Instability in Europe: Changing situation in Europe may cause problems for business in 2015

Instability in Europe: Changing situation in Europe may cause problems for business in 2015

Code: ML-ML00017-081 | Published: Jan-2015 | Pages: 19 | MarketLine
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The EU and the Euro, which were once seen as key to its economic strength have contributed to some major problems over the last five years which have destabilized the region. Although the EU has now recovered after the recession and most countries are posting some minor growth, in many countries the traditional parties are losing votes to new parties arising both on the right and the left.



Key Findings
Find out how Europes economy is fairing at the start of 2015.
Assess which countries are expected to experience some unusual voting behavior in 2015.
Look at how certain sovereign credit rating have fared in Europe.
Learn what is causing instability in Europe.
Establish what the risks for businesses and investors might be.

Reasons To Buy
Why is Europes economy growing slowly?
Why are voters turning to more unconventional parties?
How likely is a separation within the EU?
Could 2015 see wholesale change in Europe?

Table of Contents

TABLE OF CONTENTS
Overview 2
Catalyst 2
Summary 2
Current destabilizing elements 6
Poor state of Europes economy 6
Immigration and new steps toward the right 6
Anti-austerity and anti-capitalism movements formed 7
Energy prices are likely to be a hinge factor in Europes future 7
Countries with expected problems in 2015 8
UK 8
Scottish Independence 9
Ukraine 9
Sweden 10
Greece 10
Spain 13
Catalonia Independence 14
Germany 14
France 14
Conclusions 15
The economic situation is the exacerbating political factor 15
This could be bad for business in Europe 15
This instability may be beneficial in the long term 15
Appendix 17
Sources 17
Further Reading 17
Ask the analyst 18
About MarketLine 18
Disclaimer 18


LIST OF TABLES
Table 1: Russian sovereign risk credit ratings 10
Table 2: Greece sovereign risk credit ratings 12
Table 3: Spain sovereign risk credit ratings 13


TABLE OF FIGURES
Figure 1: Pablo Iglesias Podemos party leader 7
Figure 2: UK change in party membership 8
Figure 3: Greek polling data to January 2015 12

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