2021
Figure 14: Defense Expenditure as a Percentage of GDP of Largest Military Spenders (%), 2016
Figure 15: Multi-Role Aircraft Market Size (US$ Million), 2016 -2026
Figure 16: Infrastructure Construction Market Size (US$ Million), 2016 -2026
Figure 17: Diesel Electric Submarine Market Size (US$ Million), 2016-2026
Figure 18: Indonesian Defense Import Trend (US$ Million), 2011-2015 (TIV values*)
Figure 19: Indonesian Defense Imports by Category (%), 2011-2015
Figure 20: Indonesian Defense Imports by Country (%), 2011-2015
Figure 21: Industry Dynamics - Porters Five Forces Analysis
Figure 22: Indonesian GDP Per Capita at Constant Prices (US$), 2015-2025
Figure 23: Indonesian GDP at Current Prices (US$ Billion), 2015-2025
Figure 24: Indonesian Exports of goods and services (IDR Billion), 2005-2014
Figure 25: Indonesian Imports of goods and services (IDR Billion), 2005-2014
Figure 26: Indonesian Gross national disposable income (US$ Billion), 2005-2012
Figure 27: Indonesian IDR per US$, 2015-2024
Figure 28: Indonesian market capitalization of listed companies (US$ billion), 2005-2012
Figure 29: Indonesian market capitalization of listed companies (% of GDP), 2005-2012
Figure 30: Indonesia? Government cash surplus/deficit as % of GDP (IDR), 2005-2009
Figure 31: Indonesia? Goods exports and imports as a % of GDP (%), 2005-2014
Figure 32: Indonesia? Services imports and exports as a % of GDP (%), 2005-2014
Figure 33: Indonesian Foreign direct investment, net (BoP, current US$ billion), 2005-2014
Figure 34: Indonesia? Net foreign direct investment as % of GDP, 2005?2014
Figure 35: Indonesian? Mining, Manufacturing, Utilities Output (IDR Billion), 2005-2014
PT Dirgantara Indonesia
PAL Indonesia
PT Pindad
DokandPerkapalan
PT Dahana
PT Multiintegra
PT SOG Indonesia

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