Future of the Uzbek Defense Industry - Market Attractiveness, Competitive Landscape and Forecasts to 2021

Future of the Uzbek Defense Industry - Market Attractiveness, Competitive Landscape and Forecasts to 2021

Code: SDI-DF0359MR | Published: Mar-2016 | Pages: 55 | Strategic Defence Intelligence
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As one of the emerging powers, as well as one of the largest and strongest performing economies in Central Asia, Uzbekistan displays a strong potential for growth compared to its neighbouring nations. While the country invested US$9.7 billion cumulatively over the period 2012-2016, the defense budget is expected to increase to US$11.8 billion cumulatively in the forecast period. This growth is stimulated by the governments initiatives to procure new defense systems and combat the rising threat of domestic terrorism.

Key Findings
- During 2012-2016, Uzbek defense expenditure registered a growth rate of 3.57%, increasing from US$1.8 billion in 2012 to US$2.1 billion in 2016

- Military expenditure is anticipated to register a CAGR of 4.25% during 2017-2021, to value US$2.6 billion in 2021

- Demand for equipment is mainly expected to revolve around helicopter, aircraft, armored vehicle, and surveillance equipment during 2017-2021

Synopsis
Strategic Defence Intelligences report - Future of the Uzbek Defense Industry - Market Attractiveness, Competitive Landscape and Forecasts to 2021 offers detailed analysis of the industry with market size forecasts from 2017-2021. This report will also analyze factors that influence demand in the industry, key market trends, and challenges faced by industry participants. In particular, it provides an in-depth analysis of the following:

- Defense industry market size and drivers: detailed analysis of the defense industry during 2017-2021, including highlights of the demand drivers and growth stimulators. It also provides a snapshot of the countrys expenditure and modernization patterns

- Budget allocation and key challenges: insights into procurement schedules formulated within the country and a breakdown of the defense budget with respect to the army, navy, and air force. It also details the key challenges faced by defense market participants within the country

- Porters Five Force analysis of the defense industry: analysis of the market characteristics by determining the bargaining power of suppliers, buyers, threat of substitution, intensity of rivalry, and barriers to entry

- Import and Export Dynamics: analysis of prevalent trends in the countrys imports and exports over the last five years

- Market opportunities: details of the top five defense investment opportunities from 2016 to 2026

- Competitive landscape and strategic insights: Including an overview of key players, together with insights such as key alliances, strategic initiatives, and a brief financial analysis

Reasons To Buy
- Identify and track the global defense market and make regional comparisons to effectively target new revenue streams

- Understand the importance of being led by the defense ministries in the military procurement market and define your strategies with insight on what your customers really want by analyzing recent orders, technical specifications, and the countrys expected investment pattern during 2017-2021

- Make correct business decisions based on detailed analysis of the defense industry from 2017-2021,which includes the total competitive landscape of the sector with detailed profiles of the top domestic and foreign defense manufacturers along with information about their products, alliances, recent contract wins, and financial analysis

- Determine prospective investment areas by gaining an in-depth understanding of the industry in terms of market opportunities

- Channel resources by identifying various military requirements that are expected to generate revenues across different sectors during 2017-2021

Table of Contents

1. Introduction
1.1. What is this Report About?
1.2. Definitions
1.3. Summary Methodology
1.4. SDI Terrorism Index
1.5. About Strategic Defence Intelligence
2. Executive Summary
3. Market Attractiveness and Emerging Opportunities
3.1. Defense Market Size Historical and Forecast
3.1.1. Uzbek annual defense expenditure to reach US$2.6 billion by 2021
3.1.2. Modernization and acquisition of military equipment and counter-terrorism to drive Uzbekistans defense expenditure
3.1.3. The countrys defense expenditure as a percentage of GDP is expected to be 2.84% on average over the forecast period
3.2. Analysis of Defense Budget Allocation 20
3.2.1. Share of capital expenditure to increase over the forecast period
3.2.2. Capital expenditure budget expected to increase during the forecast period
3.2.3. Uzbek revenue expenditure expected to record a CAGR of 3.92% over the forecast period
3.2.4. Per capita defense expenditure expected to increase during the forecast period
3.3. Key Trends and Drivers in the Homeland Security Market 32
3.3.1. Human trafficking and drug smuggling form the major components of homeland security expenditure
3.3.2. Uzbekistan is at low risk from external and internal threats
3.4. Benchmarking with Key Global Markets
3.4.1. Uzbek defense expenditure expected to increase at a CAGR of 4.25% over the forecast period
3.4.2. Uzbekistans military expenditure is low when compared to countries with the largest defense expenditure
3.4.3. Uzbekistan allocates a high percentage of GDP to defense
3.4.4. Uzbekistan faces low risk of terrorist attack
3.5. Market Opportunities: Key Trends and Growth Stimulators
4. Defense Procurement Market Dynamics
5. Industry Dynamics
5.1. Five Forces Analysis
5.1.1. Bargaining power of the supplier: medium to high
5.1.2. Bargaining power of the buyer: low to medium
5.1.3. Barrier to entry: medium
5.1.4. Intensity of rivalry: medium
5.1.5. Threat of substitution: low to medium
6. Market Entry Strategy
6.1. Market Regulation
6.1.1. Uzbekistan does not disclose any offset obligations imposed by the country
6.1.2. Foreign direct investment (FDI) in defense sector not disclosed by the government
6.2. Market Entry Route
6.2.1. Government-to-government agreements are the preferred market entry route for foreign OEMs
6.2.2. Joint venture and license manufacturing agreements provide an attractive market entry route
6.3. Key Challenges
6.3.1. Corruption and lack of transparency create a roadblock for foreign companies
6.3.2. Domination of Russian companies poses a challenge to other foreign firms
7. Competitive Landscape and Strategic Insights
7.1. Competitive Landscape Overview 47
7.1.1. Foreign suppliers manufacture defense systems overseas and deliver to Uzbekistan
7.2. Key Companies
7.2.1. Airbus Helicopters: overview
7.2.2. Airbus Helicopters: products and services
7.2.3. Airbus Helicopters: recent contract wins
8. Business Environment and Country Risk
8.1. Economic Performance
8.1.1. GDP Per Capita
8.1.2. GDP, Current Prices
8.1.3. Exports of goods and services
8.1.4. Imports of goods and services
8.1.5. Local Currency Unit per USD
8.2. Minerals 54
8.2.1. Mining, Manufacturing, Utilities Output
9. Appendix
9.1. About SDI
9.2. Disclaimer

List of Tables


Table 1: Uzbek Defense Expenditure (US$ billions), 2012-2016
Table 2: Uzbek Defense Expenditure (US$ billions), 2017-2021
Table 3: Uzbek Defense Expenditure (UZS billion), 2012-2016
Table 4: Uzbek Defense Expenditure (UZS billion), 2017-2021
Table 5: Uzbek GDP Growth vs
Table 6: Uzbek GDP Growth vs
Table 7: Uzbek Defense Budget Split Between Capital and Revenue Expenditure (%), 2012-2016
Table 8: Uzbek Defense Budget Split Between Capital and Revenue Expenditure (%), 2017-2021
Table 9: Uzbek Defense Capital Expenditure (US$ Billion), 2012-2016
Table 10: Uzbek Defense Capital Budget Allocation (US$ billion), 2017-2021
Table 11: Uzbek Defense Capital Expenditure (UZS Billion), 2012-2016
Table 12: Uzbek Defense Capital Budget Allocation (UZS billion), 2017-2021
Table 13: Uzbek Defense Revenue Expenditure (US$ billion), 2012-2016
Table 14: Uzbek Defense Revenue Budget Allocation (US$ billion), 2017-2021
Table 15: Uzbek Defense Revenue Expenditure (UZS Billion), 2012-2016
Table 16: Uzbek Defense Revenue Budget Allocation (UZS billion), 2017-2021
Table 17: Uzbek Per Capita Defense Expenditure (US$), 2012-2016
Table 18: Uzbek Per Capita Defense Expenditure (US$), 2017-2021
Table 19: Benchmarking with Key Markets - 2012-2016 vs
Table 20: SDI Terrorism Index
Table 21: Airbus Helicopters - Product Focus
Table 22: Airbus Helicopters -Recent Contract Wins

List of Figures


Figure 1: Uzbek Defense Expenditure (US$ billions), 2012-2016
Figure 2: Uzbek Defense Expenditure (US$ billions), 2017-2021
Figure 3: Uzbek Defense Expenditure (UZS billion), 2012-2016
Figure 4: Uzbek Defense Expenditure (UZS billion), 2017-2021
Figure 5: Uzbek GDP Growth vs
Figure 6: Uzbek GDP Growth vs
Figure 7: Uzbek Defense Budget Split Between Capital and Revenue Expenditure (%), 2012-2016
Figure 8: Uzbek Defense Budget Split Between Capital and Revenue Expenditure (%), 2017-2021
Figure 9: Uzbek Defense Capital Expenditure (US$ billion),2012-2016
Figure 10: Uzbek Defense Capital Budget Allocation (US$ billion), 2017-2021
Figure 11: Uzbek Defense Capital Expenditure (UZS billion), 2012-2016
Figure 12: Uzbek Defense Capital Budget Allocation (UZS billion), 2017-2021
Figure 13: Uzbek Defense Revenue Expenditure (US$ billion), 2012-2016
Figure 14: Uzbek Defense Revenue Budget Allocation(US$ billion), 2017-2021
Figure 15: Uzbek Defense Revenue Expenditure (UZS billion), 2012-2016
Figure 16: Uzbek Defense Revenue Budget Allocation (UZS billion), 2017-2021
Figure 17: Uzbek Per Capita Defense Expenditure (US$), 2012-2016
Figure 18: Uzbek Per Capita Defense Expenditure (US$), 2017-2021
Figure 19: SDI Terrorism Index, 2016
Figure 20: Benchmarking with Key Markets - 2012-2016 vs
Figure 21: Defense Expenditure of the Worlds Largest Military Spenders (US$ Billion), 2016 and 2021
Figure 22: Defense Expenditure as a Percentage of GDP of Largest Military Spenders (%), 2016
Figure 23: SDI Terrorism Index, 2016
Figure 24: Industry Dynamics Porters Five Forces Analysis
Figure 25: Uzbek GDP Per Capita (US$), 2015-2024
Figure 26: Uzbek GDP, Current Prices (US$ Billion), 2015-2024
Figure 27: Uzbek Exports of Goods and Services (LCU), 2002-2011
Figure 28: Uzbek Imports of goods and services (LCU), 2005-2014
Figure 29: Local Currency per US$, 2015-2024
Figure 30: Uzbek Mining, Manufacturing, Utilities Output (US$ Billion), 2005-2014
Airbus Helicopters

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