Future of the Polish Defense Industry - Market Attractiveness, Competitive Landscape and Forecasts to 2020

Future of the Polish Defense Industry - Market Attractiveness, Competitive Landscape and Forecasts to 2020

Code: SDI-DF0300MR | Published: Mar-2015 | Pages: 145 | Strategic Defence Intelligence
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The Future of the Polish Defense Industry - Market Attractiveness, Competitive Landscape and Forecasts to 2020, published by Strategic Defence Intelligence, provides readers with detailed analysis of both historic and forecast defense industry values, factors influencing demand, the challenges faced by industry participants, analysis of industry leading companies, and key news.

Key Findings
- Over the historic period, Polands defense expenditure registered a CAGR of 7.16%; between 2016 and 2020, the defense budget is expected to grow at a CAGR of 6.41%

- The countrys total defense expenditure during the forecast period is expected to be US$69.6billion

- The average share of capital expenditure is expected to be 28.3% over the forecast period, compared to an average share of 26.7% during 2011-2015

- Over the forecast period, the countrys budget for homeland security is expected to be US$18.7 billion cumulatively

- The key areas of investment are expected to be aircraft, helicopter, armored vehicles, submarine and surveillance equipment

Synopsis
This report offers detailed analysis of the Polish defense industry with market size forecasts covering the next five years. This report will also analyze factors that influence demand for the industry, key market trends, and challenges faced by industry participants.

In particular, it provides an in-depth analysis of the following:
- Polish defense industry market size and drivers: detailed analysis of the Polish defense industry during 2016-2020, including highlights of the demand drivers and growth stimulators for the industry. It also provides a snapshot of the countrys expenditure and modernization patterns

- Budget allocation and key challenges: insights into procurement schedules formulated within the country and a breakdown of the defense budget with respect to the army, navy, and air force. It also details the key challenges faced by defense market participants within the country

- Porters Five Force analysis of the Polish defense industry: analysis of the market characteristics by determining the bargaining power of suppliers, bargaining power of buyers, threat of substitution, intensity of rivalry, and barriers to entry

- Import and Export Dynamics: analysis of prevalent trends in the countrys imports and exports over the last five years

- Market opportunities: details of the top five defense investment opportunities over the coming 10 years

- Competitive landscape and strategic insights: analysis of the competitive landscape of the Polish defense industry. It provides an overview of key players, together with insights such as key alliances, strategic initiatives, and a brief financial analysis

Reasons To Buy
- This report will give the user confidence to make the correct business decisions based on a detailed analysis of the Polish defense industry market trends for the coming five years

- The market opportunity section will inform the user about the various military requirements that are expected to generate revenues during the forecast period. The description includes technical specifications, recent orders, and the expected investment pattern by the country during the forecast period

- Detailed profiles of the top domestic and foreign defense manufacturers with information about their products, alliances, recent contract wins, and financial analysis wherever available. This will provide the user with a total competitive landscape of the sector

- A deep qualitative analysis of the Polish defense industry covering sections including demand drivers, Porters Five Forces Analysis, Key Trends and Growth Stimulators, and latest industry contracts

Table of Contents

1 Introduction
1.1. What is this Report About?
1.2. Definitions
1.3. Summary Methodology
1.4. SDI Terrorism Index
1.5. About Strategic Defence Intelligence
2 Executive Summary
3 Market Attractiveness and Emerging Opportunities
3.1. Defense Market Size Historical and Forecast
3.1.1. Polish defense expenditure is expected to reach US$15.6 billion by 2020
3.1.2. Ukrainian crisis, military modernization initiatives and peacekeeping missions to fuel defense expenditure over the forecast period
3.1.3. Polish defense budget to be at 2.0% of GDP over 2016-2020
3.2. Analysis of Defense Budget Allocation
3.2.1. Capital expenditure allocation expected to increase during the forecast period
3.2.2. The majority of the defense budget is allocated to military intelligence services and crisis response operations, which are anticipated to increase over the forecast period
3.2.3. Poland to invest US$5.9 billion on its land forces during the forecast period
3.2.4. Air force budget to grow at a CAGR of 3.96% during the forecast period
3.2.5. Naval expenditure expected to grow at a CAGR of 3.52% over the forecast period
3.2.6. A major portion of Polands defense budget to be allocated to the Other category
3.2.7. Per capita defense expenditure is expected to increase during the forecast period
3.3. Homeland Security Market Size and Forecast
3.3.1. Polish homeland security market to increase at a CAGR of 5.82% over the forecast period
3.3.2. Homeland security expenditure to be triggered by the countrys efforts to counter drug smuggling, human trafficking, and cyber attacks
3.3.3. Poland faces no known threat from terrorist organizations
3.4. Benchmarking with Key Global Markets
3.4.1. Polands defense growth rate is expected to remain modest over the forecast period
3.4.2. Polands defense spending is low compared to other European nations
3.4.3. Poland allocates a moderate share of GDP for defense expenditure
3.4.4. Poland faces minimal threat from foreign terrorist organizations
3.5. Market Opportunities: Key Trends and Growth Stimulators
3.5.1. Missile Defense System
3.5.2. Submarine
3.5.3. Corvettes
3.5.4. Multi-role Helicopter
4 Defense Procurement Market Dynamics
4.1. Import Dynamics
4.1.1. Defense imports fluctuated during the period 2009-2013
4.1.2. Poland sourced the majority of its arms imports from Finland
4.1.3. Missiles and armored vehicles are the major military hardware imports
4.2. Export Market Dynamics
4.2.1. Polish defense exports expected to increase over the forecast period
4.2.2. Poland exports the majority of its defense goods to the US
4.2.3. Aircraft and armored vehicles constitute the majority of Polish defense exports
5 Industry Dynamics
5.1. Five Forces Analysis
5.1.1. Bargaining power of supplier: low
5.1.2. Bargaining power of buyer: high
5.1.3. Barrier to entry: medium
5.1.4. Intensity of rivalry: high
5.1.5. Threat of substitution: high
6 Market Entry Strategy
6.1. Market Regulation
6.1.1. Polish government introduces new Offset Act for defense equipment procurements
6.2. Market Entry Route
6.2.1. Joint ventures and acquisitions of domestic companies are the preferred entry routes
6.2.2. Foreign OEMs gain industry access through joint research and development programs
6.3. Key Challenges
6.3.1. Dominance of EU defense companies impede the progress of non-European firms
6.3.2. Lack of transparency in the public procurement process proves a major challenge
7 Competitive landscape and Strategic Insights
7.1. Competitive landscape Overview
7.2. Key Foreign Companies
7.2.1. BAE Systems: overview
7.2.2. BAE Systems: main products and services
7.2.3. BAE Systems: recent announcements and strategic initiatives
7.2.4. BAE Systems: alliances
7.2.5. BAE Systems: recent contract wins
7.2.6. The Boeing Company: overview
7.2.7. The Boeing Company: main products and services
7.2.8. The Boeing Company: alliances
7.2.9. Lockheed Martin: overview
7.2.10. Lockheed Martin: main products and services
7.2.11. Lockheed Martin: recent announcements and strategic initiatives
7.2.12. Lockheed Martin: alliances
7.2.13. Lockheed Martin: recent contract wins
7.2.14. CAE: overview
7.2.15. CAE: main products and services
7.2.16. CAE: recent contract wins
7.2.17. Sikorsky Aircraft Corporation: overview
7.2.18. Sikorsky Aircraft Corporation: main products and services
7.2.19. Sikorsky Aircraft Corporation: recent announcements and strategic initiatives
7.2.20. Sikorsky Aircraft Corporation: alliances
7.2.21. Sikorsky Aircraft Corporation: recent contract wins
7.2.22. Alenia Aermacchi: overview
7.2.23. Alenia Aermacchi: main products and services
7.2.24. Alenia Aermacchi: recent announcements and strategic initiatives
7.2.25. Alenia Aermacchi: alliances
7.2.26. Alenia Aermacchi: recent contract wins
7.3. Key Public Companies
7.3.1. Polish Defense Holding: overview
7.3.2. Polish Defense Holding: main products and services
7.3.3. Polish Defense Holding: recent announcements and strategic initiatives
7.3.4. Polish Defense Holding: alliances
7.3.5. Polish Defense Holding: recent contract wins
7.3.6. PZL Mielec: overview
7.3.7. PZL Mielec: products and services
7.3.8. PZL Mielec: recent announcements and strategic initiatives
7.3.9. PZL Mielec: alliances
7.3.10. PZL Mielec: recent contract wins
7.3.11. Wojskowe Zakłady Uzbrojenia SA: overview
7.3.12. Wojskowe Zakłady Uzbrojenia SA: main products and services
7.3.13. Wojskowe Zakłady Uzbrojenia SA: recent announcements and strategic initiatives
7.3.14. Wojskowe Zakłady Uzbrojenia SA: alliances
7.3.15. Huta Stalowa Wola: overview
7.3.16. Huta Stalowa Wola: main products and services
7.3.17. Huta Stalowa Wola: recent announcements and strategic initiatives
7.3.18. Huta Stalowa Wola: alliances
7.3.19. Huta Stalowa Wola: recent contract wins
7.3.20. Wojskowe Zakłady Mechaniczne: overview
7.3.21. Wojskowe Zakłady Mechaniczne: main products and services
7.3.22. Wojskowe Zakłady Mechaniczne: recent announcements and strategic initiatives
7.3.23. Wojskowe Zakłady Mechaniczne: recent contract wins
8 Business Environment and Country Risk
8.1. Demographics and Social Statistics
8.1.1. Total Rural Population
8.1.2. Total Urban Population
8.1.3. Number of Households (In million)
8.2. Economic Performance
8.2.1. GDP Per Capita
8.2.2. GDP, Current Prices
8.2.3. Exports of goods and services, current prices
8.2.4. Imports of goods and services, current prices
8.2.5. Gross National disposable income (USD Billion)
8.2.6. Manufacturing Output, Current Prices (US$ Billions)
8.2.7. Consumer Price Index
8.2.8. Wholesale Price Index
8.2.9. Local Currency Unit per US Dollar
8.2.10. Local Currency Unit per Euro
8.2.11. Market Capitalization of Listed Companies
8.2.12. Market Capitalization of Listed Companies a percentage of GDP
8.2.13. Government Cash Surplus/Deficit
8.2.14. Government Cash Surplus/Deficit as a percentage of GDP
8.2.15. Goods exports as a percentage of GDP
8.2.16. Goods imports as a percentage of GDP
8.2.17. Goods Trade Surplus/Deficit as a percentage of GDP
8.2.18. Service Imports as a percentage of GDP
8.2.19. Service Exports as a percentage of GDP
8.2.20. Service Trade Surplus/Deficit as a percentage of GDP
8.2.21. International reserves, including gold
8.3. Energy and Utilities
8.3.1. Conventional Thermal Electricity Net Generation
8.3.2. Hydroelectricity Net Generation
8.3.3. Conventional Thermal Electricity Installed Capacity
8.3.4. Electricity Exports (Billion Kilowatt hours)
8.3.5. Electricity Imports (Billion Kilowatt hours)
8.3.6. Proved Natural Gas Reserves
8.3.7. Petroleum Consumption
8.3.8. Polish Non-Hydro Renewable Electricity Net Generation (Billion Kilowatts)
8.4. Infrastructure
8.4.1. Roads (kms)
8.4.2. Rail Lines
8.4.3. Air transport, freight
8.5. Minerals
8.5.1. Mining, Manufacturing, Utilities Output (US$ Billion)
8.6. Technology
8.6.1. Research and development expenditure (Local Currency Thousands)
8.6.2. Patents Granted
8.7. Telecommunication
8.7.1. Telephone Lines
8.7.2. Telephone Lines Penetration Rate
9 Appendix
9.1. About SDI
9.2. Disclaimer

List of Tables


Table 1: Polish Defense Expenditure (US$ Billion), 2011-2015
Table 2: Polish Defense Expenditure (US$ Billion), 2016-2020
Table 3: Polish Defense Expenditure (PLN Billion), 2011-2015
Table 4: Polish Defense Expenditure (PLN Billion), 2016-2020
Table 5: Polish GDP Growth vs. Defense Expenditure Growth and Defense Expenditure as Percentage of GDP, 2011-2015
Table 6: Polish GDP Growth vs. Defense Expenditure Growth and Defense Expenditure as Percentage of GDP, 2016-2020
Table 7: Polish Defense Budget Split Between Capital and Revenue Expenditure (%), 2011-2015
Table 8: Polish Defense Budget Split Between Capital and Revenue Expenditure (%), 2016-2020
Table 9: Polish Defense Expenditure Allocation (% Share), 2011-2015
Table 10: Polish Defense Expenditure Allocation (% Share), 2016-2020
Table 11: Polish Army Defense Budget (US$ Billion), 2011-2015
Table 12: Polish Army Defense Budget (US$ Billion), 2016-2020
Table 13: Polish Expenditure for Army (PLN Billion), 2011-2015
Table 14: Polish Defense Expenditure for Army (PLN Billion), 2016-2020
Table 15: Polish Air Force Defense Budget (US$ million), 2011-2015
Table 16: Polish Air Force Defense Budget Allocation (US$ million), 2016-2020
Table 17: Polish Expenditure for Air Force (PLN Billion), 2011-2015
Table 18: Polish Expenditure for Air Force (PLN Billion), 2016-2020
Table 19: Polish Navy Defense Budget (US$ million), 2011-2015
Table 20: Polish Navy Defense Budget (US$ million), 2016-2020
Table 21: Polish Expenditure for Navy (PLN Million), 2011-2015
Table 22: Polish Expenditure for Navy (PLN Million), 2016-2020
Table 23: Polish Other Category Defense Budget (US$ Billion), 2011-2015
Table 24: Polish Other Category Defense Budget (US$ Billion), 2016-2020
Table 25: Polish Expenditure for Other Category (PLN Billion), 2011-2015
Table 26: Polish Defense Expenditure for Other Category (PLN Billion), 2016-2020
Table 27: Poland Per Capita Expenditure (US$), 2011-2015
Table 28: Poland Per Capita Expenditure (US$), 2016-2020
Table 29: Polish Homeland Security Budget (US$ billion), 2011-2015
Table 30: Polish Homeland Security Budget (US$ billion), 2016-2020
Table 31: Polish Homeland Security Budget (PLN Billion), 2011-2015
Table 32: Polish Homeland Security Budget (PLN Billion), 2016-2020
Table 33: Benchmarking with Key Markets - 2011-2015 vs. 2016-2020
Table 34: SDI Terrorism Index
Table 35: Market Entry Strategies by Key Foreign Companies
Table 36: Competitive Landscape of the Polish Defense Industry
Table 37: BAE Systems, Main Products and Services
Table 38: BAE Systems, Alliances
Table 39: BAE Systems - Recent Contract Wins
Table 40: The Boeing Company, Main Products and Services
Table 41: The Boeing Company, Alliances
Table 42: Lockheed Martin, Main Products and Services
Table 43: Lockheed Martin, Alliances
Table 44: Lockheed Martin, Recent Contract Wins
Table 45: CAE, Main Products and Services
Table 46: CAE, recent contract wins
Table 47: Sikorsky Aircraft Corporation, Main Products and Services
Table 48: Sikorsky Aircraft Corporation, Alliances
Table 49:Sikorsky Aircraft Corporation: recent contract wins
Table 50: Alenia Aermacchi, Main Products and Services
Table 51: Alenia Aermacchi, Alliances
Table 52: Alenia Aermacchi, Recent Contract Wins
Table 53: Polish Defense Holding, Major Products and Services
Table 54: Polish Defense Holding, Alliances
Table 55: Polish Defense Holding, Recent Contract Wins
Table 56: PZL Mielec - Main Products and Services
Table 57: PZL Mielec, Alliances
Table 58: PZL Mielec, Recent Contract Wins
Table 59: Wojskowe Zakłady Uzbrojenia SA, Main Products and Services
Table 60: Wojskowe Zakłady Uzbrojenia SA, Alliances
Table 61: Huta Stalowa Wola, Main Products and Services
Table 62: Huta Stalowa Wola, Alliances
Table 63: Huta Stalowa Wola, Recent Contract Wins
Table 64: Wojskowe Zakłady Mechaniczne: Main Products and Services
Table 65: Wojskowe Zakłady Mechaniczne, Recent Contract Wins
BAE Systems, The Boeing Company, Lockheed Martin Corporation, CAE, Sikorsky Aircraft Corporation, Alenia Aermacchi, Polish Defense Holding, Polskie Zakłady Lotnicze Mielec, Wojskowe Zakłady Uzbrojenia SA, Huta Stalowa Wola SA, Wojskowe Zakłady Mechaniczne

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