Future of the Pakistani Defense Industry - Market Attractiveness, Competitive Landscape and Forecasts to 2020

Future of the Pakistani Defense Industry - Market Attractiveness, Competitive Landscape and Forecasts to 2020

Code: SDI-DF0324MR | Published: Jul-2015 | Pages: 135 | Strategic Defence Intelligence
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The Future of the Pakistani Defense Industry - Market Attractiveness, Competitive Landscape and Forecasts to 2020, published by Strategic Defence Intelligence, provides readers with a detailed analysis of both historic and forecast the defense industry values, factors influencing demand, the challenges faced by industry participants, analysis of industry leading companies, and key news.

Key Findings
- Defense expenditure recorded a CAGR of 6.92% between 2011 and 2015, and valued US$7.7 billion in 2015

- The countrys total defense expenditure during the forecast period is expected to be US$54.1 billion

- The average share of capital expenditure is expected to be 33.5% over the forecast period,compared to an average share of 32.0% during 2011-2015

- Over the forecast period, the countrys budget for homeland security is expected to be US$6.4 billion cumulatively

- The key areas of investment are expected to be multi-role aircraft, aviation MRO, armored vehicles, submarines, and surveillance systems

Synopsis
This report offers detailed analysis of defense industry with market size forecasts covering the next five years. This report will also analyze factors that influence demand for the industry, key market trends, and challenges faced by industry participants.

In particular, it provides an in-depth analysis of the following:

- Defense industry market size and drivers: detailed analysis of the Pakistani defense industry during 2016-2020, including highlights of the demand drivers and growth stimulators for the industry. It also provides a snapshot of the countrys spending patterns and modernization patterns

- Budget allocation and key challenges: insights into procurement schedules formulated within the country and a breakdown of the defense budget with respect to the army, navy, and air force. It also details the key challenges faced by the defense market participants within the country

- Porters Five Force analysis of the defense industry: analysis of the market characteristics by determining the bargaining power of suppliers, bargaining power of the buyer, threat of substitutions, intensity of rivalry, and barrier to entry

- Import and Export Dynamics: analysis of prevalent trends in the countrys imports and exports over the last five years

- Market opportunities: details of the top five defense investment opportunities over the coming 10 years

- Competitive landscape and strategic insights: analysis of the competitive landscape of the Pakistani defense industry.

- It provides an overview of key players, together with insights such as key alliances, strategic initiatives, and a brief financial analysis

Reasons To Buy
- This report will give the user confidence to make the correct business decisions based on a detailed analysis of defense industry market trends for the coming five years

- The market opportunity section will inform the user about the various military requirements that are expected to generate revenues during the forecast period. The description includes technical specifications, recent orders, and the countrys expected investment pattern during the forecast period

- Detailed profiles of the top domestic and foreign defense manufacturers with information about their products, alliances, recent contract wins, and financial analysis wherever available. This will provide the user with a total competitive landscape of the sector

- A deep qualitative analysis of the defense industry covering sections including demand drivers, Porters Five Force Analysis, Key Trends and Growth Stimulators, and latest industry contracts

Table of Contents

1. Introduction
1.1. What is this Report About?
1.2. Definitions
1.3. Summary Methodology
1.4. SDI Terrorism Index
1.5. About Strategic Defence Intelligence
2. Executive Summary
3. Market Attractiveness and Emerging Opportunities
3.1. Defense Market Size Historical and Forecast
3.1.1. Pakistani annual defense expenditure to reach US$XX billion by 2020
3.1.2. Territorial disputes and the war against terrorism expected to drive defense expenditure
3.1.3. The countrys defense expenditure as a percentage of GDP to increase over 2016-2020
3.2. Analysis of Defense Budget Allocation
3.2.1. Capital expenditure share to average XX% during the forecast period
3.2.2. Budget allocation for the army to be highest over the forecast period
3.2.3. Army expenditure to grow at a CAGR of XX% over the forecast period to reach US$XX billion in 2020
3.2.4. Air force expenditure to cumulatively value US$XX billion over the forecast period
3.2.5. Naval expenditure is expected to reach US$XX billion by 2020
3.2.6. Per capita defense expenditure expected to increase during the forecast period
3.3. Homeland Security Market Size and Forecast
3.3.1. Allocation for the police forms the major component of homeland security expenditure
3.3.2. Measures to curb organized crime and cyber-attacks will drive homeland security expenditure
3.3.3. Pakistan is at a significant risk from external and internal threats
3.4. Benchmarking with Key Global Markets
3.4.1. Pakistani defense expenditure expected to increase at a CAGR of XX% over 2016-2020
3.4.2. Pakistani defense expenditure is low compared to other Asian defense spenders
3.4.3. Pakistans defense expenditure expected to reach XX% of GDP by 2020
3.4.4. Pakistan is one of the most terror prone countries in the world
3.5. Market Opportunities: Key Trends and Growth Stimulators
3.5.1. Fighter and Multi-role Aircraft
3.5.2. SSK-Diesel Electric Submarine
3.5.3. Aviation MRO
3.5.4. Main Battle Tank (MBT)
4. Defense Procurement Market Dynamics
4.1. Import Market Dynamics
4.1.1. Defense imports projected to increase over the forecast period
4.1.2. Pakistan and the US were the leading suppliers of arms to Pakistan during 2010-2014
4.1.3. Aircraft and armored vehicles accounted for the majority of defense imports between 2010 and 2014 . 65
4.2. Export Market Dynamics
4.2.1. DEPO expected to start defense exports
5. Industry Dynamics
5.1. Five Forces Analysis
5.1.1. Bargaining power of the supplier: low to medium
5.1.2. Bargaining power of the buyer: high
5.1.3. Barriers to entry: medium to high
5.1.4. Intensity of rivalry: low to medium
5.1.5. Threat of substitution: low to medium
6. Market Entry Strategy
6.1. Market Regulation
6.1.1. Defense procurements assigned to DGDP and DGMP
6.2. Market Entry Route
6.2.1. Foreign firms enter the Pakistani defense industry through Foreign Military Sales (FMS)
6.2.2. Collaborations and joint ventures - a viable market entry route
6.3. Key Challenges
6.3.1. Corruption in the Pakistani defense sector hinders its growth
6.3.2. An unstable political system coupled with internal instability discourages foreign participation
7. Competitive Landscape and Strategic Insights
7.1. Competitive Landscape Overview
7.1.1. Foreign suppliers manufacture defense systems overseas and deliver to Pakistan
7.1.2. Growing domestic defense industry is predominantly state run
7.2. Key Domestic Companies
7.2.1. Karachi Shipyard and Engineering Works: overview
7.2.2. Karachi Shipyard and Engineering Works: products and services
7.2.3. Karachi Shipyard and Engineering Works: recent announcements and strategic initiatives
7.2.4. Karachi Shipyard and Engineering Works: alliances
7.2.5. Karachi Shipyard and Engineering Works: recent contract wins
7.2.6. Pakistan Aeronautical Complex: overview
7.2.7. Pakistan Aeronautical Complex: products and services
7.2.8. Pakistan Aeronautical Complex: recent announcements and strategic initiatives
7.2.9. Pakistan Aeronautical Complex: alliances
7.2.10. Pakistan Aeronautical Complex: recent contract wins
7.2.11. Pakistan Ordnance Factories: overview
7.2.12. Pakistan Ordnance Factories: products and services
7.2.13. Pakistan Ordnance Factories: recent announcements and strategic initiatives
7.2.14. Pakistan Ordnance Factories: alliances
7.2.15. Pakistan Ordnance Factories: recent contract wins
7.2.16. Pakistan Space and Upper Atmosphere Research Commission: overview
7.2.17. Pakistan Space and Upper Atmosphere Research Commission: products and services
7.2.18. Pakistan Space and Upper Atmosphere Research Commission: recent announcements and strategic initiatives
7.2.19. Pakistan Space and Upper Atmosphere Research Commission: alliances
7.2.20. Pakistan Space and Upper Atmosphere Research Commission: recent contract wins
7.2.21. Heavy Industries Taxila: overview
7.2.22. Heavy Industries Taxila: products and services
7.2.23. Heavy Industries Taxila: recent announcements and strategic initiatives
7.2.24. Heavy Industries Taxila: alliances
7.2.25. Heavy Industries Taxila: recent contract wins
7.2.26. The Heavy Mechanical Complex: overview
7.2.27. The Heavy Mechanical Complex: products and services
7.2.28. The Heavy Mechanical Complex: recent announcements and strategic initiatives
7.2.29. The Heavy Mechanical Complex: alliances
7.2.30. SATUMA: overview
7.2.31. SATUMA: products and services
7.2.32. SATUMA: recent announcements and strategic initiatives
7.2.33. SATUMA: recent contract wins
7.3. Key Foreign Companies
7.3.1. Boeing: overview
7.3.2. Boeing: products and services
7.3.3. Boeing: recent announcements and strategic initiatives
7.3.4. Boeing: recent contract wins
7.3.5. Raytheon: overview
7.3.6. Raytheon: products and services
7.3.7. Raytheon: recent announcements and strategic initiatives
7.3.8. Raytheon: recent contract wins
7.3.9. Lockheed Martin: overview
7.3.10. Lockheed Martin: products and services
7.3.11. Lockheed Martin: recent announcements and strategic initiatives
7.3.12. Lockheed Martin: alliances
7.3.13. Lockheed Martin: recent contract wins
7.3.14. Chengdu Aircraft Industry Group: overview
7.3.15. Chengdu Aircraft Industry Group: products and services
7.3.16. Chengdu Aircraft Industry Group: recent announcements and strategic initiatives
7.3.17. Chengdu Aircraft Industry Group: alliances
7.3.18. Chengdu Aircraft Industry Group: recent contract wins
8. Business Environment and Country Risk
8.1. Demographics and Social Statistics
8.1.1. Total Rural Population
8.1.2. Total Urban Population
8.1.3. Number of Households (In mn)
8.2. Economic Performance
8.2.1. GDP Per Capita
8.2.2. GDP, Current Prices
8.2.3. Consumer Price Index
8.2.4. Local Currency Unit per US Dollar
8.2.5. Local Currency Unit per Euro
8.2.6. Market Capitalization of Listed Companies
8.2.7. Market Capitalization of Listed Companies (% of GDP)
8.2.8. Government Cash Surplus/Deficit
8.2.9. Government Cash Surplus/Deficit as % of GDP
8.2.10. Goods exports as % of GDP
8.2.11. Goods imports as % of GDP
8.2.12. Goods Trade Surplus/Deficit as % of GDP
8.2.13. Service Imports as % of GDP
8.2.14. Service Exports as % of GDP
8.2.15. Service Trade Surplus/Deficit as % of GDP
8.2.16. Foreign Direct Investment
8.2.17. Net foreign direct investment as % of GDP
8.2.18. International reserves, including gold
8.2.19. External Debt
8.2.20. External debt as % of GDP
8.3. Energy and Utilities
8.3.1. Conventional Thermal Electricity Net Generation
8.3.2. Hydroelectricity Net Generation
8.3.3. Nuclear Electricity Net Generation
8.3.4. Conventional Thermal Electricity Installed Capacity
8.3.5. Proved Natural Gas Reserves
8.3.6. Petroleum Consumption
8.3.7. Crude Oil Proved Reserves
8.4. Infrastructure
8.4.1. Rail Lines
8.4.2. Air transport, freight
8.5. Minerals
8.5.1. Mining, Manufacturing, Utilities Output
8.6. Technology
8.6.1. Patents Granted
8.7. Telecommunication
8.7.1. Telephone Lines
8.7.2. Telephone Lines Penetration Rate
9. Appendix
9.1. About SDI
9.2. Disclaimer

List of Tables


Table 1: Pakistani Defense Expenditure (US$ bn), 2011-2015
Table 2: Pakistani Defense Expenditure (US$ bn), 2016-2020
Table 3: Pakistani Defense Expenditure (in PKR Billion), 2011-2015
Table 4: Pakistani Defense Expenditure (in PKR Billion), 2016-2020
Table 5: Pakistani GDP Growth vs. Defense Expenditure Growth and Defense Expenditure as Percentage of GDP Growth, 2011-2015
Table 6: Pakistani GDP Growth vs. Defense Expenditure Growth and Defense Expenditure as Percentage of GDP Growth, 2016-2020
Table 7: Pakistani Defense Budget Split Between Capital and Revenue Expenditure (%), 2011-2015
Table 8: Pakistani Defense Budget Split Between Capital and Revenue Expenditure (%), 2016-2020
Table 9: Pakistani Defense Capital Expenditure Breakdown (%), 2011-2015
Table 10: Pakistani Defense Capital Expenditure Breakdown (%), 2016-2020
Table 11: Pakistani Defense Expenditure for Army (US$ billion), 2011-2015
Table 12: Pakistani Defense Expenditure for Army (US$ billion), 2016-2020
Table 13: Pakistani Defense Expenditure for Army (in PKR bn), 2011-2015
Table 14: Pakistani Defense Expenditure for Army (in PKR bn), 2016-2020
Table 15: Pakistani Defense Expenditure for Air Force (US$ billion), 2011-2015
Table 16: Pakistani Defense Expenditure for Air Force (US$ billion), 2016-2020
Table 17: Pakistani Defense Expenditure for Air Force (PKR billion), 2011-2015
Table 18: Pakistani Defense Expenditure for Air Force (PKR billion), 2016-2020
Table 19: Pakistani Defense Expenditure for the Navy (US$ billion), 2011-2015
Table 20: Pakistani Defense Expenditure for the Navy (US$ billion), 2016-2020
Table 21: Pakistani Defense Expenditure for the Navy (PKR billion), 2011-2015
Table 22: Pakistani Defense Expenditure for the Navy (PKR billion), 2016-2020
Table 23: Pakistani Per Capita Defense Expenditure (US$), 2011-2015
Table 24: Pakistani Per Capita Defense Expenditure (US$), 2016-2020
Table 25: Pakistani Homeland Security Budget (US$ Billion), 2011-2015
Table 26: Pakistani Homeland Security Budget (US$ Billion), 2016-2020
Table 27: Pakistani Homeland Security Budget (PKR billion), 2011-2015
Table 28: Pakistani Homeland Security Budget (PKR billion), 2016-2020
Table 29: Benchmarking with Key Markets - 2011-2015 vs. 2016-2020
Table 30: SDI Terrorism Index
Table 31: FMS route followed by Foreign Companies
Table 32: Key Foreign Companies and Operations in the Pakistani Defense Industry
Table 33: Karachi Shipyard and Engineering Works - Product Focus
Table 34: Karachi Shipyard and Engineering Works - Alliances
Table 35: Karachi Shipyard and Engineering Works - Recent Contract Wins
Table 36: Pakistan Aeronautical Complex - Product Focus
Table 37: Pakistan Aeronautical Complex - Alliances
Table 38: Pakistan Aeronautical Complex - Recent Contract Wins
Table 39: Pakistan Ordnance Factories - Product Focus
Table 40: Pakistan Ordnance Factories - Alliances
Table 41: Pakistan Ordnance Factories - Recent Contract Wins
Table 42: Pakistan Space and Upper Atmosphere Research Commission - Product Focus
Table 43: Pakistan Space and Upper Atmosphere Research Commission - Alliances
Table 44: Pakistan Space and Upper Atmosphere Research Commission - recent contract wins
Table 45: Heavy Industries Taxila - product focus
Table 46: Heavy Industries Taxila - alliances
Table 47: Heavy Industries Taxila - recent contract wins
Table 48: The Heavy Mechanical Complex - product focus
Table 49: The Heavy Mechanical Complex - alliances
Table 50: SATUMA - product focus
Table 51: SATUMA - recent contract wins
Table 52: Boeing - Product Focus
Table 53: Boeing - Recent Contract Wins
Table 54: Raytheon - Product Focus
Table 55: Raytheon - Recent Contract Wins
Table 56: Lockheed Martin - Product Focus
Table 57: Lockheed Martin - alliances
Table 58: Lockheed Martin - Recent Contract Wins
Table 59: Chengdu Aircraft Industry Group - Product Focus
Table 60: Chengdu Aircraft Industry Group - Alliances
Table 61: Chengdu Aircraft Industry Group - Recent Contract Wins
Karachi Shipyard and Engineering Works
Pakistan Aeronautical Complex
Pakistan Ordnance Factories
Pakistan Space and Upper Atmosphere Research Commission
Heavy Industries Taxila
Heavy Mechanical Complex
Surveillance and Target Unmanned Aircraft
Boeing
Raytheon
Lockheed Martin
Chengdu Aircraft Industry Group

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