Future of the South African Defense Industry - Market Attractiveness, Competitive Landscape and Forecasts to 2020

Future of the South African Defense Industry - Market Attractiveness, Competitive Landscape and Forecasts to 2020

Code: SDI-DF0301MR | Published: Mar-2015 | Pages: 147 | Strategic Defence Intelligence
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The Future of the South African Defense Industry - Market Attractiveness, Competitive Landscape and Forecasts to 2020, published by Strategic Defence Intelligence, provides readers with detailed analysis of both historic and forecast defense industry values, factors influencing demand, the challenges faced by industry participants, analysis of industry leading companies, and key news.

Key Findings
- Over the historic period, the South African defense expenditure registered a growth rate of -3.05%, decreasing from US$4.81 billion in 2011 to US$4.25 billion in 2015

- The South African military expenditure, valued at US$4.25 billion in 2015, is expected to increase to US$6.49 billion by 2020, registering a CAGR of 9.54% over the forecast period

- The South African military expenditure will be driven by the countrys participation in peacekeeping programs, border security challenges, and a focus on the modernization of its armed forces

- The Defense Ministry is expected to procure C4ISR-Land Based, Naval Vessels, Transport Aircraft, and C4ISR-Airborne, Rotorcraft MRO

Synopsis
This report offers detailed analysis of the South African defense industry with market size forecasts covering the next five years. This report will also analyze factors that influence demand for the industry, key market trends, and challenges faced by industry participants.
In particular, it provides an in-depth analysis of the following:

- The South African defense industry market size and drivers: detailed analysis of the South African defense industry during 2016-2020, including highlights of the demand drivers and growth stimulators for the industry. It also provides a snapshot of the countrys expenditure and modernization patterns

- Budget allocation and key challenges: insights into procurement schedules formulated within the country and a breakdown of the defense budget with respect to the army, navy, and air force. It also details the key challenges faced by defense market participants within the country

- Porters Five Force analysis of the South African defense industry: analysis of the market characteristics by determining the bargaining power of suppliers, bargaining power of buyers, threat of substitution, intensity of rivalry, and barriers to entry

- Import and Export Dynamics: analysis of prevalent trends in the countrys imports and exports over the last five years

- Market opportunities: details of the top five defense investment opportunities over the coming 10 years

- Competitive landscape and strategic insights: analysis of the competitive landscape of the South African defense industry. It provides an overview of key players, together with insights such as key alliances, strategic initiatives, and a brief financial analysis

Reasons To Buy
- This report will give the user confidence to make the correct business decisions based on a detailed analysis of the South African defense industry market trends for the coming five years

- The market opportunity section will inform the user about the various military requirements that are expected to generate revenues during the forecast period. The description includes technical specifications, recent orders, and the expected investment pattern by the country during the forecast period

- Detailed profiles of the top domestic and foreign defense manufacturers with information about their products, alliances, recent contract wins, and financial analysis wherever available. This will provide the user with a total competitive landscape of the sector

- A deep qualitative analysis of the South African defense industry covering sections including demand drivers, Porters Five Forces Analysis, Key Trends and Growth Stimulators, and latest industry contracts

Table of Contents

1 Introduction
1.1. What is this Report About?
1.2. Definitions
1.3. Summary Methodology
1.4. SDI Research Terrorism Index
1.5. About Strategic Defence Intelligence
2 Executive Summary
3 Market Attractiveness and Emerging Opportunities
3.1. Defense Market Size Historical and Forecast
3.1.1. South African defense expenditure expected to grow at a CAGR of 9.54% over the forecast period
3.1.2. Modernization initiatives, peacekeeping missions, and border security expected to drive defense expenditure
3.1.3. Military expenditure as a percentage of GDP is expected to increase during the forecast period
3.2. Analysis of Defense Budget Allocation
3.2.1. Capital expenditure share to increase over the forecast period
3.2.2. Capital expenditure expected to increase over the forecast period
3.2.3. Other Defense accounted for the largest percentage share of the overall South African defense budget
3.2.4. Army expenditure to grow at a modest pace over the forecast period
3.2.5. Naval expenditure expected to grow at a CAGR of 6.70% during the forecast period
3.2.6. Air force expenditure expected to increase over the forecast period
3.2.7. Per-capita defense expenditure expected to increase over the forecast period
3.3. Homeland Security Market Size and Forecast
3.3.1. Homeland security (HLS) expenditure expected to value US$13.5 billion in 2020
3.3.2. Homeland security expenditure to be driven by rising threat of global terrorism and high violent crime rates
3.3.3. South Africa faces a moderate level of threat from foreign terrorist organizations
3.4. Benchmarking with Key Global Markets
3.4.1. South African defense expenditure expected to remain low compared to leading spenders
3.4.2. The country will continue to be a small player in the global defense market
3.4.3. South African defense expenditure as a percentage of GDP is lower than the majority of leading defense spenders
3.4.4. South Africa faces negligible threat from foreign terrorist organizations
3.5. Market Opportunities: Key Trends and Growth Stimulators
3.5.1. Land Based-C4ISR:
3.5.2. Naval Vessels:
3.5.3. Transport Aircraft:
3.5.4. C4ISR-Airborne:
3.5.5. Rotorcraft MRO:
4 Defense Procurement Market Dynamics
4.1. Import Market Dynamics
4.1.1. Defense imports expected to increase during the forecast period
4.1.2. Sweden dominated South African defense imports during 2009-2013
4.1.3. Aircraft were the major defense imports during the historic period
4.2. Export Market Dynamics
4.2.1. Defense export value declined significantly during 2010-2014
4.2.2. US dominates South African defense export market during the historic period
4.2.3. Armored Vehicles accounted for the majority of countrys defense exports
5 Industry Dynamics
5.1. Five Forces Analysis
5.1.1. Bargaining power of supplier: low
5.1.2. Bargaining power of buyer: Medium
5.1.3. Barrier to entry: Medium
5.1.4. Intensity of rivalry: High
5.1.5. Threat of substitution: Medium
6 Market Entry Strategy
6.1. Market Regulation
6.1.1. Offset policy ensures support for local companies
6.1.2. FDI is channeled to benefit local business
6.2. Market Entry Route
6.2.1. Foreign OEMs find alternative routes into the market
6.2.2. Joint ventures and collaborations provide market entry opportunities
6.3. Key Challenges
6.3.1. Corruption and bribery
6.3.2. Lack of transparency
6.3.3. Lack of relevant defense policy
7 Competitive Landscape and Strategic Insights
7.1. Competitive Landscape Overview
7.2. Key Private Sector Companies
7.2.1. Denel: overview
7.2.2. Denel: Major Products and Services
7.2.3. Denel: recent announcements and strategic initiatives
7.2.4. Denel: alliances
7.2.5. Denel: recent contract wins
7.2.6. Denel: financial analysis
7.2.7. Ansys Limited: overview
7.2.8. Ansys Limited: Major Products and Services
7.2.9. Ansys Limited: alliances
7.2.10. Ansys Limited: Recent Contract Wins
7.2.11. Ansys Limited: financial analysis
7.3. Key Private Sector Companies
7.3.1. Reutech: overview
7.3.2. Reutech: products and services
7.3.3. Reutech: recent announcements and strategic initiatives
7.3.4. Reutech: alliances
7.3.5. Reutech: recent contract wins
7.3.6. Saab Grintek: overview
7.3.7. Saab Grintek: products and services
7.3.8. Saab Grintek: recent announcements and strategic initiatives
7.3.9. Saab Grintek: alliances
7.3.10. Saab Grintek: recent contract wins
7.3.11. Land Systems South Africa: overview
7.3.12. Land Systems South Africa: products and services
7.3.13. Land Systems South Africa: recent announcements and strategic initiatives.
7.3.14. Land Systems South Africa: alliances
7.3.15. Land Systems South Africa: recent contract wins
7.3.16. IVEMA: overview
7.3.17. IVEMA: products and services
7.3.18. IVEMA: recent contract wins
7.3.19. Aerosud: overview
7.3.20. Aerosud: products and services
7.3.21. Aerosud: recent announcements and strategic initiatives
7.3.22. Aerosud: alliances
7.3.23. Aerosud: recent contract wins
7.3.24. Turbomeca Africa: overview
7.3.25. Turbomeca Africa: products and services
7.3.26. Turbomeca Africa: alliances
7.3.27. Turbomeca Africa: recent contract wins
7.3.28. Global Armour: overview
7.3.29. Global Armour: products and services
7.3.30. Global Armour: recent announcements and strategic initiatives
7.3.31. Global Armour: alliances
7.3.32. Global Armour: recent contract wins
7.3.33. Milkor (Pty) Ltd: overview
7.3.34. Milkor (Pty) Ltd.: products and services
7.3.35. Milkor (Pty) Ltd.: recent announcements and strategic initiatives
7.3.36. Milkor (Pty) Ltd.: recent contract wins
7.3.37. Paramount Advanced Technologies: overview
7.3.38. Paramount Advanced Technologies: products and services
7.3.39. Paramount Advanced Technologies: recent announcements and strategic initiatives
7.3.40. Paramount Advanced Technologies: recent contract wins
7.3.41. Tellumat Defence: Overview
7.3.42. Tellumat Defence: products and services
7.3.43. Tellumat Defence: Recent announcements and strategic initiatives
7.3.44. Tellumat Defence: Alliances
7.3.45. Tellumat Defense: Recent contract wins
8 Business Environment and Country Risk
8.1. Demographics and Social Statistics
8.1.1. Urban Population
8.1.2. Rural Population
8.1.3. Number of Households
8.2. Economic Performance
8.2.1. GDP Per Capita
8.2.2. GDP, Current Prices
8.2.3. Consumer Price Index
8.2.4. Wholesale Price Index
8.2.5. Local Currency Unit per USD
8.2.6. Lending Rate
8.2.7. Deposit Rate
8.2.8. Real Interest Rate
8.2.9. Goods Exports as % of GDP
8.2.10. Goods Imports as % of GDP
8.2.11. Goods Trade Surplus/Deficit as % of GDP
8.2.12. Service Imports as % of GDP
8.2.13. Service Exports as % of GDP
8.2.14. Service Trade Surplus/Deficit as % of GDP
8.2.15. Foreign Direct Investments
8.2.16. Net Foreign Direct Investments as % of GDP
8.2.17. International reserves, including gold
8.2.18. Market Capitalization of listed companies as % of GDP
8.3. Energy and Utilities
8.3.1. Conventional Thermal Electricity Net Generation (Billion kWh)
8.3.2. Conventional Thermal Electricity Installed Capacity (Billion kW)
8.3.3. Petroleum Consumption
8.3.4. Crude Oil Proved Reserves (Billion Barrels)
8.3.5. Hydroelectricity Net Generation (Billion Kilowatt Hours)
8.3.6. Nuclear Electricity Net Generation (Billion Kilowatt Hours)
8.3.7. Total Electricity Imports (Billion Kilowatt Hours)
8.3.8. Total Electricity Exports (Billion Kilowatt Hours)
8.4. Infrastructure
8.4.1. Air Transport, Freight (million ton-km)
8.4.2. Rail Lines
8.5. Minerals
8.5.1. Mining, Manufacturing, Utilities Output
8.6. Technology
8.6.1. Patents Granted
8.7. Telecommunication
8.7.1. Telephone lines
8.7.2. Telephone lines Penetration Rate
8.7.3. Mobile Cellular Subscriptions
8.7.4. Mobile cellular subscriptions Penetration Rate
9 Appendix
9.1. About SDI
9.2. Disclaimer

List of Tables


Table 1: South African Defense Expenditure (US$ Billion), 2011-2015
Table 2: South African Defense Expenditure (US$ Billion), 2016-2020
Table 3: South African Defense Expenditure (ZAR Billion), 2011-2015
Table 4: South African Defense Expenditure (ZAR Billion), 2016-2020
Table 5: South African GDP Growth vs. Defense Expenditure Growth and Defense Expenditure as Percentage of GDP Growth, 2011-2015
Table 6: South African GDP Growth vs. Defense Expenditure Growth and Defense Expenditure as Percentage of GDP Growth, 2016-2020
Table 7: South African Defense Budget Split Between Capital and Revenue Expenditure (%), 2011-2015
Table 8: South African Defense Budget Split Between Capital and Revenue Expenditure (%), 2016-2020
Table 9: South African Defense Capital Expenditure (US$ billion), 2011-2015
Table 10: South African Defense Capital Expenditure (US$ billion), 2016-2020
Table 11: South African Defense Capital Expenditure (ZAR billion), 2011-2015
Table 12: South African Defense Capital Expenditure (ZAR billion), 2016-2020
Table 13: South African Defense Budget Split Between Army, Navy, Air Force and Others, 2011-2015
Table 14: South African Defense Budget Split Between Army, Navy, Air Force and Others, 2016-2020
Table 15: South African Defense Expenditure budget for Army (US$ billion), 2011-2015
Table 16: South African Defense Expenditure budget for Army (US$ billion), 2016-2020
Table 17: South African Defense Expenditure for Army (ZAR billion), 2011-2015
Table 18: South African Defense Expenditure for Army (ZAR billion), 2016-2020
Table 19: South African Defense Expenditure for Navy (US$ million), 2011-2015
Table 20: South African Defense Expenditure for Navy (US$ million), 2016-2020
Table 21: South African Defense Expenditure for Navy (ZAR billion), 2011-2015
Table 22: South African Defense Expenditure for Navy (ZAR billion), 2016-2020
Table 23: South African Defense Expenditure for Air Force (US$ million), 2011-2015
Table 24: South African Defense Expenditure for Air Force (US$ million), 2016-2020
Table 25: South African Defense Expenditure for Air Force (ZAR billion), 2011-2015
Table 26: South African Defense Expenditure for Air Force (ZAR Billion), 2016-2020
Table 27: South African Per-Capita Defense Expenditure (US$), 2011-2015
Table 28: South African Per-Capita Defense Expenditure (US$), 2016-2020
Table 29: South African Homeland Security Budget (US$ Billion), 2011-2015
Table 30: South African Homeland Security Budget (US$ Billion), 2016-2020
Table 31: South African Homeland Security Budget (ZAR Billion), 2011-2015
Table 32: South African Homeland Security Budget (ZAR Billion), 2016-2020
Table 33: Benchmarking with Key Markets - 2011-2015vs. 2016-2020
Table 34: SDI Terrorism Index
Table 35: Offset Regulations in South Africa
Table 36: Methodology for Offset Credits
Table 37: Denel - Product Focus
Table 38: Denel - Alliances
Table 39: Denel - Recent Contract Wins
Table 40: Ansys Limited - Product Focus
Table 41: Ansys Limited - Alliances
Table 42: Ansys Limited - Recent Contract Wins
Table 43: Reutech - Product Focus
Table 44: Reutech - Alliances
Table 45: Reutech - Recent Contract Wins
Table 46: Saab Grintek - Product Focus
Table 47: Saab Grintek - Alliances
Table 48: Saab Grintek - Recent Contract Wins
Table 49: Land Systems South Africa - Product Focus
Table 50: Land Systems South Africa - Alliances
Table 51: Land Systems South Africa - Recent Contract Wins
Table 52: IVEMA - Product Focus
Table 53: IVEMA - Recent Contract Wins
Table 54: Aerosud - Product Focus
Table 55: Aerosud - Alliances
Table 56: Aerosud - Recent Contract Wins
Table 57: Turbomeca Africa - Product Focus
Table 58: Turbomeca Africa - Alliances
Table 59: Turbomeca Africa - Recent Contract Wins
Table 60: Global Armour- Major Products and Services
Table 61:Global Armour- Alliances
Table 62: Aerosud - Recent Contract Wins
Table 63: Milkor (Pty) - Major Products and Services
Table 64: Milkor (Pty), Ltd. - recent contract wins
Table 65: Paramount Advanced Technologies - Major Products and Services
Table 66: Paramount Advanced Technologies - Recent contract wins
Table 67: Tellumat Defence- Major Products and Services
Table 68: Tellumat Defence- Alliances
Table 69: Tellumat Defence- Recent contract wins
Denel, Ansys Limited, Reutech, Saab Grintek, Land Systems South Africa, IVEMA, Aerosud, Turbomeca Africa, Global Armour, Milkor (Pty) Ltd, Paramount Advanced Technologies, Tellumat Defence

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