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Future opportunities in Iraqs telecoms market once civil unrest stabilisesIraqs telecommunications sector began on a positive note in 2015 with the roll-out of 3G services by the three major mobile operators - Zain Iraq, Asiacell and Korek Telecom. In addition it was indicated by the Iraqi Commission for Media and Communications (CMC) that a proposal for 4G LTE license allocation would be put forward to the government in the near future. Prior to the current civil tension; 4G LTE had been deployed in some areas of Iraq by Fastlink (Regional Telecom) and there was also a progressive fibre optic deployment occurring across parts of Iraq.
While the introduction of 3G was certainly a step forward for Iraq - this was offset by the introduction of new taxes which saw both the prices of Internet and mobile top-up cards increased by 20percent as part of austerity measures by the Iraq government.
Iraqs economy faces continued pressure from the costs of financing war as well as the humanitarian costs related to the millions of displaced and destitute people. Iraq is also heavily dependent on oil prices which have recently declined. These demands on Iraqs economy does not bode well for significant investment in the telecoms sector - especially when at some point there will need to be finances directed towards the rebuilding of infrastructure that has been destroyed or damaged.
Overall, the ongoing civil conflict has created a challenging environment for operators in Iraq with the destruction of infrastructure, fluctuating subscriber bases and resulting revenue declines all adding significant pressure.
However in the longer term - the Iraq telecoms market offers many opportunities once the civil unrest stabilises and the government and operators are able to focus again on telecoms and digital growth. It has a large population of mobile phone users which have not yet adopted mobile broadband at any significant levels - and it has recently launched 3G services with an intention to adopt 4G LTE in the future. Iraq has also traditionally supported the deployment or fibre infrastructure which will create a strong backbone for telecoms growth in Iraq. The younger and well educated population have demonstrated a keen interest in utilising video streaming, social media and potentially e-commerce and e-banking services in the future.
Key telecom parameters - 2012; 2015
Subscribers to telecoms services (million): (e)
(Source: BuddeComm based on ITU)
Notes: 1Data for 2015 is estimated only as ongoing civil conflict has reportedly caused damage to Iraqs infrastructure and the extent is as yet unclear.
The mobile market has grown rapidly in Iraq since services were first introduced in 2004. This is due to the lack of fixed-line services and inherent popularity of mobile communication services. Mobile subscriptions are predominantly prepaid.
Affordability is an ongoing issue in Iraq and in 2015 a tax levy of 20percent was added across the board to mobile and Internet services as part of Iraqs austerity measures.
Zain Iraq and Asia cell have both launched an IPO, as required as part of their license agreement - and Korek Telecom is still required to do so.
Some mobile network sites are currently unavailable due to seizure by rebel forces and the operators are concentrating their efforts on maintaining services at the sites they are able to readily access.
Overall the current security situation is an impediment to telecommunications development in Iraq but there are positive signs for the future once stability has been reached.Companies mentioned in this report:
Iraqi Telephone and Postal Company (ITPC), Newroz Telecom, Asiacell, Zain Iraq, Korek Telecom, Regional Telecom.
Table of Contents
1. Executive summary
2. Key statistics
2.1 Country overview
3. Telecommunications market
3.1 Recent developments
3.2 Historical overview
3.3 Market overview
4. Regulatory environment
4.1 Historic overview
4.2 Regulatory authority
4.3 Telecom sector liberalisation in Iraq
4.3.1 Wireless Local Loop licences
5. Fixed network operator in Iraq
5.1 Iraqi Telephone and Postal Company (ITPC)
6. Telecommunications infrastructure
6.1 Overview of the national telecom network
6.2 International infrastructure
6.2.1 Submarine cable networks
6.2.2 Satellite networks
7. Smart infrastructure
7.1 Smart grids
8. Broadband access market
8.1.1 Internet statistics
8.2 Fibre-to-the-Premises (FttP) and Fibre-To-The-Home (FttH)
8.3 Satellite broadband
9. Other fixed broadband services
9.1 Fixed wireless (WiFi and WiMAX)
10. Digital economy
11. Digital media
11.2 Social media
11.2.2 Statistical information
11.3 Communications: VoIP, messaging, conferencing
12. Mobile communications
12.1 Market analysis
12.1.1 Mobile statistics
12.2 Mobile subscriber forecasts
12.2.1 Scenario 1 - higher growth
12.2.2 Scenario 2 - lower growth
12.3 Regulatory issues
12.3.1 Temporary mobile licences awarded in 2003
12.3.2 Permanent licences awarded in 2007
12.3.3 Fourth mobile licence
12.4 Mobile infrastructure
12.4.3 Satellite mobile
12.5 Major mobile operators
12.5.1 Asiacell Communications
12.5.2 Zain Iraq (formerly MTC Atheer)
12.5.3 Korek Telecom
12.5.4 Regional Telecom / Fastlink
12.6 Mobile data
12.6.1 Mobile Messaging
12.6.2 Mobile Internet access
12.7 Mobile content and applications
13. Related reports
Table 1 - Country statistics - Iraq - 2015
Table 2 - Telephone network statistics - Iraq - 2015
Table 3 - Internet user statistics - Iraq - 2015
Table 4 - Mobile statistics - Iraq - 2015
Table 5 - National telecommunications authorities
Table 6 - GDP growth and inflation - 2006 - 2015
Table 7 - Fixed lines in service and teledensity - 1990 - 2015
Table 8 - Internet user penetration and estimates - 2001 - 2015
Table 9 - Fixed broadband subscribers - 2006 - 2015
Table 10 - International Internet bandwidth - 2005 - 2013
Table 11 - Household PC penetration - 2008 - 2015
Table 12 - Facebook stats for Iraq and the Middle East as at July 2015
Table 13 - Mobile subscribers and penetration rate - 2002 - 2015
Table 14 - Mobile operator market shares - 2004 - Q2 2015
Table 15 - Forecast mobile subscribers - higher growth scenario - 2020; 2025
Table 16 - Forecast mobile subscribers - lower growth scenario - 2020; 2025
Table 17 - Asiacell financial data (including ARPU) - 2006 - 2014
Table 18 - Asiacell subscribers - 2006 - 2015
Table 19 - Zain Iraq financial data - 2006 - 1H 2015
Table 20 - Zain Iraq mobile subscribers - 2006 - Q2 2015
Table 21 - Zain Iraq prepaid subscribers - 2006 - 2014
Table 22 - Korek Telecom subscribers - 2011 - 2014
Table 23 - Zain - total daily data volume - 2010 - 2014
Exhibit 1 - Background information - Orascom Telecom Iraq Corporation/Iraqna
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