Future of the Swedish Defense Industry - Market Attractiveness, Competitive Landscape and Forecasts to 2020

Future of the Swedish Defense Industry - Market Attractiveness, Competitive Landscape and Forecasts to 2020

Code: SDI-DF0340MR | Published: Feb-2016 | Pages: 147 | Strategic Defence Intelligence
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Increase in the countrys defense expenditure can be attributed to the deteriorating security situation in Europe, particularly in the wake of Russian aggression against Ukraine and Swedens efforts to increase operational war fighting capability of the armed forces. As a result, the government has decided to substantially increase defense budget for the first time in two decades. Over the forecast period, the countrys defense industry is expected to incur a cumulative spending of US$34.3 billion with most of the expenditure being directed towards the purchase of advanced defense systems, international peacekeeping missions, and research and development initiatives

Key Findings
- Over the historic period, defense expenditure registered a growth rate of 1.11%, increasing from US$6.1 billion in 2011 to US$6.4 billion in 2015

- Military expenditure, valued at US$6.6 billion in 2016, is expected to increase to US$7.2 billion by 2020, registering a CAGR of 2.20% over the forecast period

- Military expenditure will be driven by the threat from Russia, modernization initiatives and participation in peace keeping missions

- The Defense Ministry is expected to procure fighters and multi-role aircraft, diesel electric submarines, aviation MRO and cyber security

Synopsis
Strategic Defense Intelligences - Swedish Defense Industry - Market Attractiveness, Competitive Landscape and Forecasts to 2020 report offers a detailed analysis with market size forecasts for 2016-2020. The factors that influence demand, key market trends, and challenges faced by industry participants are also covered.In particular, it provides an in-depth analysis of the following:

- Defense industry market size from 2016 -2020, including highlights of the demand drivers and growth stimulators. A snapshot of the countrys expenditure and modernization patterns are provided

- Budget allocation and key challenges: insights into procurement schedules formulated within the country and a breakdown of the defense budget with respect to the army, navy, and air force. The key challenges faced by defense market participants within the country are also detailed

- Porters five forces analysis: study the market characteristics by determining the bargaining power of suppliers, buyers, threat of substitution, intensity of rivalry, and barriers to entry

- Import and export dynamics: review the prevalent trends in the countrys imports and exports over the last five years

- Market opportunities: identify the top five defense investment opportunities from 2015 to 2025

- Competitive landscape and strategic insights: including an overview of leading players, key alliances, strategic initiatives, and a brief financial analysis

Reasons To Buy
- Identify and track the global defense market and make regional comparisons to effectively target new revenue streams

- Understand the importance of being led by the defense ministries in the military procurement market and define your strategies with insight on what your customers really want by analyzing recent orders, technical specifications and the countrys expected investment pattern during 2016-2020

- Make correct business decisions based on a detailed analysis of the industry from 2016-2020 which includes the total competitive landscape of the sector with detailed profiles of the top domestic and foreign defense manufacturers along with information about their products, alliances, recent contract wins and financial analysis

- Determine prospective investment areas by gaining an in-depth understanding of the industry in terms of market opportunities

- Channelize resources by identifying various military requirements that are expected to generate revenues across different sectors during 2016-2020

Table of Contents

1 Introduction
1.1. What is this Report About?
1.2. Definitions
1.3. Summary Methodology
1.4. SDITerrorism Index
1.5. About Strategic Defence Intelligence
2 Executive Summary
3 Market Attractiveness and Emerging Opportunities
3.1. Defense Market Size, Historical and Forecast
3.1.1. Swedish defense expenditure expected to register a CAGR of 2.20% during the forecast period
3.1.2. Modernization initiatives, peacekeeping missions, and threat from Russia expected to fuel Swedish defense expenditure
3.1.3. Defense expenditure as a percentage of GDP is expected to remain at same levels during the forecast period
3.2. Analysis of Defense Budget Allocation
3.2.1. Capital expenditure allocation expected to increase during the forecast period
3.2.2. Air Force accounts for a majority of the defense budget with an average share of 37.9% over forecast period
3.2.3. Air Force budget to reach US$2.8 billion by 2020
3.2.4. The countrys expenditure on its Army to reach US$1.8 billion by 2020
3.2.5. Expenditure on Navy estimated to increase at a CAGR of 3.18% over the forecast period
3.2.6. Other expenses constitute a substantial amount of the total defense budget
3.3. Homeland Security Market Size and Forecast
3.3.1. Swedish police budget expected to increase during the forecast period
3.3.2. Homeland security expenditure to be driven by Swedens efforts to counter organized crime
3.3.3. Threat from international terrorist organizations
3.3.4. Sweden falls under "Low risk" of terrorism category
3.4. Benchmarking with Key Global Markets
3.4.1. Swedish defense expenditure is expected to remain modest during the forecast period
3.4.2. The countrys defense budget is moderate compared to other leading spenders
3.4.3. Sweden allocates a lower share of GDP to defense compared to countries with significant global defense expenditure
3.4.4. Sweden faces negligible threat from foreign terrorist organizations
3.4.5. Sweden emerged as the eleventh-largest global arms exporter during 2010-2014
3.5. Market Opportunities: Key Trends and Drivers
3.5.1. Fighters and Multi-role aircraft
3.5.2. Multi-role Aircraft MRO
3.5.3. Diesel Electric Submarines
3.5.4. Network Security
4 Defense Procurement Market Dynamics
4.1. Import Market Dynamics
4.1.1. Defense imports registered a decline during 2010-2014
4.1.2. Sweden aims to diversify arms imports
4.1.3. Sensors accounted for the majority of defense imports
4.2. Export Market Dynamics
4.2.1. Swedish defense exports tend to be inclined towards Asian and Middle-Eastern countries
4.2.2. Sweden aims to enter non-European defense markets
4.2.3. Aircraft account for the majority of Swedish defense exports
5 Industry Dynamics
5.1. Five Forces Analysis
5.1.1. Bargaining power of supplier: low
5.1.2. Bargaining power of buyer: high
5.1.3. Barrier to entry: medium
5.1.4. Intensity of rivalry: high
5.1.5. Threat of Substitution: high
6 Market Entry Strategy
6.1. Market Regulation
6.1.1. Swedish offset policy facilitates defense partnerships with different countries
6.1.2. Swedish defense industry is open to foreign direct investment
6.2. Market Entry Route
6.2.1. Acquisition of a domestic defense company is preferred entry route
6.2.2. Foreign OEMs gain industry access through joint research and development programs
6.2.3. Foreign investors enter the market through direct sales
6.3. Key Challenges
6.3.1. Cancellation of projects due to low defense budget deters investors from entering the market
6.3.2. The absence of multipliers in the offset policy discourages foreign suppliers
6.3.3. Transformation from a conscript force to a professional volunteer force
7 Competitive Landscape and Strategic Insights
7.1. Competitive Landscape Overview
7.2. Key Public Sector Companies
7.2.1. SAAB - Overview
7.2.2. SAAB - Major Products and Services
7.2.3. SAAB - Recent Announcements and Strategic Initiatives
7.2.4. SAAB - Alliances
7.2.5. SAAB - Recent Contract Wins
7.2.6. SAAB - Financial Analysis
7.3. Key Private Sector Companies
7.3.1. BAE Systems AB - Overview
7.3.2. BAE Systems AB - Major Products and Services
7.3.3. BAE Systems AB - Recent Announcements and Strategic Initiatives
7.3.4. BAE Systems AB - Alliances
7.3.5. BAE Systems AB - Recent Contract Wins
7.3.6. Nammo AS - Overview
7.3.7. Nammo AS - Major Products and Services
7.3.8. Nammo AS - Recent Announcements and Strategic Initiatives
7.3.9. Nammo AS - Alliances
7.3.10. CybAero - Overview
7.3.11. CybAero - Major Products and Services
7.3.12. CybAero - Recent Announcements and Strategic Initiatives
7.3.13. CybAero - Alliances
7.3.14. CybAero - Recent Contract Wins
7.3.15. Dynasafe AB - Overview
7.3.16. Dynasafe AB - Major Products and Services
7.3.17. Dynasafe AB - Recent Announcements and Strategic Initiatives
7.3.18. Dynasafe AB - Recent Contract Wins
7.3.19. Scanjack AB - Overview
7.3.20. Scanjack AB - Major Products and Services
7.3.21. Scanjack AB - Recent Announcements and Strategic Initiatives
7.3.22. Scanjack AB - Recent Contract Wins
7.3.23. Akers Krutbruk Protection AB - Overview
7.3.24. Akers Krutbruk Protection AB - Major Products and Services
7.3.25. Akers Krutbruk Protection AB - Recent Announcements and Strategic Initiatives
7.3.26. Akers Krutbruk Protection AB - Alliances
7.3.27. Akers Krutbruk Protection AB - Recent Contract Wins
7.3.28. Logica - Overview
7.3.29. Logica - Major Products and Services
7.3.30. Logica - Alliances
7.3.31. Logica - Recent Contract Wins
7.3.32. Niscayah - Overview
7.3.33. Niscayah - Major Products and Services
7.3.34. Niscayah - Recent Announcements and Strategic Initiatives
7.3.35. Niscayah - Alliances
7.3.36. Niscayah - Recent Contract Wins
8 Business Environment and Country Risk
8.1. Demographics and Social Statistics
8.1.1. Total Rural Population
8.1.2. Total Urban Population
8.1.3. Number of Households
8.2. Economic Performance
8.2.1. GDP Per Capita
8.2.2. GDP, Current Prices (US$ Billions)
8.2.3. Exports of goods and services, current prices (US$ billions)
8.2.4. Imports of goods and services, current prices (US$ billions)
8.2.5. Gross National Disposable Income
8.2.6. Manufacturing Output (US$ billions)
8.2.7. Consumer Price Index
8.2.8. Wholesale Price Index
8.2.9. Local Currency Unit per US$ (period average)
8.2.10. Local Currency Unit per EUR (period average)
8.2.11. Market Capitalization of Listed Companies (US$ Billions)
8.2.12. Market Capitalization of Listed Companies (% of GDP)
8.2.13. Total Government Cash Surplus/ Deficit (LCU Billion)
8.2.14. Government Cash Surplus/ Deficit as % of GDP (LCU)
8.2.15. Central Government Debt (LCU billion)
8.2.16. Central Government Debt as % of GDP (LCU billion)
8.2.17. Goods Exports as % of GDP
8.2.18. Goods Imports as % of GDP
8.2.19. Goods Balance as % of GDP
8.2.20. Services Imports as % of GDP
8.2.21. Services Exports as % of GDP
8.2.22. Services Balance as % of GDP
8.2.23. Foreign Direct Investment, net (BoP, current US$ Billions)
8.2.24. Net Foreign Direct Investment as % of GDP
8.2.25. International Reserves, including Gold (US$ Billions)
8.3. Energy and Utilities
8.3.1. Total Conventional Thermal Electricity Net Generation
8.3.2. Hydroelectricity Net Generation
8.3.3. Nuclear Electricity Net Generation
8.3.4. Total Conventional Thermal Electricity Installed Capacity
8.3.5. Total Electricity Exports (Billion Kilowatt Hours)
8.3.6. Total Electricity Imports (Billion Kilowatt Hours)
8.3.7. Total Petroleum Consumption
8.3.8. Total Non-Hydro Renewable Electricity Net Generation (Billion Kilowatts)
8.4. Infrastructure Quality and Availability
8.4.1. Rail lines (total route), total network
8.4.2. Overall Construction
8.5. Minerals
8.5.1. Mining, Manufacturing, Utilities Output
8.6. Technology
8.6.1. Patents granted
8.7. Telecommunication
8.7.1. Telephone Lines
8.7.2. Telephone Lines Penetration Rate
9 Appendix
9.1. About SDI
9.2. Disclaimer

List of Tables


Table 1: Swedish Defense Expenditure (US$ billion), 2011-2015
Table 2: Swedish Defense Expenditure (US$ billion), 2016-2020
Table 3: Swedish Defense Expenditure (SEK Billion), 2011-2015
Table 4: Swedish Defense Expenditure(SEK Billion), 2016-2020
Table 5: Swedish GDP Growth vs. Defense Expenditure Growth and Defense Expenditure as Percentage of GDP, 2011-2015
Table 6: Swedish GDP Growth vs. Defense Expenditure Growth and Defense Expenditure as Percentage of GDP, 2016-2020
Table 7: Swedish Defense Budget Split Between Capital and Revenue Expenditure (%), 2011-2015
Table 8: Swedish Defense Budget Split Between Capital and Revenue Expenditure (%), 2016-2020
Table 9: Swedish Defense Expenditure Breakdown (%), 2011-2015
Table 10: Swedish Defense Expenditure Breakdown (%), 2016-2020
Table 11: Swedish Defense Expenditure for the Air Force (US$ billion), 2011-2015
Table 12: Swedish Defense Expenditure for the Air Force (US$ billion), 2016-2020
Table 13: Swedish Defense Expenditure for the Air Force (SEK billion), 2011-2015
Table 14: Swedish Defense Expenditure for the Air Force (SEK billion), 2016-2020
Table 15: Swedish Defense Expenditure for the Army (US$ billion), 2011-2015
Table 16: Swedish Defense Expenditure for the Army (US$ billion), 2016-2020
Table 17: Swedish Defense Expenditure for the Army (SEK billion), 2011-2015
Table 18: Swedish Defense Expenditure for the Army (SEK billion), 2016-2020
Table 19: Swedish Defense Expenditure for the Navy (US$ billion), 2011-2015
Table 20: Swedish Defense Expenditure for the Navy (US$ billion), 2016-2020
Table 21: Swedish Defense Expenditure for the Navy (SEK billion), 2011-2015
Table 22: Swedish Defense Expenditure for the Navy (SEK billion), 2016-2020
Table 23: Swedish Defense Expenditure for Other Expenses (US$ billion), 2011-2015
Table 24: Swedish Defense Expenditure for Other Expenses (US$ billion), 2016-2020
Table 25: Swedish Defense Expenditure for Others (SEK billion), 2011-2015
Table 26: Swedish Defense Expenditure for the Others (SEK billion), 2016-2020
Table 27: Swedish Homeland Security Expenditure (US$ Million), 2011-2015
Table 28: Swedish Homeland Security Expenditure (US$ Million), 2016-2020
Table 29: Swedish Homeland Security Expenditure (SEK Billion), 2011-2015
Table 30: Swedish Homeland Security Expenditure (SEK Billion), 2016-2020
Table 31: Benchmarking with Key Markets, 2011-2015 vs. 2016-2020
Table 32: SDI Terrorism Index
Table 33: Top Country Ranking by Arms Exports, 2010-2014
Table 34: Swedish Defense Budget Allocation, 2011-2015
Table 35: SAAB - Major Products and Services
Table 36: SAAB - Alliances
Table 37: SAAB - Recent Contract Wins
Table 38: BAE Systems AB - Major Products and Services
Table 39: BAE Systems AB - Alliances
Table 40: BAE Systems AB - Recent Contract Wins
Table 41: Nammo AS - Major Products and Services
Table 42: Nammo AS - Alliances
Table 43: CybAero - Main Products
Table 44: CybAero - Alliances
Table 45: CybAero - Recent Contract Wins
Table 46: Dynasafe AB - Main Products and Services
Table 47: Dynasafe AB - Recent Contract Wins
Table 48: Scanjack AB - Major Products and Services
Table 49: Scanjack AB - Recent Contract Wins
Table 50: Akers Krutbruk Protection AB - Major Products and Services
Table 51: Akers Krutbruk Protection AB - Alliances
Table 52: Akers Krutbruk Protection AB - Recent Contract Wins
Table 53: Logica - Major Products and Services
Table 54: Logica - Alliances
Table 55: Logica - Recent Contract Wins
Table 56: Niscayah - Major Products and Services
Table 57: Niscayah - Alliances
Table 58: Niscayah - Recent Contract Wins
SAAB
BAE Systems AB
Nammo AS
CybAero
Dynasafe AB
Scanjack AB
Akers Krutbruk Protection AB
Logica
Niscayah

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