Future of the Turkish Defense Industry - Market Attractiveness, Competitive Landscape and Forecasts to 2020

Future of the Turkish Defense Industry - Market Attractiveness, Competitive Landscape and Forecasts to 2020

Code: SDI-DF0336MR | Published: Sep-2015 | Pages: 135 | Strategic Defence Intelligence
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The Turkish defense market will be driven by the countrys tensed relation with Greece, threats by the Kurdish Workers Party (PKK), participation in the peacekeeping missions, and the reduction in foreign dependency for military equipment. Also the capital expenditure allocation is anticipated to average 30.2% of the total defense budget during 2016-2020 and procurement of defense equipment are expected to be in the areas of multi-role aircraft, missile defense systems, corvettes, and main battle tanks (MBTs).

Key Findings
- During 2011-2015, Turkish defense expenditure registered a growth rate of -3.70%, decreasing from US$14.1 billion in 2011 to US$12.2 billion in 2015

- Military expenditure is anticipated to register a CAGR of 5.33% during 2016-2020, to value US$16.1 billion in 2020

- A strained relationship with Greece, instability within the region, peacekeeping missions, and a reduction in foreign dependency for military equipment is expected to drive defense expenditure over the forecast period

- Demand for equipment is mainly expected to revolve around multi-role aircraft, missile defense systems, corvettes, and main battle tanks (MBTs) during 2016-2020

Synopsis
Strategic Defense Intelligences report - Future of the Turkish Defense Industry - Market Attractiveness, Competitive Landscape and Forecasts to 2020 offers detailed analysis of the industry with market size forecasts from 2016-2020. This report will also analyze factors that influence demand in the industry, key market trends, and challenges faced by industry participants.

In particular, it provides an in-depth analysis of the following:

- Defense industry market size and drivers: detailed analysis of the defense industry during 2016-2020, including highlights of the demand drivers and growth stimulators. It also provides a snapshot of the countrys expenditure and modernization patterns

- Budget allocation and key challenges: insights into procurement schedules formulated within the country and a breakdown of the defense budget with respect to the army, navy, and air force. It also details the key challenges faced by defense market participants within the country

- Porters Five Force analysis of the defense industry: analysis of the market characteristics by determining the bargaining power of suppliers, buyers, threat of substitution, intensity of rivalry, and barriers to entry

- Import and Export Dynamics: analysis of prevalent trends in the countrys imports and exports over the last five years

- Market opportunities: details of the top five defense investment opportunities from 2015 to 2025

- Competitive landscape and strategic insights: including an overview of key players, together with insights such as key alliances, strategic initiatives, and a brief financial analysis

Reasons To Buy
- Identify and track the global defense market and make regional comparisons to effectively target new revenue streams

- Understand the importance of being led by the defense ministries in the military procurement market and define your strategies with insight on what your customers really want by analyzing recent orders, technical specifications and the countrys expected investment pattern during 2016-2020

- Make correct business decisions based on detailed analysis of the defense industry from 2016-2020 which includes the total competitive landscape of the sector with detailed profiles of the top domestic and foreign defense manufacturers along with information about their products, alliances, recent contract wins and financial analysis

- Determine prospective investment areas by gaining an in-depth understanding of the industry in terms of market opportunities

- Channelize resources by identifying various military requirements that are expected to generate revenues across different sectors during 2016-2020

Table of Contents

1 Introduction
1.1. What is this Report About?
1.2. Definitions
1.3. Summary Methodology
1.4. SDI Research Terrorism Index
1.5. About Strategic Defence Intelligence
2 Executive Summary
3 Market Attractiveness and Emerging Opportunities
3.1. Defense Market Size Historical and Forecast
3.1.1. Turkey defense expenditure expected to grow steadily during the forecast
3.1.2. A strained relationship with Greece, instability within the region, peacekeeping missions, and a reduction in foreign dependency for military equipment will drive Turkish defense expenditure over the forecast period
3.1.3. Military expenditure as a percentage of GDP is expected to decline during 2016-2020
3.2. Analysis of Defense Budget Allocation
3.2.1. Capital expenditure share expected to increase over the forecast period
3.2.2. Capital expenditure expected to increase over the forecast period
3.2.3. Turkeys revenue expenditure expected to register a growth rate of 5.62% during the forecast period
3.2.4. Per-Capita defense expenditure expected to increase over the forecast period
3.3. Homeland Security Market Size and Forecast
3.3.1. Homeland security (HLS) expenditure expected to grow steadily during the forecast period
3.3.2. Threats from separatists and extremists, Syrian conflict, illegal immigration, and drug trade to drive homeland security expenditure
3.3.3. Turkey faces a moderate level of terrorist threat
3.4. Benchmarking with Key Global Markets
3.4.1. Turkish defense expenditure expected to remain low compared to leading spenders
3.4.2. The countrys defense budget is high compared to its regional countries
3.4.3. Turkey defense expenditure as a percentage of GDP is expected to decrease
3.4.4. Turkey faces moderate threat from foreign terrorist organizations
3.5. Market Opportunities: Key Trends and Growth Stimulators
3.5.1. Multi-Role Aircraft
3.5.2. Missile Defense System
3.5.3. Corvettes
3.5.4. Main Battle Tanks (MBT)
4 Defense Procurement Market Dynamics
4.1. Import Market Dynamics
4.1.1. Defense imports expected to decrease during the forecast period
4.1.2. The US was the primary supplier of arms to Turkey
4.1.3. Aircraft were the major imported military hardware during 2010-2014
4.2. Export Market Dynamics
4.2.1. Turkey aims to increase defense exports over the forecast period
4.2.2. Saudi Arabia emerged as the largest importer of Turkish defense equipment during the period 2010-2014
4.2.3. Armored Vehicles accounted for the major defense exports during 2010-2014
5 Industry Dynamics
5.1. Five Forces Analysis
5.1.1. Bargaining power of supplier: low
5.1.2. Bargaining power of buyer: High
5.1.3. Barrier to entry: Medium
5.1.4. Intensity of rivalry: High
5.1.5. Threat of substitution: High
6 Market Entry Strategy
6.1. Market Regulation
6.1.1. The Turkish government encourages offsets in order to develop the countrys domestic industrial defense base
6.2. Market Entry Route
6.2.1. Joint venture provides market entry opportunity for foreign OEMs
6.2.2. Joint research and development programs provide foreign OEMs with an opportunity for market entry
6.3. Key Challenges
6.3.1. Corruption poses a challenge to the success of defense deals
6.3.2. Completion of military modernization plans, project delays, and cost escalation expected to limit new projects
7 Competitive Landscape and Strategic Insights
7.1. Competitive Landscape Overview
7.2. Key Foreign Companies
7.2.1. Howaldtswerke-Deutsche Werft (HDW): Overview
7.2.2. Howaldtswerke-Deutsche Werft: recent announcements and strategic initiatives:
7.2.3. Howaldtswerke-Deutsche Werft: Major Products and Services
7.2.4. Howaldtswerke-Deutsche Werft: alliances
7.2.5. Howaldtswerke-Deutsche Werft: recent contract wins
7.2.6. Lockheed Martin: overview
7.2.7. Lockheed Martin: Major Products and Services
7.2.8. Lockheed Martin: recent announcements and strategic initiatives:
7.2.9. Lockheed Martin: Alliances
7.2.10. Lockheed Martin: Recent Contract Wins
7.2.11. BAE Systems: overview
7.2.12. BAE Systems: Major products and services
7.2.13. BAE Systems: recent announcements and strategic initiatives
7.2.14. BAE Systems: Alliances
7.2.15. BAE Systems: Recent Contract Wins
7.3. Key Public Companies
7.3.1. Otokar: overview
7.3.2. Otokar: Major products and services
7.3.3. Otokar: recent announcements and strategic initiatives
7.3.4. Otokar: alliances
7.3.5. Otokar: recent contract wins
7.3.6. Otokar: Financial Analysis
7.3.7. Roketsan: overview
7.3.8. Roketsan: products and services
7.3.9. Roketsan: recent announcements and strategic initiatives.
7.3.10. Roketsan: alliances
7.3.11. Roketsan: recent contract wins
7.3.12. Makina ve Kimya EndUstrisi Kurumu (MKEK): overview
7.3.13. Makina ve Kimya EndUstrisi Kurumu (MKEK): products and services
7.3.14. Makina ve Kimya EndUstrisi Kurumu (MKEK): Alliances
7.3.15. Aselsan: overview
7.3.16. Aselsan: products and services
7.3.17. Aselsan: recent announcements and strategic initiatives
7.3.18. Aselsan: Alliances
7.3.19. Aselsan: recent contract wins
7.3.20. Aselsan: Financial Analysis
7.3.21. Turkish Aerospace Industries (TAI): overview
7.3.22. Turkish Aerospace Industries: products and services
7.3.23. Turkish Aerospace Industries: Recent Announcements and Strategic Initiatives
7.3.24. Turkish Aerospace Industries: Alliances
7.3.25. Turkish Aerospace Industries: Recent Contract Wins
7.3.26. Havelsan: overview
7.3.27. Havelsan: products and services
7.3.28. Havelsan: Recent announcements and Strategic Initiatives
7.3.29. Havelsan: Alliances
7.3.30. Havelsan: Recent contract wins
7.4. Key Private Sector Companies
7.4.1. Tusas Engine Industries (TEI): overview
7.4.2. Tusas Engine Industries: products and services
7.4.3. Tusas Engine Industries, Inc. (TEI): recent announcements and strategic initiatives
7.4.4. Tusas Engine Industries, Inc. (TEI): Alliances
7.4.5. Tusas Engine Industries, Inc. (TEI): Alliances
7.4.6. FNSS Defense Systems Co: overview
7.4.7. FNSS Defense Systems Co: Major Products and Services
7.4.8. FNSS Defense Systems Co: Recent announcements and strategic initiatives
7.4.9. FNSS Defense Systems: Alliances
7.4.10. FNSS Defense Systems Co: Recent Contract Wins
7.4.11. Istanbul Shipyard: Overview
7.4.12. Istanbul: products and services
7.4.13. Istanbul Shipyard: Recent announcements and strategic initiatives
7.4.14. Istanbul Shipyard: Recent contract wins
8 Business Environment and Country Risk
8.1. Demographics and Social Statistics
8.1.1. Urban Population
8.1.2. Rural Population
8.1.3. Number of Households
8.2. Economic Performance
8.2.1. GDP Per Capita
8.2.2. GDP, Current Prices
8.2.3. Consumer Price Index
8.2.4. Wholesale Price Index
8.2.5. Local Currency Unit per USD
8.2.6. Deposit Rate
8.2.7. Goods Exports as % of GDP
8.2.8. Goods Imports as % of GDP
8.2.9. Goods Trade Surplus/Deficit as % of GDP
8.2.10. Service Imports as % of GDP
8.2.11. Service Exports as % of GDP
8.2.12. Service Trade Surplus/Deficit as % of GDP
8.2.13. Foreign Direct Investments
8.2.14. International reserves, including gold
8.2.15. Market Capitalization of listed companies
8.2.16. Market Capitalization of listed companies as % of GDP
8.3. Energy and Utilities
8.3.1. Conventional Thermal Electricity Net Generation (Billion kWh)
8.3.2. Conventional Thermal Electricity Installed Capacity (Billion kW)
8.3.3. Petroleum Consumption
8.3.4. Total Non-Hydro Renewable Electricity Net Generation (Billion kW)
8.3.5. Proved Reserves of Natural Gas (Trillion Cubic Feet)
8.3.6. Hydro Electricity Net Generation (Billion kWh)
8.4. Infrastructure
8.4.1. Air Transport, Freight (million ton-km)
8.4.2. Rail Lines
8.4.3. Roads, Total network
8.4.4. Overall Construction
8.5. Minerals
8.5.1. Mining, Manufacturing, Utilities Output
8.6. Technology
8.6.1. Patents Granted
8.6.2. Research and Development Expenditure
8.7. Telecommunication
8.7.1. Telephone lines
8.7.2. Telephone lines Penetration Rate
9 Appendix
9.1. About SDI
9.2. Disclaimer

List of Tables


Table 1: Turkish Defense Expenditure (US$ Billion), 2011-2015
Table 2: Turkish Defense Expenditure (US$ Billion), 2016-2020
Table 3: Turkish Defense Expenditure (TRY Billion), 2011-2015
Table 4: Turkish Defense Expenditure (TRY Billion), 2016-2020
Table 5: Turkish GDP Growth versus Defense Expenditure Growth and Defense Expenditure as Percentage of GDP Growth, 2011-2015
Table 6: Turkish GDP Growth versus Defense Expenditure Growth and Defense Expenditure as Percentage of GDP Growth, 2016-2020
Table 7: Turkish Defense Budget Split Between Capital and Revenue Expenditure (%), 2011-2015
Table 8: Turkish Defense Budget Split Between Capital and Revenue Expenditure (%), 2016-2020
Table 9: Turkish Defense Capital Expenditure (US$ billion), 2011-2015
Table 10: Turkish Defense Capital Expenditure (US$ billion), 2016-2020
Table 11: Turkish Defense Capital Expenditure (TRY billion), 2011-2015
Table 12: Turkish Defense Capital Expenditure (TRY billion), 2016-2020
Table 13: Turkish Defense Revenue Expenditure (US$ Billion), 2011-2015
Table 14: Turkish Defense Revenue Expenditure (US$ billion), 2016-2020
Table 15: Turkish Defense Revenue Expenditure (TRY Billion), 2011-2015
Table 16: Turkish Defense Revenue Expenditure (TRY billion), 2016-2020
Table 17: Turkish Per Capita Defense Expenditure (US$), 2011-2015
Table 18: Turkish Per Capita Defense Expenditure (US$), 2016-2020
Table 19: Turkish Homeland Security Budget (US$ Billion), 2011-2015
Table 20: Turkish Homeland Security Budget (US$ Billion), 2016-2020
Table 21: Turkish Homeland Security Budget (TRY Billion), 2011-2015
Table 22: Turkish Homeland Security Budget (TRY Billion), 2016-2020
Table 23: Benchmarking with Key Markets - 2011-2015 vs. 2016-2020
Table 24: SDI Terrorism Index
Table 25: Offset Regulations in Turkey
Table 26: Technological Cooperation, Investment, and RandD Multiplier Provision
Table 27: Multipliers for Export Related Systems
Table 28: Market Entry by Key Foreign Companies
Table 29: Market Entry by Key Foreign Companies
Table 30: Howaldtswerke-Deutsche Werft (HDW) - Major Products and Services
Table 31: Howaldtswerke-Deutsche Werft - Alliances
Table 32: Howaldtswerke-Deutsche Werft (HDW) - Recent Contract Wins
Table 33: Lockheed Martin - Major Products and Services
Table 34: Lockheed Martin - Alliances
Table 35: Lockheed Martin - Recent Contract Wins
Table 36: BAE Systems - Major Products and Services
Table 37: BAE Systems - Alliances
Table 38: BAE Systems - Recent Contract Wins
Table 39: Otokar - Major Products and Services
Table 40: Otokar - Alliances
Table 41: Otokar - Recent Contract Wins
Table 42: Roketsan - Major Products and Services
Table 43: Roketsan - Alliances
Table 44: Roketsan - Recent Contract Wins
Table 45: Makina ve Kimya EndUstrisi Kurumu (MKEK) - Major Products and Services
Table 46: Makina ve Kimya EndUstrisi Kurumu (MKEK) - Alliances
Table 47: Aselsan - Major Products and Services
Table 48: Aselsan - Alliances
Table 49: Aselsan - Recent Contract Wins
Table 50: Turkish Aerospace Industries (TAI) - Major Products and Services
Table 51: Turkish Aerospace Industries (TAI) - Alliances
Table 52: Turkish Aerospace Industries (TAI) - Recent Contract Wins
Table 53: Havelsan - Major Products and Services
Table 54: Havelsan - Alliances
Table 55: Havelsan - Recent Contract Wins
Table 56: Tusas Engine Industries, Inc. (TEI) - Major Products and Services
Table 57: Tusas Engine Industries, Inc. (TEI) - Alliances
Table 58: Tusas Engine Industries, Inc. (TEI) - Recent Contract Wins
Table 59: FNSS Defense Systems Co - Major Products and Services
Table 60:Tusas Engine Industries, Inc. (TEI) - Alliances
Table 61: FNSS Defense Systems Co - Recent Contract Wins
Table 62: Istanbul Shipyard - Major Products and Services
Table 63 Istanbul Shipyard - Recent Contract Wins
Howaldtswerke-Deutsche Werft (HDW)
Lockheed Martin
BAE Systems
Otokar
Roketsan
Makina ve Kimya EndUstrisi Kurumu (MKEK)
Aselsan
Turkish Aerospace Industries (TAI)
Havelsan
Tusas Engine Industries (TEI)
FNSS Defense Systems Co
Istanbul Shipyard

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