Future of the Japanese Defense Industry - Market Attractiveness, Competitive Landscape and Forecasts to 2020

Future of the Japanese Defense Industry - Market Attractiveness, Competitive Landscape and Forecasts to 2020

Code: SDI-DF0294MR | Published: Feb-2015 | Pages: 171 | Strategic Defence Intelligence
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The Future of the Japanese Defense Industry - Market Attractiveness, Competitive Landscape and Forecasts to 2020, published by Strategic Defence Intelligence, provides readers with detailed analysis of both historic and forecast defense industry values, factors influencing demand, the challenges faced by industry participants, analysis of industry leading companies, and key news.

Key Findings
- Over the historic period, Japanese defense expenditure registered a growth rate of -8.17%, decreasing from US$60 billion in 2011 to US$42.6 billion in 2015

- Japanese military expenditure, valued at US$42.6 billion in 2015, is expected to increase to US$46.4 billion by 2020, registering a CAGR of 1.84% over the forecast period

- Expenditure will be driven by efforts to combat threats posed by the missile development programs of North Korea and strategic challenges from China

- The Defense Ministry is expected to procure Transport Aircraft, Border Surveillance and Detection, Multi-role Aircraft, Reconnaissance and Surveillance Aircraft, and IT Services-Hardware

Synopsis
This report offers detailed analysis of the Japanese defense industry with market size forecasts covering the next five years. This report will also analyze factors that influence demand for the industry, key market trends, and challenges faced by industry participants.

In particular, it provides an in-depth analysis of the following:

- The Japanese defense industry market size and drivers: detailed analysis of the Japanese defense industry during 2016-2020, including highlights of the demand drivers and growth stimulators for the industry. It also provides a snapshot of the countrys expenditure and modernization patterns

- Budget allocation and key challenges: insights into procurement schedules formulated within the country and a breakdown of the defense budget with respect to the army, navy, and air force. It also details the key challenges faced by defense market participants within the country

- Porters Five Force analysis of the Japanese defense industry: analysis of the market characteristics by determining the bargaining power of suppliers, bargaining power of buyers, threat of substitution, intensity of rivalry, and barriers to entry

- Import and Export Dynamics: analysis of prevalent trends in the countrys imports and exports over the last five years

- Market opportunities: details of the top five defense investment opportunities over the coming 10 years

- Competitive landscape and strategic insights: analysis of the competitive landscape of the Japanese defense industry. It provides an overview of key players, together with insights such as key alliances, strategic initiatives, and a brief financial analysis

Reasons To Buy
- This report will give the user confidence to make the correct business decisions based on a detailed analysis of the Japanese defense industry market trends for the coming five years

- The market opportunity section will inform the user about the various military requirements that are expected to generate revenues during the forecast period. The description includes technical specifications, recent orders, and the expected investment pattern by the country during the forecast period

- Detailed profiles of the top domestic and foreign defense manufacturers with information about their products, alliances, recent contract wins, and financial analysis wherever available. This will provide the user with a total competitive landscape of the sector

- A deep qualitative analysis of the Japanese defense industry covering sections including demand drivers, Porters Five Forces Analysis, Key Trends and Growth Stimulators, and latest industry contracts

Table of Contents

1 Introduction
1.1. What is this Report About?
1.2. Definitions
1.3. Summary Methodology
1.4. SDI Terrorism Index
1.5. About Strategic Defense Intelligence
2 Executive Summary
3 Market Attractiveness and Emerging Opportunities
3.1. Defense Market Size Historical and Forecast
3.1.1. Japan to cumulatively invest US$223.6 billion in the defense sector over the forecast period
3.1.2. Nuclear missile development programs of North Korea and strategic challenges from China are the major drivers of Japanese defense industry
3.1.3. Defense budget as a percentage of GDP expected to average 0.83% over the forecast period
3.2. Analysis of Defense Budget Allocation
3.2.1. Ministry of Defense is expected to allocate an average of 19.1% towards capital expenditure during the forecast period
3.2.2. Procurement of equipment expected to pick up over the forecast period
3.2.3. The Japanese Army accounts for the largest percentage share of overall defense budget
3.2.4. Army defense expenditure expected to increase over the forecast period
3.2.5. Air Force expenditure to cumulatively value US$48.8 billion over the forecast period
3.2.6. Japanese Naval defense expenditure to grow at a CAGR of 1.97% over the forecast period
3.2.7. Per capita defense expenditure expected to increase over the forecast period
3.3. Homeland Security Market Size and Forecast
3.3.1. The Japanese Homeland Security expenditure is expected to grow at a CAGR of 5.90% over the forecast period
3.3.2. Intrusion in coastal areas, organized crime, and natural disasters are expected to drive the Japanese Homeland Security expenditure
3.3.3. Japan faces "Some risk" of terrorism
3.4. Benchmarking with Key Global Markets
3.4.1. Japan is the sixth-largest defense spender globally
3.4.2. Japans defense expenditure is low compared to US, China and Russia
3.4.3. Japanese defense budget as a percentage of GDP is expected to remain below 1% over the forecast period
3.4.4. Japan has a score of 0.1 on the SDI Research Intelligence Terrorism Index
3.5. Market Opportunities: Key Trends and Growth Stimulators
3.5.1. Transport Aircraft
3.5.2. Border Surveillance and Detection
3.5.3. Multi-role Aircraft
3.5.4. Reconnaissance and Surveillance Aircraft
3.5.5. IT Services - Hardware
4 Defense Procurement Market Dynamics
4.1. Import Market Dynamics
4.1.1. Japan to sign new defense import programs with foreign countries
4.1.2. Procurement of F-35 aircraft to increase defense imports marginally over the forecast period
4.1.3. US was the key defense supplier to Japan
4.1.4. Aircraft and missiles were the key defense imports during 2009-2013
4.2. Export Market Dynamics
4.2.1. Relaxation in export policies to boost the Japanese exports
5 Industry Dynamics
5.1. Five Forces Analysis
5.1.1. Bargaining power of supplier: low
5.1.2. Bargaining power of buyer: high
5.1.3. Barrier to entry: high
5.1.4. Intensity of rivalry: high
5.1.5. Threat of substitution: medium
6 Market Entry Strategy
6.1. Market Regulation
6.1.1. No offset policy in Japan
6.1.2. Restrictive defense policies to prevent increase in foreign investment
6.2. Market Entry Route
6.2.1. Affiliation with Japanese defense companies can be used as an entry strategy
6.2.2. Foreign military sales to Japan
6.2.3. Entry through technology transfer program
6.3. Key Challenges
6.3.1. Domestic companies fail to achieve economies of scale
6.3.2. Japanese export policy still poses a challenge for domestic defense companies
7 Competitive Landscape and Strategic Insights
7.1. Competitive Landscape Overview
7.2. Key Foreign Competitors
7.2.1. Lockheed Martin: overview
7.2.2. Lockheed Martin: products and services
7.2.3. Lockheed Martin: recent announcements and strategic initiatives
7.2.4. Lockheed Martin: alliances
7.2.5. Lockheed Martin: recent contract wins
7.2.6. Lockheed Martin: financial analysis
7.2.7. Raytheon: overview
7.2.8. Raytheon: products and services
7.2.9. Raytheon: recent announcements and strategic initiatives
7.2.10. Raytheon: alliances
7.2.11. Raytheon: recent contract wins
7.2.12. Raytheon: financial analysis
7.2.13. BAE Systems: overview
7.2.14. BAE Systems: products and services
7.2.15. BAE Systems: recent announcements and strategic initiatives
7.2.16. BAE Systems: alliances
7.2.17. BAE Systems: recent contract wins
7.2.18. BAE Systems: financial analysis
7.2.19. Airbus Group: overview
7.2.20. Airbus Group: defense products
7.2.21. Airbus Group: recent announcements and strategic initiatives
7.2.22. Airbus Group: recent contract wins
7.3. Key Domestic Companies
7.3.1. NEC Corporation: overview
7.3.2. NEC Corporation: products and services
7.3.3. NEC Corporation: recent contracts and strategic initiatives
7.3.4. NEC Corporation: alliances
7.3.5. NEC Corporation: recent contract wins
7.3.6. NEC Corporation: financial analysis
7.3.7. Toshiba Corporation: overview
7.3.8. Toshiba Corporation: defense products
7.3.9. Toshiba Corporation: recent announcements and strategic initiatives
7.3.10. Toshiba Corporation: alliances
7.3.11. Toshiba Corporation: recent contract wins
7.3.12. Toshiba: financial analysis
7.3.13. Mitsubishi Heavy Industries: overview
7.3.14. Mitsubishi Heavy Industries: defense products
7.3.15. Mitsubishi Heavy Industries: recent announcements and strategic initiatives
7.3.16. Mitsubishi Heavy Industries: alliances
7.3.17. Mitsubishi Heavy Industries: recent contract wins
7.3.18. Mitsubishi Heavy Industries: financial analysis
7.3.19. Kawasaki Heavy Industries: overview
7.3.20. Kawasaki Heavy Industries: defense products
7.3.21. Kawasaki Heavy Industries: recent announcements and strategic initiatives
7.3.22. Kawasaki Heavy Industries: alliances
7.3.23. Kawasaki Heavy Industries: recent contract wins
7.3.24. Kawasaki Heavy Industries: financial analysis
7.3.25. Ishikawajima-Harima Heavy Industries Co. Ltd.: overview
7.3.26. Ishikawajima-Harima Heavy Industries Co. Ltd.: products and services
7.3.27. Ishikawajima-Harima Heavy Industries Co. Ltd.: recent announcements and strategic initiatives
7.3.28. Ishikawajima-Harima Heavy Industries Co. Ltd.: alliances
7.3.29. Ishikawajima-Harima Heavy Industries Co. Ltd.: recent contract wins
7.3.30. Mitsubishi Electric Corporation: overview
7.3.31. Mitsubishi Electric Corporation: products and services
7.3.32. Mitsubishi Electric Corporation: recent announcements and strategic initiatives
7.3.33. Mitsubishi Electric Corporation: alliances
7.3.34. Mitsubishi Electric Corporation: recent contract wins
7.3.35. Mitsubishi Electric Corporation: financial analysis
8 Business Environment and Country Risk
8.1. Demographics
8.1.1. Total Rural population
8.1.2. Total urban population
8.1.3. Number of households
8.2. Economic Performance
8.2.1. GDP per capita at constant prices
8.2.2. GDP at current prices (US$)
8.2.3. Exports of goods and services (current US$ billion)
8.2.4. Imports of goods and services (current US$ billion)
8.2.5. Gross national disposable income (US$ billion)
8.2.6. Manufacturing output (US$ billion)
8.2.7. Consumer price index
8.2.8. Wholesale price index
8.2.9. LCU per US$ (period average)
8.2.10. LCU per Euro (period average)
8.2.11. Lending Rate (%)
8.2.12. Deposit rate (%)
8.2.13. Real interest rate (%)
8.2.14. Market capitalization of listed companies (US$ billion)
8.2.15. Market capitalization of listed companies (% of GDP)
8.2.16. Total Government cash surplus/deficit (LCU billion)
8.2.17. Government cash surplus/deficit as % of GDP (LCU)
8.2.18. Central government debt (LCU billion)
8.2.19. Goods exports as a % of GDP
8.2.20. Goods imports as a % of GDP
8.2.21. Goods balance as a % of GDP
8.2.22. Services imports as a % of GDP
8.2.23. Service exports as a % of GDP
8.2.24. Services balance as a % of GDP
8.2.25. Foreign direct investment, net (BoP, current US$ billions)
8.2.26. Net foreign direct investment as % of GDP
8.2.27. International reserves, including gold (US$ billion)
8.3. Energy and utilities
8.3.1. Total Conventional Thermal Electricity Net Generation (Billion Kilowatt hours)
8.3.2. Hydroelectricity Net Generation (Billion Kilowatt hours)
8.3.3. Nuclear Electricity Net Generation (Billion Kilowatt hours)
8.3.4. Total Conventional Thermal Electricity Installed Capacity (Million Kilowatts)
8.3.5. Proved Reserves of Natural Gas (Trillion Cubic Feet)
8.3.6. Total Petroleum Consumption (Thousand Barrels Per Day)
8.3.7. Crude Oil Proved Reserves (Billion Barrels)
8.3.8. Total Non-Hydro Renewable Electricity Net Generation (Billion Kilowatts)
8.4. Infrastructure Quality and Availability
8.4.1. Roads, total network (km)
8.4.2. Rail lines (total route-km)
8.4.3. Air transport, freight (million ton-km)
8.4.4. Overall construction (US$ billion)
8.5. Mineral
8.5.1. Mining, Manufacturing, Utilities Output (US$ billion)
8.6. Technology
8.6.1. Research and development expenditure (LCU Thousands)
8.6.2. Patents Granted
8.7. Telecommunication
8.7.1. Telephone lines (In million)
8.7.2. Telephone lines Penetration Rate (per 100 people)
9 Appendix
9.1. About SDI
9.2. Disclaimer

List of Tables


Table 1: Japanese Defense Expenditure (US$ Billion), 2011-2015
Table 2: Japanese Defense Expenditure (US$ Billion), 2016-2020
Table 3: Japanese Defense Expenditure (JPY Billion), 2011-2015
Table 4: Japanese Defense Expenditure (JPY Billion), 2016-2020
Table 5: Japanese GDP Growth vs. Defense Expenditure Growth and Defense Expenditure as Percentage of GDP, 2011-2015
Table 6: Japanese GDP Growth vs. Defense Expenditure Growth and Defense Expenditure as Percentage of GDP, 2016-2020
Table 7: Japanese Defense Budget Split between Capital, Revenue, SACO and the US Forces Realignment Expenditure (%), 2011-2015
Table 8: Japanese Defense Budget Split between Capital, Revenue, SACO and the US Forces Realignment Expenditure (%), 2016-2020
Table 9: Japanese Capital Expenditure (US$ Billion), 2011-2015
Table 10: Japanese Capital Expenditure (US$ Billion), 2016-2020
Table 11: Japanese Capital Expenditure (JPY Billion), 2011-2015
Table 12: Japanese Capital Expenditure (JPY Billion), 2016-2020
Table 13: Japanese Defense Expenditure Breakdown (%), 2011-2015
Table 14: Japanese Defense Expenditure Breakdown (%), 2016-2020
Table 15: Japanese Defense Expenditure for Army (US$ Billion), 2011-2015
Table 16: Japanese Defense Expenditure for Army (US$ Billion), 2016-2020
Table 17: Japanese Expenditure for Army (JPY Billion), 2011-2015
Table 18: Japanese Defense Expenditure for Army (JPY Billion), 2016-2020
Table 19: Japanese Defense Expenditure for Air Force (US$ Billion), 2011-2015
Table 20: Japanese Defense Expenditure for Air Force (US$ Billion), 2016-2020
Table 21: Japanese Expenditure for Air Force (JPY Billion), 2011-2015
Table 22: Japanese Expenditure for Air Force (JPY Billion), 2016-2020
Table 23: Japanese Expenditure for Navy (US$ Billion), 2011-2015
Table 24: Japanese Expenditure for Navy (US$ Billion), 2016-2020
Table 25: Japanese Expenditure for Navy (JPY Billion), 2011-2015
Table 26: Japanese Expenditure for Navy (JPY Billion), 2016-2020
Table 27: Japanese Per Capita Defense Expenditure (US$), 2011-2015
Table 28: Japanese Per Capita Defense Expenditure (US$), 2016-2020
Table 29: Japanese Homeland Security Budget (US$ Billion), 2011-2015
Table 30: Japanese Homeland Security Budget (US$ Billion), 2016-2020
Table 31: Japanese Homeland Security Budget (JPY Billion), 2011-2015
Table 32: Japanese Homeland Security Budget (JPY Billion), 2016-2020
Table 33: Benchmarking with Key Markets - 2011-2015 vs. 2016-2020
Table 34: SDI Research Terrorism Index
Table 35: FMS deals to Japan
Table 36: Cost Comparison of Defense Equipment in Japan and the US
Table 37: Lockheed Martin - Product Focus
Table 38: Lockheed Martin - Alliances
Table 39: Lockheed Martin - Recent Contract Wins
Table 40: Raytheon - Product Focus
Table 41: Raytheon - Alliances
Table 42: Raytheon - Recent Contract Wins
Table 43: BAE Systems - Product Focus
Table 44: BAE Systems - Alliances
Table 45: BAE Systems - Recent Contract Wins
Table 46: Airbus Group - Product Focus
Table 47: Airbus Group - Recent Contract Wins
Table 48: NEC Corporation - Product Focus
Table 49: NEC Corporation - Alliances
Table 50: NEC Corporation - Recent Contract Wins
Table 51: Toshiba Corporation - product focus
Table 52: Toshiba Corporation - Alliances
Table 53: Toshiba Corporation - Recent Contract Wins
Table 54: Mitsubishi Heavy Industries - product focus
Table 55: Mitsubishi Heavy Industries - Alliances
Table 56: Mitsubishi Heavy Industries - Recent Contract Wins
Table 57: Kawasaki Heavy Industries - Product Focus
Table 58: Kawasaki Heavy Industries - Alliances
Table 59: Kawasaki Heavy Industries - Recent Contract Wins
Table 60: Ishikawajima-Harima Heavy Industries Co. Ltd - product focus
Table 61: Ishikawajima-Harima Heavy Industries Co. Ltd. - Alliances
Table 62 Ishikawajima-Harima Heavy Industries Co. Ltd. - Recent Contract Wins
Table 63: Mitsubishi Electric Corporation - Product Focus
Table 64: Mitsubishi Electric Corporation - Alliances
Table 65: Mitsubishi Electric Corporation. - Recent Contract Wins
Lockheed Martin Corp
Raytheon, General Dynamics
BAE Systems
Airbus Group
NEC Corporation
Toshiba Corporation
Mitsubishi Heavy Industries
Kawasaki Heavy Industries
Ishikawajima-Harima Heavy Industries Co. Ltd
Mitsubishi Electric Corporation

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