The Netherlands: Growing Adoption of LTE and LTE-A Based Services Will Drive Mobile Revenue Growth

The Netherlands: Growing Adoption of LTE and LTE-A Based Services Will Drive Mobile Revenue Growth

Code: PYR-TC0319MR | Published: Dec-2015 | Pages: 34 | Pyramid Research
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The Dutch telecom market revenue is expected to reach US$13.2bn by the end of 2020 from $11.7bn (Euro10.6bn) in 2015. Going forward, Pyramid Research expects mobile revenue to invert its decline trend in 2017 and total service revenue - fixed, mobile and pay-TV - to return to growth from 2017 onward. The adoption of LTE and LTE-A based services will move beyond early-adopter status by 2017 - this will improve the customer mix and make the ARPS more resilient. Mobile data services became the largest source of revenue in 2015 and will continue to offer the largest revenue opportunity over the next five years. Competition in the market remains high and all operators seem well-positioned to curb opportunities in the M2M market - the major source of subscriber growth over the next few years. Heavy investment in network expansion will enable operators to offer faster broadband speeds to meet consumers needs. The pay-TV market is expected to be driven by IPTV, which leverages the DSL and fiber broadband bases. Fixed-mobile bundles were launched by KPN in 2013, and consumer uptake reached 23% of its fixed broadband customer base in September 2015. Vodafone offers additional benefits to its Red mobile customers choosing its triple-play offering (fixed telephony, internet and TV).

Key Findings
- Netherlands is the sixth largest telecom services market in the Western European region, with estimated revenue of US$11.7bn, or 1.6% of nominal GDP in 2015. Pyramid Research expects telecom service revenue to reach $13.2bn in 2020 (2.2% CAGR in local currency) as the increase in broadband lines and data traffic will push revenue up.

- The revenue mix will continue to be dominated by mobile services due to growth in mobile data, which will be driven by increasing adoption of 4G services and ongoing investments in LTE-A expansion by operators. Fixed and mobile data revenue will account for 60.8% of total revenue in 2020, up from 51.9% in 2015.

- The top two operators -KPN and Ziggo (including UPC), which provides mobile, broadband, TV and fixed voice services - will together account for 62.7% of overall service revenue in 2015 and increase to 63.8% in 2020.

Synopsis
"The Netherlands: Growing Adoption of LTE and LTE-A Based Services Will Drive Mobile Revenue Growth" provides an executive-level overview of the telecommunications market in the Netherlands today, with detailed forecasts of key indicators up to 2020. It delivers deep quantitative and qualitative insight into the Netherlandss telecom market, analyzing key trends, evaluating near-term opportunities and assessing risk factors, based on proprietary data from Pyramid Researchs databases.

The Country Intelligence Report provides in-depth analysis of the following:

- Regional context: telecom market size and trends in the Netherlands compared with other countries in the region.

- Economic, demographic and political context in the Netherlands.

- The regulatory environment and trends: a review of the regulatory setting and agenda for the next 18-24 months as well as relevant developments pertaining to spectrum licensing, national broadband plans, number portability and more.

- A demand profile: analysis as well as historical figures and forecasts of service revenue from the fixed telephony, broadband, mobile voice, mobile data.

- Service evolution: a look at changes in the breakdown of overall revenue between the fixed and mobile sectors and between voice, data and video from 2013 to 2020.

- The competitive landscape: an examination of key trends in competition and in the performance, revenue market shares and expected moves of service providers over the next 18-24 months.

- In-depth sector analysis of fixed telephony, broadband, mobile voice and mobile data services: a quantitative analysis of service adoption trends by network technology and by operator, as well as of average revenue per line/subscription and service revenue through the end of the forecast period.

- Main opportunities: this section details the near-term opportunities for operators, vendors and investors in the Netherlands telecommunications markets.

Reasons To Buy
- Gain in-depth analysis of current strategies and future trends of the Netherlands telecommunications market, service providers and key opportunities in a concise format, to build proactive and profitable growth strategies.

- Understand the factors behind ongoing and upcoming trends in the Netherlands mobile communications, fixed telephony and broadband markets, including the evolution of service provider market shares, to align product offerings and strategies to meet customers demand.

- Leverage the graphical information (more than 20 charts and tables in the report based on the Pyramid Research forecast products), to gain an overview of the Netherlands telecom market.

- Analysis of key telecom players in the markets and major business strategies being adopted by them, to identify the opportunities to improve the market share.

- Explore novel opportunities to align your product strategies and offerings to meet the requirements and succeed in the challenging telecommunications market in the Netherlands.

Table of Contents

Executive summary
Market and competitor overview
Regional context
Economic, demographic and political context
Regulatory environment
Demand profile
Service evolution
Competitive landscape
Major market players
Segment analysis
Mobile services
Fixed services
Pay-TV
Identifying opportunities
Overall market opportunities

List of Tables


Netherlands telecom market size and growth prospects in a regional context, 2015E
Country indicators
Regulatory structure and policy
Major telecommunications policy issues
Netherlands communications market revenue , 2013-2020, US$
Segment revenue CAGRs, 2015-2020, US$
Netherlands communications market revenue , 2013-2020, Euro
Segment revenue CAGRs, 2015-2020, Euro
Segment revenues 2013-2020
Service revenue mix: voice, data and video, 2015, 2020
Service revenue mix: fixed and mobile, 2015, 2020
Service revenue by operator, 2015
Key telecom market players
Major telecommunications market players
Mobile subscriptions and penetration, 2013-2020
Key mobile market indicators, 2015
Mobile data revenue mix, 2015, 2020
Total mobile ARPS; data percentage of total mobile ARPS, 2013-2020
Mobile market shares by subscriptions, 2013-2020
Mobile subscriptions by technology family, 2013-2020
Fixed-line penetration of population, 2013-2020
Key fixed market indicators, 2015
Fixed voice revenue, 2013-2020
Internet revenue, 2013-2020
Fixed market shares by service, 2015
Fixed access lines by technology, 2015, 2020
Pay-TV subscriptions by technology, 2013-2020
Opportunities in the Netherlands telecommunications market

List of Figures


Netherlands telecom market size and growth prospects in a regional context, 2015E
Country indicators
Regulatory structure and policy
Major telecommunications policy issues
Netherlands communications market revenue , 2013-2020, US$
Segment revenue CAGRs, 2015-2020, US$
Netherlands communications market revenue , 2013-2020, Euro
Segment revenue CAGRs, 2015-2020, Euro
Segment revenues 2013-2020
Service revenue mix: voice, data and video, 2015, 2020
Service revenue mix: fixed and mobile, 2015, 2020
Service revenue by operator, 2015
Key telecom market players
Major telecommunications market players
Mobile subscriptions and penetration, 2013-2020
Key mobile market indicators, 2015
Mobile data revenue mix, 2015, 2020
Total mobile ARPS; data percentage of total mobile ARPS, 2013-2020
Mobile market shares by subscriptions, 2013-2020
Mobile subscriptions by technology family, 2013-2020
Fixed-line penetration of population, 2013-2020
Key fixed market indicators, 2015
Fixed voice revenue, 2013-2020
Internet revenue, 2013-2020
Fixed market shares by service, 2015
Fixed access lines by technology, 2015, 2020
Pay-TV subscriptions by technology, 2013-2020
Opportunities in the Netherlands telecommunications market
KPN
Vodafone
Tele2
T-Mobile
Ziggo (UPC)

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