The European Light Vehicle Aftermarket, Regional Analysis, 2013 - 18; Market size, market forecast and recommendations

The European Light Vehicle Aftermarket, Regional Analysis, 2013 - 18; Market size, market forecast and recommendations

Code: VR-VR0053TR | Published: Dec-2015 | Pages: 89 | Verdict Retail
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Aftermarket players are striving to develop new revenue streams, increase margins and retain existing. The report provides a high level market overview outlining the factors influencing the European Aftermarket - examining the vehicle parc dynamics, how consumers spend within the aftermarket and which channels dominate. The report provides a contextual and historic overview of the market, together with forecast data to 2018.

Key Findings
- Following the European financial crisis of 2008, the European light vehicle aftermarket continued to demonstrate year-on-year growth. Although levels of growth fell from 5% in 2010 to 3% in 2013, growth levels are predicted to remain very moderate in the five years between 2013 and 2018, with the most significant growth (3%) being seen in 2016.

- Total aftermarket revenues reached Euro228.2bn in 2013 and are forecast to increase by Euro21.0bn (8%) over five years, to reach Euro249.3bn by 2018.

- The increase in the value of the aftermarket stems from the rising cost of components:

- For parts, 6.1% growth in revenues is expected due to components becoming more complex and featuring more advanced designs/construction, but also the improved quality in manufacturing and materials, which contribute to extended lifetimes.

- For labour, 7.9% growth is expected, due to channels increasingly requiring more sophisticated tools and more highly skilled workers (and therefore requiring a greater investment in training and staffing) in order to cope with the increasing prevalence of electronics within the vehicle.

- At the channel level, the aftermarket remains highly competitive. In most European markets, vehicle manufacturer networks (VMNs) and garages dominate and will continue to do so.

- Registrations in the major European nations continue to recover from the historic lows recorded in 2009, which negatively affected sales from the VMN channel.

- In 2013-18, the European aftermarket is expected to increase by Euro21.0bn (8%). The growth will mainly be driven by the growing size of the parc, but the continuing trend for mileages to fall and parts to last longer will impact on service intervals (lengthening them) and replacement rates (which will fall).

Synopsis
"The European Light Vehicle Aftermarket, Regional Analysis 2013 - 18", a Trend Report by Verdict Retail, provides an executive-level overview of the European aftermarket, with forecasts of key indicators up to 2018. It delivers a high level overview, providing quantitative and qualitative insight into the European aftermarket, analyzing key trends on component values and volumes, assessing channel share and which product families will see growth and where, based on proprietary data from Verdict Retails aftermarket databases.

It provides in-depth analysis of the following:

- European parc size and forecast; a look at the total European parc size and forecast for vehicles on the road, and the factors that are driving the market.

- Replacement rate commentary; an overview on the replacement rate of specific components and how that influences the aftermarket.

- Analysis of the European aftermarket by product family; an analysis of the value and volumes of the European aftermarket, with historic and forecast data to 2018.

- Analysis of the European aftermarket by distribution channel; an analysis of the value and volumes of the European aftermarket, with historic and forecast data to 2018

- Analysis of the European aftermarket by product family revenues; regional analysis of which product families are up and which are down within the European aftermarket.

Reasons To Buy
- This Trend Report helps executives understand the high level factors which are driving the European aftermarket.

- The report is designed for an executive-level audience, boasting high level value and volume data that can be transplanted into presentable material immediately.

- The broad but detailed perspective will help clients to understand the broad dynamics influencing the European aftermarket.

- The report provides a regional analysis allowing different geographies to be compared. .

Table of Contents

1 DEFINITIONS
1.1 Parameters
1.2 Product families
1.3 Distribution channels
1.4 Regions covered
2 EXECUTIVE SUMMARY
3 CAR PARC DYNAMICS
3.1 Car parc overview
3.2 Key findings
3.3 Key findings: parc overview conclusions
4 EUROPEAN AFTERMARKET DYNAMICS
4.1 Key drivers
4.2 The profile of vehicle expenditure
4.3 Key findings
4.3.1 Pricing effects
4.3.2 Replacement rates
5 EUROPEAN AFTERMARKET VALUE
5.1 Market share
5.2 Spend per car
5.3 Aftermarket value by region
5.4 Key findings
6 EUROPEAN AFTERMARKET CHANNEL ANALYSIS
6.1 Overview
6.1.1 Aftermarket revenue shares by channel
6.2 Key findings: distribution channels
7 EUROPEAN AFTERMARKET PRODUCT ANALYSIS
7.1 Overview
8 EUROPEAN AFTERMARKET REVENUE BY PRODUCT FAMILY
8.1 European
8.2 Leading five
8.3 Northern Europe
8.4 Southern Europe
8.5 Eastern Europe
8.6 Western Europe
8.7 Key findings: aftermarket revenue split by product family
9 APPENDIX
9.1 Channel definitions
9.2 Component Definitions
9.3 About Verdict Retail
9.4 Disclaimer

List of Figures


Figure 1: Parameters of Verdict Automotives Aftermarket Database, 2013
Figure 2: Product families covered in Verdict Automotives Aftermarket Database, 2013
Figure 3: Definitions of channels covered in Verdict Automotives Aftermarket Database, 2013
Figure 4: Countries covered by Verdict Automotive, 2013
Figure 5: European car parc share by country (%), 2013
Figure 6: European car parc growth by country (%), 2013-18
Figure 7: European light vehicle registration growth by country (%), 2013-14
Figure 8: Dieselisation of European car parc by country (%), 2013
Figure 9: European car parc growth by region (%), 2013-18
Figure 10: European car parc by age category (millions), 2013 and 2018
Figure 11: Leading five car parc by age category (millions), 2013 and 2018
Figure 12: Northern European car parc by age category (million), 2013 and 2018
Figure 13: Southern European car parc by age category (million), 2013 and 2018
Figure 14: Eastern European car parc by age category (million), 2013 and 2018
Figure 15: Western European car parc by age category (million), 2013 and 2018
Figure 16: Dieselisation growth in Europe by region (%), 2013-18
Figure 17: Aftermarket drivers in Europe, 2013
Figure 18: European aftermarket value split by parts and labour (Eurom), 2013-18
Figure 19: Vehicle manufacturer network market share in Europe by country (%), 2013
Figure 20: Growth in aftermarket value in Europe by country (%), 2013-18
Figure 21: Spend per car in Europe by country (Euro), 2013
Figure 22: Growth in spend per car in Europe by country (%), 2013-18
Figure 23: Growth in spend per car in Europe by region (Euro), 2013-18
Figure 24: Aftermarket value in Europe by region (Eurom), 2013 and 2018
Figure 25: European aftermarket revenue by channel (Eurom), 2013
Figure 26: European aftermarket revenue shares by region and channel (%), 2013
Figure 27: Change in European channel share value by region (%), 2013-18
Figure 28: Aftermarket revenue by channel and country (%), 2013
Figure 29: Aftermarket revenue shares by channel in Europe (Eurom), 2013
Figure 30: Change in European aftermarket revenue shares by channel (%), 2013-18
Figure 31: Leading five aftermarket revenue shares by channel (Eurom), 2013
Figure 32: Change in leading five aftermarket revenue shares by channel (%), 2013-18
Figure 33: Northern European aftermarket revenue shares by channel (Eurom), 2013
Figure 34: Change in Northern European aftermarket revenue shares by channel (%), 2013-18
Figure 35: Southern European aftermarket revenue shares by channel (Eurom), 2013
Figure 36: Change in Southern European aftermarket revenue shares by channel (%), 2013-18
Figure 37: Eastern European aftermarket revenue shares by channel (Eurom), 2013
Figure 38: Change in Eastern European aftermarket revenue shares by channel (%), 2013-18
Figure 39: Western European aftermarket revenue shares by channel (Eurom), 2013
Figure 40: Change in Western European aftermarket revenue shares by channel (%), 2013-18
Figure 41: European tyres revenue heat map by country (Euro), 2013
Figure 42: European mechanical parts revenue heat map by country (Euro), 2013
Figure 43: European wear and tear parts revenue heat map by country (Euro), 2013
Figure 44: European service parts revenue heat map by country (Euro), 2013
Figure 45: European consumables revenue heat map by country (Euro), 2013
Figure 46: European accessories revenue heat map by country (Euro), 2013
Figure 47: European crash repair parts revenue heat map by country (Euro), 2013
Figure 48: European steering and suspension parts revenue heat map by country (Euro), 2013
Figure 49: European revenue share by product family (%), 2013
Figure 50: Change in European revenue by product family (%), 2013-18
Figure 51: Leading five revenue share by product family (%), 2013
Figure 52: Change in leading five revenue by product family (%), 2013-18
Figure 53: Leading five aftermarket revenue by channel and product family (%), 2013
Figure 54: Northern European revenue share by product family (%), 2013
Figure 55: Change in Northern European revenue by product family (%), 2013-18
Figure 56: Northern European aftermarket revenue by channel and product family (%), 2013-18
Figure 57: Southern European revenue share by product family (%), 2013
Figure 58: Change in Southern European revenue by product family (%), 2013-18
Figure 59: Southern European aftermarket revenue by channel and product family (%), 2013
Figure 60: Eastern European revenue share by product family (%), 2013
Figure 61: Change in Eastern European revenue by product family (%), 2013-18
Figure 62: Eastern European aftermarket revenue by channel and product family (%), 2013
Figure 63: Western European revenue share by product family (%), 2013
Figure 64: Change in Western European revenue by product family (%), 2013-18
Figure 65: Western European aftermarket revenue by channel and product family (%), 2013

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