Future of the Russian Defense Industry - Market Attractiveness, Competitive Landscape and Forecasts to 2020

Future of the Russian Defense Industry - Market Attractiveness, Competitive Landscape and Forecasts to 2020

Code: SDI-DF0288MR | Published: Feb-2015 | Pages: 143 | Strategic Defence Intelligence
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The Future of the Russian Defense Industry - Market Attractiveness, Competitive Landscape and Forecasts to 2020, published by Strategic Defence Intelligence, provides readers withdetailed analysis of both historic and forecast defense industry values, factors influencing demand, the challenges faced by industry participants, analysis of industry leading companies, and key news.

Key Findings
- Over the historic period, Russias defense expenditure registered a growth rate of 13.95%,increasing from US$52.5billion in 2011 to US$88.6 billion in 2015

- Russias military expenditure, valued at US$88.6billion in 2015, is expected to increase to US$152.1 billion by 2020, registering a CAGR of 10.93% over the forecast period

- Russian military expenditure will be drivenby the modernization of defense systems, large defense procurement projects, and an increase in defense exports

- The Defense Ministry is expected to procurespace-based C4ISR, infrastructure construction, land-based C4ISR, transport aircraft, and multi-role aircraft

Synopsis
This report offers detailed analysis ofthe Russian defense industry with market size forecasts covering the next five years. This report will also analyze factors that influence demand for the industry, key market trends, and challenges faced by industry participants.
In particular, it provides an in-depth analysis of the following:

- Russian defense industry market size and drivers: detailed analysis of the Russian defense industry during 2016-2020, including highlights of the demand drivers and growth stimulators for the industry. It also provides a snapshot of the countrys expenditure and modernization patterns

- Budget allocation and key challenges: insights into procurement schedules formulated within the country and a breakdown of the defense budget with respect to the army, navy, and air force. It also details the key challenges faced by defense market participants within the country

- Porters Five Force analysis of the Russian defense industry: analysis of the market characteristics by determining the bargaining power of suppliers, bargaining power of buyers, threat of substitution, intensity of rivalry, and barriers to entry

- Import and Export Dynamics: analysis of prevalent trends in the countrys imports and exports over the last five years

- Market opportunities: details of the top five defense investment opportunities over the coming 10 years

- Competitive landscape and strategic insights: analysis of the competitive landscape of the Russian defense industry.

- It provides an overview of key players, together with insights such as key alliances, strategic initiatives, and a brief financial analysis

Reasons To Buy
- This report will give the user confidence to make the correct business decisions based on a detailed analysis of the Russian defense industry market trends for the coming five years

- The market opportunity section will inform the user about the various military requirements that are expected to generate revenues during the forecast period. The description includes technical specifications, recent orders, and the expected investment pattern by the country during the forecast period

- Detailed profiles of the top domestic and foreign defense manufacturers with information about their products, alliances, recent contract wins, and financial analysis wherever available. This will provide the user with a total competitive landscape of the sector

- A deep qualitative analysis of the Russian defense industry covering sections including demand drivers, Porters Five Forces Analysis, Key Trends and Growth Stimulators, and latest industry contracts

Table of Contents

1 Introduction
1.1 What is this Report About?
1.2 Definitions
1.3 Summary Methodology
1.4 SDI Terrorism Index
1.5 About Strategic Defence Intelligence
2 Executive Summary
3 Market Attractiveness and Emerging Opportunities
3.1 Defense Market Size Historical and Forecast
3.1.1 Russias defense budget to grow at a CAGR of 10.93% to value US$152.1 billion by 2020
3.1.2 Military modernization and defense exports to drive defense expenditure over the forecast period
3.1.3 Defense expenditure as a percentage of GDP is expected to average 8.28% over the forecast period
3.2 Analysis of Defense Budget Allocation
3.2.1 The majority of Russias defense budget is allocated to revenue expenditure
3.2.2 Russias capital expenditure expected to reach US$57.1billion by 2020
3.2.3 Per capita defense expenditure expected to increase over the forecast period
3.3 Homeland Security Market Size and Forecast
3.3.1 Russian homeland security spending forecast to reach US$62.1billion by 2020
3.3.2 Border security and fight against cyber attacks to factor growth in the homeland security market
3.3.3 Strategic Defense Initiative (SDI) Terrorism Index considers Russia a "highly affected" region
3.3.4 Russia faces a significant threat from terrorists
3.4 Benchmarking with Key Global Markets
3.4.1 Russian defense budget growth to be higher than the majority of large spenders during 2015-2019
3.4.2 Russia is worlds third largest defense spender
3.4.3 Russia allocated 5.8% of its GDP to defense in 2015
3.4.4 Russia is "highly affected" from acts of terrorism
3.5 Market Opportunities: Key Trends and Growth Stimulators
3.5.1 Space based-C4ISR
3.5.2 Infrastructure Construction
3.5.3 Land Based C4ISR
3.5.4 Transport Aircraft
3.5.5 Multi-role Aircraft
4 Defense Procurement Market Dynamics
4.1 Import Market Dynamics
4.1.1 The countrys defense imports are low owing to a developed indigenous sector
4.1.2 Ukraine was the key defense supplier to Russia
4.1.3 Aircraft and engines were the key defense imports during 2009-2013
4.2 Export Market Dynamics
4.2.1 During 2009-2013, Russia was the worlds second largest arms exporter
4.2.2 India, China and Algeria are Russias main defense equipment purchasers
4.2.3 Aircraft and missiles account for the majority of Russias defense exports
5 Industry Dynamics
5.1 Five Forces Analysis
5.1.1 Bargaining power of supplier: low to high
5.1.2 Bargaining power of buyer: high
5.1.3 Barrier to entry: high
5.1.4 Intensity of rivalry: high
5.1.5 Threat of substitution: high
6 Market Entry Strategy
6.1 Market Regulation
6.1.1 Entry into defense sector is highly regulated
6.1.2 Market Entry Route
6.2 Key Challenges
6.2.1 Aversion of Russian government to Western defense technology
7 Competitive Landscape and Strategic Insights
7.1 Competitive Landscape Overview
7.1.1 Domestic industry in the process of consolidation for better focus and fund allocation
7.1.2 Defense sector is dominated by domestic firms, with no foreign presence
7.2 Key Domestic Companies
7.2.1 Sukhoi: overview
7.2.2 Sukhoi: products
7.2.3 Sukhoi: recent announcements and strategic initiatives
7.2.4 Sukhoi: alliances
7.2.5 Sukhoi: recent contract awards
7.2.6 Splav - overview
7.2.7 Splav - major products and services
7.2.8 Tactical Missiles Corporation: overview
7.2.9 Tactical Missiles Corporation - major products and services
7.2.10 Tactical Missiles Corporation - recent announcements and strategic initiatives
7.2.11 Tactical Missiles Corporation - recent contract wins
7.2.12 Almaz-Antey - overview
7.2.13 Almaz-Antey - Major Products and Services
7.2.14 Almaz-Antey - recent announcements and strategic initiatives
7.2.15 Almaz-Antey - alliances
7.2.16 Almaz-Antey - recent contract wins
7.2.17 United Aircraft Corporation - overview
7.2.18 United Aircraft Corporation - major products and services
7.2.19 United Aircraft Corporation - recent announcements and strategic initiatives
7.2.20 United Aircraft Corporation - alliances
7.2.21 KBP Instrument Design Bureau - overview
7.2.22 KBP Instrument Design Bureau - major products and services
7.2.23 KBP Instrument Design Bureau - recent announcements and strategic initiatives
7.2.24 KBP Instrument Design Bureau - recent contract wins
7.2.25 V.A.Degtyarev Plant - overview
7.2.26 V.A.Degtyarev Plant - major products and services
7.2.27 Kurganmashzavod - overview
7.2.28 Kurganmashzavod - major products and services
7.2.29 Kurganmashzavod - recent announcements and strategic initiatives
7.2.30 Kurganmashzavod - alliances
7.2.31 Kurganmashzavod - recent contract wins
7.2.32 Uralvagonzavod - overview
7.2.33 Uralvagonzavod - major products and services
7.2.34 Uralvagonzavod - recent announcements and strategic initiatives
7.2.35 Uralvagonzavod - alliances
7.2.36 Uralvagonzavod - recent contract wins
7.2.37 Izhevsk Mechanical Works - overview
7.2.38 Izhevsk Mechanical Works - major products and services
7.2.39 Izhevsk Mechanical Works - recent announcements and strategic initiatives
7.2.40 Irkut Corporation - overview
7.2.41 Irkut Corporation - major products and services
7.2.42 Irkut Corporation - recent announcements and strategic initiatives
7.2.43 Irkut Corporation - alliances
7.2.44 Irkut Corporation - recent contract wins
7.2.45 Irkut Corporation - financial analysis
7.2.46 Oboronprom Corporation - overview
7.2.47 Oboronprom Corporation - major products and services
7.2.48 Oboronprom Corporation - recent announcements and strategic initiatives
7.2.49 Oboronprom Corporation - alliances
7.2.50 Oboronprom Corporation - recent contract wins
8 Business Environment and Country Risk
8.1 Demographic and Social Stats
8.1.1 Total Rural Population (In Mn)
8.1.2 Total Urban Population (In Mn)
8.1.3 Number of Households (In Mn)
8.2 Economic Performance
8.2.1 GDP Per Capita, USD
8.2.2 GDP (current USD Bn)
8.2.3 Exports of goods and services (current USD Bn)
8.2.4 Imports of goods and services (current USD Bn)
8.2.5 Gross National disposable income (USD Bn)
8.2.6 Manufacturing Output (USD Bn)
8.2.7 Consumer price Index
8.2.8 Wholesale Price Index
8.2.9 LCU per USD (period average)
8.2.10 LCU per EUR (period average)
8.2.11 Lending Rate (%)
8.2.12 Deposit Rate (%)
8.2.13 Real Interest Rate (%)
8.2.14 Market Capitalization of Listed Companies (USD Billion)
8.2.15 Market Capitalization of Listed Companies (% of GDP)
8.2.16 Total Government cash surplus/deficit (LCU Bn)
8.2.17 Government cash surplus/deficit as % of GDP (LCU)
8.2.18 Goods exports as a percentage of GDP
8.2.19 Goods imports as a percentage of GDP
8.2.20 Goods balance as a percentage of GDP
8.2.21 Services imports as a percentage of GDP
8.2.22 Services Exports as a percentage of GDP
8.2.23 Services balance as a percentage of GDP
8.2.24 Foreign direct investment, net (BoP, current US$ Billion)
8.2.25 Net Foreign direct investment as a percentage of GDP
8.2.26 International reserves, including gold (USD Billion)
8.3 Energy and Utilities
8.3.1 Total Conventional Thermal Electricity Net Generation (Billion Kilowatt hours)
8.3.2 Hydroelectricity Net Generation (Billion Kilowatt hours)
8.3.3 Nuclear Electricity Net Generation (Billion Kilowatt hours)
8.3.4 Total Conventional Thermal Electricity Installed Capacity (Million Kilowatts)
8.3.5 Total Electricity Exports (Billion Kilowatt hours)
8.3.6 Total Electricity Imports (Billion Kilowatt hours)
8.3.7 Proved Reserves of Natural Gas (Trillion Cubic Feet)
8.3.8 Total Petroleum Consumption (Thousand Barrels Per Day)
8.3.9 Crude Oil Proved Reserves (Billion Barrels)
8.3.10 Total Non-Hydro Renewable Electricity Net Generation (Billion Kilowatts)
8.4 Infrastructure Quality and Availability
8.4.1 Rail lines (total route - km)
8.4.2 Air transport, freight (million ton-km)
8.4.3 Overall construction (US$ Million)
8.5 Minerals
8.5.1 Mining, Manufacturing, and Utilities Output (USD Bn)
8.6 Technology
8.6.1 Research and development expenditure (Local Currency Thousands)
8.6.2 Patents granted
8.7 Telecommunication
8.7.1 Telephone lines (In Mn)
8.7.2 Telephone Lines Penetration Rate (per 100 people)
9 Appendix
9.1 About SDI
9.2 Disclaimer


List of Tables


Table 1: Russian Defense Expenditure (US$ Billion), 2011-2015
Table 2: Russian Defense Expenditure (US$ Billion), 2016-2020
Table 3: Russian Defense Expenditure (RUB Billion), 2011-2015
Table 4: Russian Defense Expenditure (RUB Billion), 2016-2020
Table 5: Russian GDP Growth vs. Defense Expenditure Growth and Defense Expenditure as Percentage of GDP Growth, 2011-2015
Table 6: Russian GDP Growth vs. Defense Expenditure Growth and Defense Expenditure as Percentage of GDP Growth, 2016-2020
Table 7: Russian Defense Budget Split Between Capital and Revenue Expenditure (%), 2011-2015
Table 8: Russian Defense Budget Split Between Capital and Revenue Expenditure (%), 2016-2020
Table 9: Russian Capital Budget Allocation (US$ Billion), 2011-2015
Table 10: Russian Capital Budget Allocation (US$ Billion), 2016-2020
Table 11: Russian Capital Budget Allocation (RUB billion), 2011-2015
Table 12: Russian Capital Budget Allocation (RUB Billion), 2016-2020
Table 13: Russian Per Capita Defense Expenditure (US$), 2011-2015
Table 14: Russian Per Capita Defense Expenditure (US$), 2016-2020
Table 15: Russian Homeland Security Budget (US$ Billion), 2011-2015
Table 16: Russian Homeland Security Budget (US$ Billion), 2016-2020
Table 17: Russian Homeland Security Budget (RUB Billion), 2011-2015
Table 18: Russian Homeland Security Budget (RUB Billion), 2016-2020
Table 19: Benchmarking with Key Markets - 2011-2015 vs. 2016-2020
Table 20: SDI Terrorism Index
Table 21: Sukhoi - Major Products and Services
Table 22: Sukhoi - Alliances
Table 23: Sukhoi - Recent Contract Wins
Table 24: Splav - Major Products and Services
Table 25: Tactical Missiles Corporation - Major Products and Services
Table 26: Tactical Missiles Corporation - Recent Contract Wins
Table 27: Almaz-Antey - Major Products and Services
Table 28: Almaz-Antey - Alliances
Table 29: Almaz-Antey - Recent Contract Wins
Table 30: United Aircraft Corporation - Major Products and Services
Table 31: United Aircraft Corporation - Alliances
Table 32: KBP Instrument Design Bureau - Major Products and Services
Table 33: KBP Instrument Design Bureau - recent contract wins
Table 34: V.A.Degtyarev Plant - Major Products and Services
Table 35: Kurganmashzavod - Major Products and Services
Table 36: Kurganmashzavod - Alliances
Table 37: Kurganmashzavod - Recent Contract Wins
Table 38: Uralvagonzavod - Major Products and Services
Table 39: Uralvagonzavod - Alliances
Table 40: Uralvagonzavod - Recent Contract Wins
Table 41: Izhevsk Mechanical Works - Major Products and Services
Table 42: Irkut Corporation - Major Products and Services
Table 43: Irkut Corporation - Alliances
Table 44: Irkut Corporation - Recent Contract Wins
Table 45: Oboronprom Corporation - Major Products and Services
Table 46: Oboronprom Corporation - Alliances
Table 47: Oboronprom Corporation - Recent Contract Wins
Sukhoi, Splav, Tactical Missiles Corporation, Almaz-Antey, United Aircraft Corporation, KBP Instrument Design Bureau, V.A. Degtyarev Plant, Kurganmashzavod, Uralvagonzavod, Izhevsk Mechanical Works, Irkut Corporation,
Oboronprom Corporation

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