Future of the Norwegian Defense Industry - Market Attractiveness, Competitive Landscape and Forecasts to 2020

Future of the Norwegian Defense Industry - Market Attractiveness, Competitive Landscape and Forecasts to 2020

Code: SDI-DF0295MR | Published: Feb-2015 | Pages: 152 | Strategic Defence Intelligence
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The Future of the Norwegian Defense Industry - Market Attractiveness, Competitive Landscape and Forecasts to 2020, published by Strategic Defence Intelligence, provides readers with detailed analysis of both historic and forecast defense industry values, factors influencing demand, the challenges faced by industry participants, analysis of industry leading companies, and key news.

Key Findings
- Over the historic period, Norways defense expenditure registered a negative CAGR of 5.46%; between 2016 and 2020, the defense budget is expected to grow at a CAGR of 4.83%

- The countrys total defense expenditure during the forecast period is expected to be US$34.2billion

- The average share of capital expenditure is expected to be 25.5% over the forecast period, compared to an average share of 25.5% during 2011-2015

- Over the forecast period, the countrys budget for homeland security is expected to be US$25.6 billion cumulatively

- The key areas of investment are expected to be aircraft, helicopter, armored vehicles, submarines, and cyber security equipment

Synopsis
This report offers detailed analysis of the Norwegian defense industry with market size forecasts covering the next five years. This report will also analyze factors that influence demand for the industry, key market trends, and challenges faced by industry participants.
In particular, it provides an in-depth analysis of the following:

- Norwegian defense industry market size and drivers: detailed analysis of the Norwegian defense industry during 2016-2020, including highlights of the demand drivers and growth stimulators for the industry. It also provides a snapshot of the countrys expenditure and modernization patterns

- Budget allocation and key challenges: insights into procurement schedules formulated within the country and a breakdown of the defense budget with respect to the army, navy, and air force. It also details the key challenges faced by defense market participants within the country

- Porters Five Force analysis of the Norwegian defense industry: analysis of the market characteristics by determining the bargaining power of suppliers, bargaining power of buyers, threat of substitution, intensity of rivalry, and barriers to entry

- Import and Export Dynamics: analysis of prevalent trends in the countrys imports and exports over the last five years

- Market opportunities: details of the top five defense investment opportunities over the coming 10 years

- Competitive landscape and strategic insights: analysis of the competitive landscape of the Norwegian defense industry. It provides an overview of key players, together with insights such as key alliances, strategic initiatives, and a brief financial analysis

Reasons To Buy
- This report will give the user confidence to make the correct business decisions based on a detailed analysis of the Norwegian defense industry market trends for the coming five years

- The market opportunity section will inform the user about the various military requirements that are expected to generate revenues during the forecast period. The description includes technical specifications, recent orders, and the expected investment pattern by the country during the forecast period

- Detailed profiles of the top domestic and foreign defense manufacturers with information about their products, alliances, recent contract wins, and financial analysis wherever available. This will provide the user with a total competitive landscape of the sector

- A deep qualitative analysis of the Norwegian defense industry covering sections including demand drivers, Porters Five Forces Analysis, Key Trends and Growth Stimulators, and latest industry contracts

Table of Contents

1 Introduction
1.1. What is this Report About?
1.2. Definitions
1.3. Summary Methodology
1.4. SDI Terrorism Index
1.5. About Strategic Defence Intelligence
2 Executive Summary
3 Market Attractiveness and Emerging Opportunities
3.1. Defense Market Size Historical and Forecast
3.1.1. Norwegian defense budget will grow at a CAGR of 4.83% over 2016-2020
3.1.2. Modernizing the armed forces, participating in international peacekeeping operations, and an interest in the Arctic region are the main factors driving the Norwegian defense industry
3.1.3. Defense expenditure as a percentage of GDP is expected to average 1.2% during the forecast period
3.2. Analysis of Defense Budget Allocation
3.2.1. Capital expenditure allocation is expected to increase over the forecast period
3.2.2. Expenditure on the other segment expected to be the largest during forecast period
3.2.3. Army expenditure to grow at a CAGR of 3.78% over the forecast period to reach US$0.9 billion in 2020
3.2.4. Air force expenditure to grow at a CAGR of 4.71% over the forecast period
3.2.5. Naval expenditure is expected to reach US$0.6 billion by 2020
3.2.6. Procurement of material, buildings, and construction work expected to be the second largest defense budget expenditure during the forecast period
3.2.7. Other expenditure is expected to increase at a CAGR of 5.24% over the forecast period
3.3. Homeland Security Market Size and Forecast
3.3.1. Norwegian homeland security expenditure is expected to grow at a CAGR of 4.29% over the forecast period
3.3.2. Counter-terrorism and enhanced cyber security are expected to drive homeland security expenditure
3.3.3. Norway is at a "low risk" of terrorism
3.3.4. Norway has a terrorism index score of "zero"
3.4. Benchmarking with Key Global Markets
3.4.1. Norwegian defense budget expenditure expected to increase over the forecast period
3.4.2. Norway has the one of the fastest-growing defense industries in Europe
3.4.3. Norwegian defense budget as a percentage of GDP is expected to grow over the forecast period
3.4.4. Norway has a terrorism index score of zero
3.5. Market Opportunities: Key Trends and Growth Stimulators
3.5.1. Fighters and Multi-role aircraft
3.5.2. Diesel Electric Submarine
3.5.3. Multi-mission Helicopters
3.5.4. Multi-role Aircraft MRO
4 Defense Procurement Market Dynamics
4.1. Import Market Dynamics
4.1.1. Norwegian defense imports are expected to increase over the forecast period
4.1.2. Spain and the US are the largest arms suppliers to Norway
4.1.3. Ships accounted for the largest percentage share of overall defense imports
4.2. Export Market Dynamics
4.2.1. Norway was among the top 20countries with the highest volume of defense exports
4.2.2. Exports to European countries are expected to increase over the forecast period
4.2.3. The other category accounted for the majority of Norways defense exports during 2009-2013
5 Industry Dynamics
5.1. Five Forces Analysis
5.1.1. Bargaining power of Supplier: Low
5.1.2. Bargaining power of Buyer: High
5.1.3. Barrier to entry: Medium
5.1.4. Intensity of rivalry: High
5.1.5. Threat of Substitution: High
6 Market Entry Strategy
6.1. Market Regulation
6.1.1. The Norwegian defense industry is largely driven by government regulation and offset policy
6.1.2. The Norwegian government supports FDI
6.2. Market Entry Route
6.2.1. Entry through joint development programs
6.2.2. Foreign Military Sales (FMS) to Norway
6.2.3. Collaborations provide market entry opportunities
6.3. Key Challenges
6.3.1. The Norwegian government prefers Scandinavian and European countries for defense trade
6.3.2. The Norwegian export policy poses a challenge for domestic defense companies
7 Competitive Landscape and Strategic Insights
7.1. Competitive Landscape Overview
7.2. Key Public Sector Companies
7.2.1. Kongsberg Defense Systems: Overview
7.2.2. Kongsberg Defense Systems: Major Products and Services
7.2.3. Kongsberg Defense Systems: Recent Announcements and Strategic Initiatives
7.2.4. Kongsberg Defense Systems: alliances
7.2.5. Kongsberg Defense Systems: recent contract wins
7.2.6. Kongsberg Defense Systems: financial analysis
7.2.7. Forsvarets Forsknings Institutt: overview
7.2.8. Forsvarets ForskningsInstitutt: defense products
7.2.9. Forsvarets ForskningsInstitutt: recent announcements and strategic initiatives
7.2.10. Forsvarets ForskningsInstitutt: alliances
7.2.11. Forsvarets ForskningsInstitutt: recent contract wins
7.2.12. NAMMO AS: overview
7.2.13. NAMMO AS: products and services
7.2.14. NAMMO AS: recent announcements and strategic initiatives
7.2.15. NAMMO AS: alliances
7.2.16. NAMMO AS: recent contract wins
7.2.17. NAMMO AS: financial analysis
7.2.18. Kitron: overview
7.2.19. Kitron: products and services
7.2.20. Kitron: recent announcements and strategic initiatives
7.2.21. Kitron: alliances
7.2.22. Kitron: recent contract win
7.2.23. Kitron: financial analysis
7.3. Key Private Sector Companies
7.3.1. Thales Norway AS: overview
7.3.2. Thales Norway AS: products and services
7.3.3. Thales Norway AS: recent announcements and strategic initiatives
7.3.4. Thales Norway AS: alliances
7.3.5. Thales Norway AS: recent contract wins
7.3.6. UmoeMandal: overview
7.3.7. UmoeMandal: products and services
7.3.8. Umoe Mandal: recent announcements and strategic initiatives
7.3.9. Umoe Mandal: alliances
7.3.10. Eidsvoll Electronics AS: overview
7.3.11. Eidsvoll Electronics AS: products and services
7.3.12. Eidsvoll Electronics AS: recent announcements and strategic initiatives
7.3.13. Eidsvoll Electronics AS: alliances
7.3.14. Eidsvoll Electronics AS: recent contract wins
8 Business Environment and Country Risk
8.1. Demographics
8.1.1. Total Rural population
8.1.2. Total urban population
8.1.3. Number of households
8.2. Economic Performance
8.2.1. GDP per capita at constant prices
8.2.2. GDP at current prices (US$)
8.2.3. Exports of goods and services (current US$ bn)
8.2.4. Imports of goods and services (current US$ bn)
8.2.5. Gross national disposable income (US$ billion)
8.2.6. Manufacturing output (US$ bn)
8.2.7. Consumer price index
8.2.8. Wholesale price index
8.2.9. LCU per US$ (period average)
8.2.10. LCU per EUR (period average)
8.2.11. Market capitalization of listed companies (US$ bn)
8.2.12. Market capitalization of listed companies (% of GDP)
8.2.13. Total Government cash surplus/deficit (LCU billion)
8.2.14. Government cash surplus/deficit as a percentage of GDP (LCU)
8.2.15. Central government debt (LCU billion)
8.2.16. Central government debt as a percentage of GDP (LCU)
8.2.17. Goods exports as a percentage of GDP
8.2.18. Goods imports as a percentage of GDP
8.2.19. Goods balance as a percentage of GDP
8.2.20. Services imports as a percentage of GDP
8.2.21. Service exports as a percentage of GDP
8.2.22. Services balance as a percentage of GDP
8.2.23. Foreign direct investment, net (BoP, current US$ billions)
8.2.24. Net foreign direct investment as a percentage of GDP
8.2.25. International reserves, including gold (US$ billion)
8.3. Energy and utilities
8.3.1. Total Conventional Thermal Electricity Net Generation (Billion kWh)
8.3.2. Hydroelectricity Net Generation (Billion kWh)
8.3.3. Total Conventional Thermal Electricity Installed Capacity (Million kW)
8.3.4. Proved Reserves of Natural Gas (Trillion Cubic Feet)
8.3.5. Total Petroleum Consumption (Thousand Barrels Per Day)
8.3.6. Crude Oil Proved Reserves (Billion Barrels)
8.3.7. Total Non-Hydro Renewable Electricity Net Generation (Billion kW)
8.4. Mineral
8.4.1. Mining, Manufacturing, Utilities Output (US$ billion)
8.5. Technology
8.5.1. Research and Development expenditure (LCU Thousands)
8.6. Telecommunication
8.6.1. Telephone lines (in mn)
8.6.2. Telephone lines Penetration Rate (per 100 people)
9 Appendix
9.1. About SDI
9.2. Disclaimer

List of Tables


Table 1: Norwegian Defense Expenditure (US$ Billion), 2011-2015
Table 2: Norwegian Defense Expenditure (US$ Billion), 2016-2020
Table 3: Norwegian Defense Expenditure (NOK Billion), 2011-2015
Table 4: Norwegian Defense Expenditure (NOK Billion), 2016-2020
Table 5: Norwegian GDP Growth vs. Defense Expenditure Growth vs. Defense Expenditure as Percentage of GDP, 2011-2015
Table 6: Norwegian GDP Growth vs. Defense Expenditure Growth and Defense Expenditure as Percentage of GDP, 2016-2020
Table 7: Norwegian Defense Budget Split Between Capital and Revenue Expenditure (%), 2011-2015
Table 8: Norwegian Defense Budget Split Between Capital and Revenue Expenditure (%), 2016-2020
Table 9: Norwegian Defense Expenditure Breakdown (%), 2011-2015
Table 10: Norwegian Defense Expenditure Breakdown (%), 2016-2020
Table 11: Norwegian Defense Expenditure for Army (US$ billion), 2011-2015
Table 12: Norwegian Defense Expenditure for Army (US$ billion), 2016-2020
Table 13: Norwegian Defense Expenditure for Army (NOK billion), 2011-2015
Table 14: Norwegian Defense Expenditure for Army (NOK billion), 2016-2020
Table 15: Norwegian Defense Expenditure for Air Force(US$ billion), 2011-2015
Table 16: Norwegian Defense Expenditure for Air Force, (US$ billion), 2016-2020
Table 17: Norwegian Defense Expenditure for Air Force (NOK billion), 2011-2015
Table 18: Norwegian Defense Expenditure for Air Force (NOK billion), 2016-2020
Table 19: Norwegian Defense Expenditure for Navy (US$ billion), 2011-2015
Table 20: Norwegian Defense Expenditure for Navy (US$ billion), 2016-2020
Table 21: Norwegian Defense Expenditure for Navy (NOK billion), 2011-2015
Table 22: Norwegian Defense Expenditure for Navy (NOK billion), 2016-2020
Table 23: Norwegian Defense Expenditure for Procurement of Material, Buildings, and Construction Work (US$ billion), 2011-2015
Table 24: Norwegian Defense Expenditure for Procurement of Material, Buildings, and Construction Work (US$ billion), 2016-2020
Table 25: Norwegian Defense Expenditure for Procurement of Material, Buildings, and Construction Work (NOK billion), 2011-2015
Table 26: Norwegian Defense Expenditure for Procurement of Material, Buildings, and Construction Work (NOK billion), 2016-2020
Table 27: Norwegian Defense Expenditure for Other Categories (US$ billion), 2011-2015
Table 28: Norwegian Defense Expenditure for Other Categories (US$ billion), 2016-2020
Table 29: Norwegian Defense Expenditure for Other Categories (NOK billion), 2011-2015
Table 30: Norwegian Defense Expenditure for Other Categories (NOK billion), 2016-2020
Table 31: Norwegian Homeland Security Expenditure (US$ billion), 2011-2015
Table 32: Norwegian Homeland Security Expenditure (US$ billion), 2016-2020
Table 33: Norwegian Homeland Security Expenditure (NOK billion), 2011-2015
Table 34: Norwegian Homeland Security Expenditure (US$ billion), 2016-2020
Table 35: Benchmarking with Key Markets - 2011-2015 vs. 2016-2020
Table36: SDI Terrorism Index
Table 37: Offset Multiplier Categories
Table 38: Market Entry Strategies by Key Foreign Companies
Table 39: FMS deals to Norway
Table 40: Kongsberg Defense Systems - Major Products and Services
Table 41: Kongsberg Defense Systems - Alliances
Table 42: Kongsberg Defense Systems - Recent Contract Wins
Table 43: Forsvarets ForskningsInstitutt - Product Focus
Table 44: Forsvarets ForskningsInstitutt - Alliances
Table 45: Forsvarets ForskningsInstitutt - Recent Contract Wins
Table 46: NAMMO AS - Product Focus
Table 47: NAMMO AS - Alliances
Table 48: NAMMO AS - Recent Contract Wins
Table 49: Kitron - Product Focus
Table 50: Kitron - Alliances
Table 51: Kitron - Recent Contract Wins
Table 52: Thales Norway AS - product focus
Table 53: Thales Norway AS - Alliances
Table 54: Thales Norway AS - Recent Contract Wins
Table 55: Umoe Mandal - Product Focus
Table 56: Umoe Mandal - Alliances
Table 57: Eidsvoll Electronics AS - Product Focus
Table 58: Eidsvoll Electronics - Alliances
Table 59: Eidsvoll - Recent Contract Wins
Kongsberg Defense and Aerospace AS
Forsvarets ForskningsInstitutt (FFI)
NAMMOAS
Kitron
Thales Norway AS
UmoeMandal
Eidsvoll Electronics AS

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